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Private Companies in Sinotrans Limited (HKG:598) Are Its Biggest Bettors, and Their Bets Paid off as Stock Gained 3.1% Last Week

Private Companies in Sinotrans Limited (HKG:598) Are Its Biggest Bettors, and Their Bets Paid off as Stock Gained 3.1% Last Week

中国外运(港股代码:598)中的私人公司是其最大的赌注者,他们的投资在上周得到了回报,股票上涨了3.1%
Simply Wall St ·  2024/12/28 07:03

Key Insights

关键洞察

  • Sinotrans' significant private companies ownership suggests that the key decisions are influenced by shareholders from the larger public
  • The largest shareholder of the company is China Merchants Group Limited with a 59% stake
  • 18% of Sinotrans is held by Institutions
  • 中国外运的私营公司持股比例较高,表明关键决策受到大型股东的影响。
  • 公司的最大股东是招商集团有限公司,持股比例为59%。
  • 18%的中国外运股份由机构持有。

If you want to know who really controls Sinotrans Limited (HKG:598), then you'll have to look at the makeup of its share registry. With 60% stake, private companies possess the maximum shares in the company. That is, the group stands to benefit the most if the stock rises (or lose the most if there is a downturn).

如果你想知道谁真正控制中国外运(HKG:598),那么你需要查看其股权登记的组成。持有60%股份的私营公司在公司中拥有最多的股份。也就是说,如果股票上涨,该集团将获得最大利益(如果下跌则损失最大)。

Clearly, private companies benefitted the most after the company's market cap rose by HK$798m last week.

显然,在公司市值上周增加了79800万港元后,私营公司受益最多。

In the chart below, we zoom in on the different ownership groups of Sinotrans.

在下面的图表中,我们详细查看了中国外运的不同持股群体。

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SEHK:598 Ownership Breakdown December 27th 2024
香港证券交易所:598 持股分布 2024年12月27日

What Does The Institutional Ownership Tell Us About Sinotrans?

机构持股告诉我们关于中国外运什么?

Institutions typically measure themselves against a benchmark when reporting to their own investors, so they often become more enthusiastic about a stock once it's included in a major index. We would expect most companies to have some institutions on the register, especially if they are growing.

机构通常在向自己的投资者报告时,会与基准进行比较,因此一旦股票被纳入主要指数,他们通常对该股票会更加热情。我们预期大多数公司在登记时都会有一些机构,尤其是当它们正在增长时。

We can see that Sinotrans does have institutional investors; and they hold a good portion of the company's stock. This can indicate that the company has a certain degree of credibility in the investment community. However, it is best to be wary of relying on the supposed validation that comes with institutional investors. They too, get it wrong sometimes. It is not uncommon to see a big share price drop if two large institutional investors try to sell out of a stock at the same time. So it is worth checking the past earnings trajectory of Sinotrans, (below). Of course, keep in mind that there are other factors to consider, too.

我们可以看到,中国外运确实有机构投资者,他们持有公司股票的相当一部分。这可能表明公司在投资社区中具有一定的可信度。然而,依赖机构投资者所带来的假定验证最好保持谨慎。他们有时也会犯错。如果两家大型机构投资者试图同时卖出一只股票,那么其股价大幅下跌并不罕见。因此,值得查看中国外运过去的盈利轨迹(如下所示)。当然,也要记住还有其他因素需要考虑。

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SEHK:598 Earnings and Revenue Growth December 27th 2024
SEHK:598 盈利和营业收入增长 2024年12月27日

We note that hedge funds don't have a meaningful investment in Sinotrans. Looking at our data, we can see that the largest shareholder is China Merchants Group Limited with 59% of shares outstanding. This implies that they have majority interest control of the future of the company. With 4.5% and 2.4% of the shares outstanding respectively, Fidelity International Ltd and LSV Asset Management are the second and third largest shareholders.

我们注意到对中国外运的对冲基金没有实质性投资。根据我们的数据,最大的股东是招商证券集团有限公司,拥有59%的已发行股份。这意味着他们对公司的未来具有控股权。富达国际有限公司和LSV资产管理公司分别持有4.5%和2.4%的已发行股份,是第二和第三大股东。

While it makes sense to study institutional ownership data for a company, it also makes sense to study analyst sentiments to know which way the wind is blowing. There are plenty of analysts covering the stock, so it might be worth seeing what they are forecasting, too.

