Is Meinian Onehealth Healthcare Holdings (SZSE:002044) Using Too Much Debt?
Is Meinian Onehealth Healthcare Holdings (SZSE:002044) Using Too Much Debt?
Warren Buffett famously said, 'Volatility is far from synonymous with risk.' When we think about how risky a company is, we always like to look at its use of debt, since debt overload can lead to ruin. We note that Meinian Onehealth Healthcare Holdings Co., Ltd. (SZSE:002044) does have debt on its balance sheet. But should shareholders be worried about its use of debt?
沃伦·巴菲特曾说过:‘波动性远非风险的同义词。’当我们思考一家公司的风险时,我们总是希望关注其债务的使用,因为债务负担过重可能导致毁灭。我们注意到,美年健康(SZSE:002044)确实在其资产负债表上有债务。但股东是否应该担心其债务的使用呢?
When Is Debt A Problem?
何时债务成为问题?
Generally speaking, debt only becomes a real problem when a company can't easily pay it off, either by raising capital or with its own cash flow. In the worst case scenario, a company can go bankrupt if it cannot pay its creditors. However, a more frequent (but still costly) occurrence is where a company must issue shares at bargain-basement prices, permanently diluting shareholders, just to shore up its balance sheet. Of course, plenty of companies use debt to fund growth, without any negative consequences. When we think about a company's use of debt, we first look at cash and debt together.
一般来说,债务只有在公司无法轻松偿还时才会真正成为问题,或者通过筹集资金或依靠自身现金流来解决。在最坏的情况下,如果一家公司无法偿还其债权人,它可能会破产。然而,更频繁(但仍然代价昂贵)的情况是公司必须以便宜的价格发行股票,永久性稀释股东权益,仅仅为了改善其资产负债表。当然,许多公司利用债务来资助增长,而没有任何负面后果。当我们考虑一家公司的债务时,我们首先看现金和债务的总和。
What Is Meinian Onehealth Healthcare Holdings's Debt?
美年健康的债务是多少?
As you can see below, at the end of September 2024, Meinian Onehealth Healthcare Holdings had CN¥3.90b of debt, up from CN¥3.16b a year ago. Click the image for more detail. However, it also had CN¥1.55b in cash, and so its net debt is CN¥2.35b.
如下面所示,在2024年9月底,美年健康的债务为39亿人民币,较去年同期的31.6亿人民币上升。点击图片了解更多细节。然而,它也有15.5亿人民币的现金,因此其净债务为23.5亿人民币。
A Look At Meinian Onehealth Healthcare Holdings' Liabilities
看看美年健康的负债情况
Zooming in on the latest balance sheet data, we can see that Meinian Onehealth Healthcare Holdings had liabilities of CN¥7.97b due within 12 months and liabilities of CN¥2.62b due beyond that. Offsetting this, it had CN¥1.55b in cash and CN¥4.05b in receivables that were due within 12 months. So its liabilities outweigh the sum of its cash and (near-term) receivables by CN¥4.99b.
聚焦最新的资产负债表数据,我们可以看到美年健康在12个月内有负债79.7亿人民币,超过12个月的负债为26.2亿人民币。相应地,它在12个月内有15.5亿人民币的现金和40.5亿人民币的应收款。因此,其负债超过现金及(短期)应收款的总和49.9亿人民币。
This deficit isn't so bad because Meinian Onehealth Healthcare Holdings is worth CN¥18.2b, and thus could probably raise enough capital to shore up its balance sheet, if the need arose. However, it is still worthwhile taking a close look at its ability to pay off debt.
这个赤字并不算太糟,因为美年健康的价值为182亿人民币,因此如果需要,很可能能够筹集足够的资本来增强其资产负债表。然而,仍然值得密切关注它偿还债务的能力。
In order to size up a company's debt relative to its earnings, we calculate its net debt divided by its earnings before interest, tax, depreciation, and amortization (EBITDA) and its earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) divided by its interest expense (its interest cover). The advantage of this approach is that we take into account both the absolute quantum of debt (with net debt to EBITDA) and the actual interest expenses associated with that debt (with its interest cover ratio).
