With a median price-to-earnings (or "P/E") ratio of close to 36x in China, you could be forgiven for feeling indifferent about Hoshine Silicon Industry Co., Ltd.'s (SHSE:603260) P/E ratio of 35x. Although, it's not wise to simply ignore the P/E without explanation as investors may be disregarding a distinct opportunity or a costly mistake.
Recent times haven't been advantageous for Hoshine Silicon Industry as its earnings have been falling quicker than most other companies. It might be that many expect the dismal earnings performance to revert back to market averages soon, which has kept the P/E from falling. If you still like the company, you'd want its earnings trajectory to turn around before making any decisions. If not, then existing shareholders may be a little nervous about the viability of the share price.
If you'd like to see what analysts are forecasting going forward, you should check out our free report on Hoshine Silicon Industry.
Does Growth Match The P/E?
There's an inherent assumption that a company should be matching the market for P/E ratios like Hoshine Silicon Industry's to be considered reasonable.
If we review the last year of earnings, dishearteningly the company's profits fell to the tune of 34%. As a result, earnings from three years ago have also fallen 72% overall. Accordingly, shareholders would have felt downbeat about the medium-term rates of earnings growth.
Shifting to the future, estimates from the six analysts covering the company suggest earnings should grow by 72% over the next year. Meanwhile, the rest of the market is forecast to only expand by 38%, which is noticeably less attractive.
In light of this, it's curious that Hoshine Silicon Industry's P/E sits in line with the majority of other companies. Apparently some shareholders are skeptical of the forecasts and have been accepting lower selling prices.
The Final Word
Using the price-to-earnings ratio alone to determine if you should sell your stock isn't sensible, however it can be a practical guide to the company's future prospects.
We've established that Hoshine Silicon Industry currently trades on a lower than expected P/E since its forecast growth is higher than the wider market. There could be some unobserved threats to earnings preventing the P/E ratio from matching the positive outlook. At least the risk of a price drop looks to be subdued, but investors seem to think future earnings could see some volatility.
There are also other vital risk factors to consider and we've discovered 3 warning signs for Hoshine Silicon Industry (1 is significant!) that you should be aware of before investing here.
Of course, you might also be able to find a better stock than Hoshine Silicon Industry. So you may wish to see this free collection of other companies that have reasonable P/E ratios and have grown earnings strongly.
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