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Is Shanghai Jahwa United (SHSE:600315) A Risky Investment?

Is Shanghai Jahwa United (SHSE:600315) A Risky Investment?

上海家化(SHSE:600315)是一项风险投资吗?
Simply Wall St ·  2024/12/30 09:29

Howard Marks put it nicely when he said that, rather than worrying about share price volatility, 'The possibility of permanent loss is the risk I worry about... and every practical investor I know worries about.' So it seems the smart money knows that debt - which is usually involved in bankruptcies - is a very important factor, when you assess how risky a company is. As with many other companies Shanghai Jahwa United Co., Ltd. (SHSE:600315) makes use of debt. But the more important question is: how much risk is that debt creating?

霍华德·马克斯很好地指出,投资者应该担心的不是股票价格的波动,而是“永久性损失的可能性,这是我所担心的风险……这是我认识的每一个实际投资者都在担心的。”所以,聪明的钱知道,债务——通常与破产相关——在评估一家公司的风险时是一个非常重要的因素。与其他许多公司一样,上海家化股份有限公司(SHSE:600315)也利用债务。但更重要的问题是:这种债务造成了多少风险?

When Is Debt A Problem?

何时债务成为问题?

Debt is a tool to help businesses grow, but if a business is incapable of paying off its lenders, then it exists at their mercy. In the worst case scenario, a company can go bankrupt if it cannot pay its creditors. While that is not too common, we often do see indebted companies permanently diluting shareholders because lenders force them to raise capital at a distressed price. Of course, plenty of companies use debt to fund growth, without any negative consequences. When we examine debt levels, we first consider both cash and debt levels, together.

债务是帮助企业成长的工具,但如果一个企业无法偿还其债权人,那么它就处于他们的掌控之中。在最坏的情况下,如果无法偿还债务,该公司可能会破产。虽然这种情况并不多见,但我们常常会看到负债公司的股东被永久性稀释,因为债权人迫使他们以低价筹集资金。当然,许多公司利用债务来资助增长,而没有任何负面后果。当我们考察债务水平时,首先需要同时考虑现金和债务水平。

What Is Shanghai Jahwa United's Net Debt?

上海家化的净债务是多少?

As you can see below, at the end of September 2024, Shanghai Jahwa United had CN¥651.5m of debt, up from CN¥531.2m a year ago. Click the image for more detail. However, its balance sheet shows it holds CN¥3.26b in cash, so it actually has CN¥2.61b net cash.

正如您在下面看到的,截至2024年9月底,上海家化的债务为65150万人民币,比一年前的53120万人民币有所增加。单击图像以查看更多详细信息。然而,其资产负债表显示它持有32.6亿人民币的现金,因此其实际净现金为26.1亿人民币。

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SHSE:600315 Debt to Equity History December 30th 2024
SHSE:600315 债务与权益历史 2024年12月30日

How Healthy Is Shanghai Jahwa United's Balance Sheet?

上海家化的资产负债表健康吗?

We can see from the most recent balance sheet that Shanghai Jahwa United had liabilities of CN¥2.86b falling due within a year, and liabilities of CN¥645.4m due beyond that. Offsetting this, it had CN¥3.26b in cash and CN¥916.8m in receivables that were due within 12 months. So it can boast CN¥679.1m more liquid assets than total liabilities.

我们可以从最新的资产负债表中看到,上海家化的流动负债为28.6亿人民币,长期负债为64540万人民币。与此相对,它有32.6亿人民币的现金和91680万人民币的应收账款在12个月内到期。因此,它的流动资产比总负债多67910万人民币。

This surplus suggests that Shanghai Jahwa United has a conservative balance sheet, and could probably eliminate its debt without much difficulty. Simply put, the fact that Shanghai Jahwa United has more cash than debt is arguably a good indication that it can manage its debt safely.

这项盈余表明上海家化的资产负债表较为保守,而且很可能能够轻松偿还债务。简单来说,上海家化拥有的现金超过债务,这无疑是它能够安全管理债务的良好迹象。

It is just as well that Shanghai Jahwa United's load is not too heavy, because its EBIT was down 44% over the last year. When it comes to paying off debt, falling earnings are no more useful than sugary sodas are for your health. There's no doubt that we learn most about debt from the balance sheet. But it is future earnings, more than anything, that will determine Shanghai Jahwa United's ability to maintain a healthy balance sheet going forward. So if you want to see what the professionals think, you might find this free report on analyst profit forecasts to be interesting.

值得欣慰的是,上海家化的负担并不重,因为其EBIT在过去一年下降了44%。在偿还债务方面,收入下降对健康的帮助就像甜饮料对你的健康一样无益。毫无疑问,我们从资产负债表中学习到大部分关于债务的知识。但是,未来的收益,尤为重要,将判断上海家化未来维持健康资产负债表的能力。因此,如果你想看看专业人士的看法,你可能会发现这份关于分析师利润预测的免费报告很有趣。

Finally, while the tax-man may adore accounting profits, lenders only accept cold hard cash. While Shanghai Jahwa United has net cash on its balance sheet, it's still worth taking a look at its ability to convert earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) to free cash flow, to help us understand how quickly it is building (or eroding) that cash balance. Over the most recent three years, Shanghai Jahwa United recorded free cash flow worth 57% of its EBIT, which is around normal, given free cash flow excludes interest and tax. This cold hard cash means it can reduce its debt when it wants to.

最后,尽管税务局可能喜欢会计利润,但贷款人只接受冷硬现金。虽然上海家化的资产负债表上有净现金,但仍然值得关注其将息税前利润(EBIT)转换为自由现金流的能力,以帮助我们理解它是在快速增加(或减少)现金余额。在最近三年中,上海家化记录的自由现金流占其EBIT的57%,这是正常水平,因为自由现金流不包括利息和税。这个冷硬现金意味着它可以在需要的时候减少债务。

Summing Up

总结

While we empathize with investors who find debt concerning, you should keep in mind that Shanghai Jahwa United has net cash of CN¥2.61b, as well as more liquid assets than liabilities. So we don't have any problem with Shanghai Jahwa United's use of debt. When analysing debt levels, the balance sheet is the obvious place to start. But ultimately, every company can contain risks that exist outside of the balance sheet. For instance, we've identified 3 warning signs for Shanghai Jahwa United that you should be aware of.

虽然我们同情那些对债务感到担忧的投资者,但你应该记住,上海家化的净现金为26.1亿人民币,并且其流动资产超过负债。 所以我们并不担心上海家化使用债务。 在分析债务水平时,资产负债表显然是开始的地方。 但是最终,每家公司都可能存在资产负债表之外的风险。 例如,我们已经发现了 3个需要你注意的上海家化的警告信号。

If, after all that, you're more interested in a fast growing company with a rock-solid balance sheet, then check out our list of net cash growth stocks without delay.

If, after all that, you're more interested in a fast growing company with a rock-solid balance sheet, then check out our list of net cash growth stocks without delay.

Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com.
This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

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这篇来自Simply Wall St的文章是一般性的。我们根据历史数据和分析师预测提供评论,采用无偏见的方法,我们的文章并不旨在提供财务建议。它不构成对任何股票的买入或卖出建议,也未考虑到您的目标或财务状况。我们旨在为您提供以基本数据驱动的长期分析。请注意,我们的分析可能未考虑最新的价格敏感公司公告或定性材料。Simply Wall St在提到的任何股票中均没有持仓。

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