为了评估一家公司的债务相对于其收益的情况,我们计算其净债务与息税折旧摊销前利润(EBITDA)的比率,以及息税利润(EBIT)与利息费用(即利息覆盖)的比率。这种方法的优点在于我们同时考虑到债务的绝对数额(使用净债务与EBITDA的比率)和与该债务相关的实际利息支出(使用利息覆盖率)。
While Meinian Onehealth Healthcare Holdings has a quite reasonable net debt to EBITDA multiple of 1.7, its interest cover seems weak, at 1.9. This does suggest the company is paying fairly high interest rates. Either way there's no doubt the stock is using meaningful leverage. Importantly, Meinian Onehealth Healthcare Holdings grew its EBIT by 49% over the last twelve months, and that growth will make it easier to handle its debt. When analysing debt levels, the balance sheet is the obvious place to start. But ultimately the future profitability of the business will decide if Meinian Onehealth Healthcare Holdings can strengthen its balance sheet over time. So if you want to see what the professionals think, you might find this free report on analyst profit forecasts to be interesting.
虽然美年健康的净债务与EBITDA的倍数为1.7,算是相当合理,但其利息覆盖率似乎较弱,仅为1.9。这确实表明该公司的利率相对较高。无论如何,毫无疑问,股票采用了较大的杠杆。重要的是,美年健康在过去十二个月里其EBIT增长了49%,这一增长将使得处理债务变得容易。当分析债务水平时,资产负债表是明显的起点。但最终,业务的未来盈利能力将决定美年健康是否能随着时间的推移增强其资产负债表。因此,如果你想看看专业人士的看法,你可能会对这份关于分析师盈利预测的免费报告感兴趣。
Finally, a company can only pay off debt with cold hard cash, not accounting profits. So we always check how much of that EBIT is translated into free cash flow. Over the last three years, Meinian Onehealth Healthcare Holdings actually produced more free cash flow than EBIT. That sort of strong cash conversion gets us as excited as the crowd when the beat drops at a Daft Punk concert.
最后,一家公司只能用现金偿还债务,而不是会计利润。因此,我们总是检查EBIt中有多少转化为自由现金流。在过去三年中,美年健康实际产生的自由现金流超过了EBIt。这种强劲的现金转化让我们像在Daft Punk音乐会上节拍掉落时人群一样兴奋。
Our View
我们的观点
Happily, Meinian Onehealth Healthcare Holdings's impressive conversion of EBIT to free cash flow implies it has the upper hand on its debt. But the stark truth is that we are concerned by its interest cover. It's also worth noting that Meinian Onehealth Healthcare Holdings is in the Healthcare industry, which is often considered to be quite defensive. Taking all this data into account, it seems to us that Meinian Onehealth Healthcare Holdings takes a pretty sensible approach to debt. While that brings some risk, it can also enhance returns for shareholders. Above most other metrics, we think its important to track how fast earnings per share is growing, if at all. If you've also come to that realization, you're in luck, because today you can view this interactive graph of Meinian Onehealth Healthcare Holdings's earnings per share history for free.
幸运的是,美年健康将EBIt转化为自由现金流的出色表现意味着它在债务方面占据优势。但严峻的事实是,我们对其利息覆盖率感到担忧。值得注意的是,美年健康处于医疗行业,该行业通常被认为相当防守。考虑到所有这些数据,我们认为美年健康在债务方面采取了相当明智的方法。虽然这带来了一些风险,但也可以提高股东的回报。我们认为,最重要的是跟踪每股收益的增长速度。如果你也意识到了这一点,那太好了,因为今天你可以免费查看美年健康每股收益历史的互动图表。
Of course, if you're the type of investor who prefers buying stocks without the burden of debt, then don't hesitate to discover our exclusive list of net cash growth stocks, today.
当然,如果你是那种喜欢购买没有债务负担的股票的投资者,那么不要犹豫,今天就来发现我们独家的净现金成长股票列表。
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