Is MGI Tech (SHSE:688114) Using Debt In A Risky Way?
Is MGI Tech (SHSE:688114) Using Debt In A Risky Way?
The external fund manager backed by Berkshire Hathaway's Charlie Munger, Li Lu, makes no bones about it when he says 'The biggest investment risk is not the volatility of prices, but whether you will suffer a permanent loss of capital.' It's only natural to consider a company's balance sheet when you examine how risky it is, since debt is often involved when a business collapses. Importantly, MGI Tech Co., Ltd. (SHSE:688114) does carry debt. But should shareholders be worried about its use of debt?
受到伯克希尔·哈撒韦的查理·芒格支持的外部基金经理李 Lu 直言不讳地说:'最大的投资风险不是价格的波动,而是你是否会遭受永久性资本损失。' 在研究一家公司风险的同时,考虑其资产负债表是理所当然的,因为企业崩溃时往往涉及债务。 重要的是,MGI Tech Co., Ltd. (SHSE:688114) 确实有债务。 但股东是否应该担心其债务的使用?
Why Does Debt Bring Risk?
为什么债务带来风险?
Debt is a tool to help businesses grow, but if a business is incapable of paying off its lenders, then it exists at their mercy. Part and parcel of capitalism is the process of 'creative destruction' where failed businesses are mercilessly liquidated by their bankers. However, a more common (but still painful) scenario is that it has to raise new equity capital at a low price, thus permanently diluting shareholders. Having said that, the most common situation is where a company manages its debt reasonably well - and to its own advantage. The first thing to do when considering how much debt a business uses is to look at its cash and debt together.
债务是帮助企业成长的工具,但如果一家公司无法偿还贷款人,那么它就处于他们的掌控之中。 资本主义的一个重要部分是'创造性破坏'的过程,失败的企业会被其银行无情清算。 然而,更常见(但依然痛苦)的情景是,企业不得不以低价筹集新股本,从而永久性稀释股东。 话虽如此,最常见的情况是公司合理管理其债务——并且对其自身有利。 在考虑一家公司使用多少债务时,首要做的就是将其现金与债务一起查看。
What Is MGI Tech's Net Debt?
MGI Tech 的净债务是多少?
The image below, which you can click on for greater detail, shows that at September 2024 MGI Tech had debt of CN¥487.1m, up from CN¥299.6m in one year. But on the other hand it also has CN¥3.62b in cash, leading to a CN¥3.14b net cash position.
下图可以点击以获取更详细信息,显示到2024年9月,MGI Tech 的债务为48710万人民币,较一年前的29960万人民币有所增加。 另一方面,它还有36.2亿人民币的现金,导致其净现金头寸为31.4亿人民币。
A Look At MGI Tech's Liabilities
MGI科技的负债概览
According to the last reported balance sheet, MGI Tech had liabilities of CN¥1.28b due within 12 months, and liabilities of CN¥672.3m due beyond 12 months. Offsetting this, it had CN¥3.62b in cash and CN¥1.23b in receivables that were due within 12 months. So it can boast CN¥2.90b more liquid assets than total liabilities.
根据最近公布的资产负债表,MGI科技的负债为12.8亿人民币,12个月内到期的负债为67230万元。对此,MGI科技有36.2亿人民币的现金和12.3亿人民币的应收账款,12个月内到期。因此它可以自豪地说,流动资产比总负债多出29亿人民币。
This short term liquidity is a sign that MGI Tech could probably pay off its debt with ease, as its balance sheet is far from stretched. Succinctly put, MGI Tech boasts net cash, so it's fair to say it does not have a heavy debt load! When analysing debt levels, the balance sheet is the obvious place to start. But ultimately the future profitability of the business will decide if MGI Tech can strengthen its balance sheet over time. So if you want to see what the professionals think, you might find this free report on analyst profit forecasts to be interesting.
短期流动性表明,MGI科技可能可以轻松偿还其债务,因为其资产负债表并不紧张。简而言之,MGI科技拥有净现金,因此可以公平地说,它没有沉重的债务负担!在分析债务水平时,资产负债表显然是开始的地方。但最终,业务的未来盈利能力将决定MGI科技能否逐步改善其资产负债表。因此,如果你想看看专业人士的看法,您可能会发现这份关于分析师利润预测的免费报告很有趣。
In the last year MGI Tech had a loss before interest and tax, and actually shrunk its revenue by 18%, to CN¥2.6b. We would much prefer see growth.
在过去的一年里,MGI科技在利息和税前出现了亏损,实际营业收入减少了18%,降至26亿人民币。我们更希望看到的是增长。
So How Risky Is MGI Tech?
那么,MGI科技有多危险?
We have no doubt that loss making companies are, in general, riskier than profitable ones. And we do note that MGI Tech had an earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) loss, over the last year. And over the same period it saw negative free cash outflow of CN¥1.4b and booked a CN¥873m accounting loss. While this does make the company a bit risky, it's important to remember it has net cash of CN¥3.14b. That kitty means the company can keep spending for growth for at least two years, at current rates. Overall, its balance sheet doesn't seem overly risky, at the moment, but we're always cautious until we see the positive free cash flow. There's no doubt that we learn most about debt from the balance sheet. But ultimately, every company can contain risks that exist outside of the balance sheet. These risks can be hard to spot. Every company has them, and we've spotted 1 warning sign for MGI Tech you should know about.
我们毫不怀疑,失利公司通常比盈利公司风险更大。我们注意到,MGI科技在过去一年内出现了息税前盈利(EBIT)亏损,并且在同一时期,它还出现了14亿人民币的负自由现金流和87300万元的会计亏损。虽然这确实让公司有点危险,但重要的是要记住它拥有31.4亿人民币的净现金。这笔资金意味着公司可以在目前的支出水平下,继续进行两年的增长支出。总体而言,目前其资产负债表似乎不是过于风险,但在看到积极的自由现金流之前,我们总是保持谨慎。毫无疑问,我们从资产负债表中了解到大部分关于债务的信息。但最终,每家公司都可能存在资产负债表之外的风险。这些风险可能难以发现。每家公司都有它们,而我们发现MGI科技有一个您应该知道的警告信号。
At the end of the day, it's often better to focus on companies that are free from net debt. You can access our special list of such companies (all with a track record of profit growth). It's free.
最终,通常更好的是关注没有净负债的公司。你可以访问我们特别列出这些公司的名单(所有公司都有盈利增长的记录)。这是免费的。
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