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The One-year Decline in Earnings Might Be Taking Its Toll on Shanghai Mechanical & Electrical IndustryLtd (SHSE:600835) Shareholders as Stock Falls 4.2% Over the Past Week

The One-year Decline in Earnings Might Be Taking Its Toll on Shanghai Mechanical & Electrical IndustryLtd (SHSE:600835) Shareholders as Stock Falls 4.2% Over the Past Week

在过去的一周内,上海机械和电气行业有限公司(SHSE:600835)的股东可能受到了一年盈利下滑的影响,股价下降了4.2%。
Simply Wall St ·  2024/12/27 17:54

Passive investing in index funds can generate returns that roughly match the overall market. But if you pick the right individual stocks, you could make more than that. For example, the Shanghai Mechanical & Electrical Industry Co.,Ltd. (SHSE:600835) share price is up 56% in the last 1 year, clearly besting the market return of around 9.2% (not including dividends). So that should have shareholders smiling. The longer term returns have not been as good, with the stock price only 16% higher than it was three years ago.

被动投资于指数基金可以产生大致匹配整体市场的回报。但如果你选择正确的个别股票,那么你可能会获得更多。例如,上海机电B股有限公司(上海证券交易所代码:600835)在过去一年中股价上涨了56%,显然超过了市场回报的约9.2%(不包括分红派息)。所以这应该让股东们满意。长期回报并不好,股价仅比三年前上涨了16%。

While this past week has detracted from the company's one-year return, let's look at the recent trends of the underlying business and see if the gains have been in alignment.

尽管上周对公司的年度回报造成了影响,但让我们看看近期业务的趋势,看看收益是否与之相符。

To quote Buffett, 'Ships will sail around the world but the Flat Earth Society will flourish. There will continue to be wide discrepancies between price and value in the marketplace...' One way to examine how market sentiment has changed over time is to look at the interaction between a company's share price and its earnings per share (EPS).

用巴菲特的话说,‘船会在世界各地航行,但平地社会将繁荣。市场上价格和价值之间将继续存在巨大的差异……’一种检查市场情绪如何随着时间变化的方法是观察公司的股价与每股收益(EPS)之间的互动。

Over the last twelve months, Shanghai Mechanical & Electrical IndustryLtd actually shrank its EPS by 12%.

在过去的十二个月中,上海机电B股有限公司的每股收益实际上减少了12%。

This means it's unlikely the market is judging the company based on earnings growth. Since the change in EPS doesn't seem to correlate with the change in share price, it's worth taking a look at other metrics.

这意味着市场不太可能根据盈利增长来评估公司。由于每股收益的变化似乎与股价的变化没有关联,因此值得关注其他指标。

Unfortunately Shanghai Mechanical & Electrical IndustryLtd's fell 13% over twelve months. So the fundamental metrics don't provide an obvious explanation for the share price gain.

不幸的是,机电B股在过去十二个月里下跌了13%。因此,基本面指标并没有明显解释股价上涨的原因。

You can see how earnings and revenue have changed over time in the image below (click on the chart to see the exact values).

您可以在下面的图像中查看收益和营业收入随时间的变化(点击图表查看确切值)。

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SHSE:600835 Earnings and Revenue Growth December 28th 2024
SHSE:600835 每股收益和营业收入增长 2024年12月28日

If you are thinking of buying or selling Shanghai Mechanical & Electrical IndustryLtd stock, you should check out this FREE detailed report on its balance sheet.

如果您考虑买入或卖出机电B股股票,您应该查看这个免费的详细报告,了解其资产负债表。

What About Dividends?

关于分红派息的问题

When looking at investment returns, it is important to consider the difference between total shareholder return (TSR) and share price return. The TSR incorporates the value of any spin-offs or discounted capital raisings, along with any dividends, based on the assumption that the dividends are reinvested. So for companies that pay a generous dividend, the TSR is often a lot higher than the share price return. As it happens, Shanghai Mechanical & Electrical IndustryLtd's TSR for the last 1 year was 64%, which exceeds the share price return mentioned earlier. This is largely a result of its dividend payments!

在考虑投资回报时,重要的是考虑总股东回报(TSR)和股价回报之间的差异。TSR包括任何分拆或折扣融资的价值,以及基于分红再投资假设的任何分红。因此,对于那些支付慷慨分红的公司而言,TSR通常远高于股价回报。实际上,机电B股在过去一年中的TSR为64%,超过前面提到的股价回报。这在很大程度上是由于其分红支付造成的!

A Different Perspective

不同的视角

It's nice to see that Shanghai Mechanical & Electrical IndustryLtd shareholders have received a total shareholder return of 64% over the last year. Of course, that includes the dividend. That's better than the annualised return of 5% over half a decade, implying that the company is doing better recently. In the best case scenario, this may hint at some real business momentum, implying that now could be a great time to delve deeper. I find it very interesting to look at share price over the long term as a proxy for business performance. But to truly gain insight, we need to consider other information, too. Consider risks, for instance. Every company has them, and we've spotted 1 warning sign for Shanghai Mechanical & Electrical IndustryLtd you should know about.

很高兴看到机电B股的股东在过去一年中获得了总股东回报64%。当然,这包括分红派息。比起过去五年的年化回报5%,这要好得多,这暗示公司最近表现更佳。在最佳情况下,这可能暗示一些真正的业务动能,这意味着现在可能是深入研究的好时机。 我发现从长远来看,观察股票价格作为业务表现的代理是非常有趣的。但要真正获得洞察,我们还需要考虑其他信息。例如,考虑风险。每个公司都有风险,我们已经发现1个关于机电B股的警告信号,你应该知道。

If you like to buy stocks alongside management, then you might just love this free list of companies. (Hint: many of them are unnoticed AND have attractive valuation).

如果你喜欢与管理层一起买入股票,那么你可能会喜欢这个免费的公司名单。(提示:很多公司鲜为人知,而且估值吸引。)

Please note, the market returns quoted in this article reflect the market weighted average returns of stocks that currently trade on Chinese exchanges.

请注意,本文中引用的市场回报反映了目前在中国交易所交易的股票的市场加权平均回报。

Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com.
This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

对本文有反馈?对内容有疑虑?请直接与我们联系。或者,发送电子邮件至 editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com。
这篇来自Simply Wall St的文章是一般性的。我们根据历史数据和分析师预测提供评论,采用无偏见的方法,我们的文章并不旨在提供财务建议。它不构成对任何股票的买入或卖出建议,也未考虑到您的目标或财务状况。我们旨在为您提供以基本数据驱动的长期分析。请注意,我们的分析可能未考虑最新的价格敏感公司公告或定性材料。Simply Wall St在提到的任何股票中均没有持仓。

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