虽然研究一家公司机构的所有权数据是有意义的,但研究分析师的看法也同样重要,以了解市场的动态。很多分析师关注这只股票,因此查看他们的预测也可能是值得的。

Insider Ownership Of Sinotrans

中国外运的内部股权

The definition of an insider can differ slightly between different countries, but members of the board of directors always count. Company management run the business, but the CEO will answer to the board, even if he or she is a member of it.

内部人的定义在不同国家之间可能略有不同,但董事会成员总是算作内部人。公司管理层负责运营业务,但首席执行官将向董事会负责,即使他或她是董事会的成员。

I generally consider insider ownership to be a good thing. However, on some occasions it makes it more difficult for other shareholders to hold the board accountable for decisions.

我通常认为内部人拥有股份是一件好事。然而,在某些情况下,这使得其他股东更难让董事会对决策负责。

Our data suggests that insiders own under 1% of Sinotrans Limited in their own names. But they may have an indirect interest through a corporate structure that we haven't picked up on. It's a big company, so even a small proportional interest can create alignment between the board and shareholders. In this case insiders own HK$142m worth of shares. It is good to see board members owning shares, but it might be worth checking if those insiders have been buying.

我们的数据显示,内部人士以自己名义持有的中国外运股份不足1%。但他们可能通过我们尚未发现的公司结构间接拥有利益。这是一家大公司,所以即使是小比例的利益也能在董事会和股东之间创造一致性。在这种情况下,内部人士拥有价值HK$14200万的股份。看到董事会成员持有股份是好的,但值得检查这些内部人士是否有在买入。

General Public Ownership

公众持股

The general public-- including retail investors -- own 22% stake in the company, and hence can't easily be ignored. While this group can't necessarily call the shots, it can certainly have a real influence on how the company is run.

公众---包括散户投资者---持有公司22%的股份,因此不能轻易被忽视。虽然这一群体不一定能做主,但他们确实能够对公司的运营产生实际影响。

Private Company Ownership

私有公司所有权

We can see that Private Companies own 60%, of the shares on issue. It might be worth looking deeper into this. If related parties, such as insiders, have an interest in one of these private companies, that should be disclosed in the annual report. Private companies may also have a strategic interest in the company.

我们可以看到,私人公司持有60%的已发行股票。值得进一步深入研究。如果相关方,比如内幕人士,对这些私人公司有兴趣,应该在年度报告中披露。私人公司也可能对该公司有战略利益。

Next Steps:

下一步:

It's always worth thinking about the different groups who own shares in a company. But to understand Sinotrans better, we need to consider many other factors. Take risks for example - Sinotrans has 1 warning sign we think you should be aware of.

我们始终应该考虑拥有公司股票的不同团体。但要更好地理解中国外运,我们需要考虑许多其他因素。比如,风险 - 中国外运有 1 个我们认为您应当了解的警告信号。

If you are like me, you may want to think about whether this company will grow or shrink. Luckily, you can check this free report showing analyst forecasts for its future.

如果你像我一样,你可能想考虑这家公司是会增长还是缩小。幸运的是,你可以查看这份免费的报告,了解分析师对其未来的预测。

NB: Figures in this article are calculated using data from the last twelve months, which refer to the 12-month period ending on the last date of the month the financial statement is dated. This may not be consistent with full year annual report figures.

注意:本文中的数字是根据过去十二个月的数据计算得出的,指的是截至财务报表日期的月份最后一天的12个月期间。这可能与完整年度的年报数字不一致。

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

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这篇来自Simply Wall St的文章是一般性的。我们根据历史数据和分析师预测提供评论,采用无偏见的方法,我们的文章并不旨在提供财务建议。它不构成对任何股票的买入或卖出建议,也未考虑到您的目标或财务状况。我们旨在为您提供以基本数据驱动的长期分析。请注意,我们的分析可能未考虑最新的价格敏感公司公告或定性材料。Simply Wall St在提到的任何股票中均没有持仓。

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