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V.F (NYSE:VFC) Shareholders Have Endured a 74% Loss From Investing in the Stock Five Years Ago

V.F (NYSE:VFC) Shareholders Have Endured a 74% Loss From Investing in the Stock Five Years Ago

V.F (纽交所:VFC) 的股东在五年前投资该股票时遭受了74%的损失。
Simply Wall St ·  2024/12/30 18:36

Long term investing works well, but it doesn't always work for each individual stock. We really hate to see fellow investors lose their hard-earned money. Anyone who held V.F. Corporation (NYSE:VFC) for five years would be nursing their metaphorical wounds since the share price dropped 78% in that time.

长期投资效果良好,但并非对每只个股都有成效。我们非常不喜欢看到投资者失去他们辛苦 earned 的钱。任何持有 V.F. Corporation (纽交所:VFC) 五年的人都可能在心中默默感到痛苦,因为在这段时间内,股价下跌了 78%。

So let's have a look and see if the longer term performance of the company has been in line with the underlying business' progress.

所以让我们看看公司的长期表现是否与其基本业务的发展相符。

In his essay The Superinvestors of Graham-and-Doddsville Warren Buffett described how share prices do not always rationally reflect the value of a business. One imperfect but simple way to consider how the market perception of a company has shifted is to compare the change in the earnings per share (EPS) with the share price movement.

在他的文章《Graham和Doddsville的超级投资者》中,沃伦·巴菲特描述了股价并不总是理性反映一家企业的价值。一种不完美但简单的方法来考虑市场对一家公司的看法如何变化是将每股收益(EPS)的变化与股价变动进行比较。

We know that V.F has been profitable in the past. However, it made a loss in the last twelve months, suggesting profit may be an unreliable metric at this stage. Other metrics might give us a better handle on how its value is changing over time.

我们知道 V.F. 在过去是盈利的。然而,它在过去的十二个月中亏损了,这说明利润在这个阶段可能并不是一个可靠的指标。其他指标可能更能帮助我们了解其价值如何随时间变化。

We don't think that the 1.7% is big factor in the share price, since it's quite small, as dividends go. Revenue is actually up 2.5% over the time period. So it seems one might have to take closer look at the fundamentals to understand why the share price languishes. After all, there may be an opportunity.

我们认为 1.7% 在股价中并不是一个重要因素,因为这在分红中相对较小。在这段时间内,营业收入实际上增长了 2.5%。因此,似乎我们必须更仔细地审视基本面,以了解为何股价表现不佳。毕竟,这可能是一个机会。

The graphic below depicts how earnings and revenue have changed over time (unveil the exact values by clicking on the image).

下面的图表显示了收益和营收随时间的变化情况(通过单击图像揭示确切的值)。

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NYSE:VFC Earnings and Revenue Growth December 30th 2024
纽交所:VFC 每股收益和营业收入增长 2024年12月30日

We consider it positive that insiders have made significant purchases in the last year. Having said that, most people consider earnings and revenue growth trends to be a more meaningful guide to the business. You can see what analysts are predicting for V.F in this interactive graph of future profit estimates.

我们认为高管在过去一年间进行了大量购买是一个积极的信号。尽管如此,大多数人认为每股收益和营业收入增长的趋势对业务更具指导意义。你可以在这个互动图表中查看分析师对V.F的未来利润估计的预测。

What About Dividends?

关于分红派息的问题

It is important to consider the total shareholder return, as well as the share price return, for any given stock. Whereas the share price return only reflects the change in the share price, the TSR includes the value of dividends (assuming they were reinvested) and the benefit of any discounted capital raising or spin-off. So for companies that pay a generous dividend, the TSR is often a lot higher than the share price return. As it happens, V.F's TSR for the last 5 years was -74%, which exceeds the share price return mentioned earlier. The dividends paid by the company have thusly boosted the total shareholder return.

考虑总股东回报以及任何给定股票的股价回报是非常重要的。股价回报仅反映股价的变化,而总股东回报则包括分红的价值(假设已再投资)以及任何折扣融资或剥离的利益。因此,对于那些支付丰厚分红的公司,总股东回报通常远高于股价回报。实际上,V.F在过去5年的总股东回报为-74%,这超过了之前提到的股价回报。公司支付的分红因此提升了总股东回报。

A Different Perspective

不同的视角

V.F shareholders gained a total return of 18% during the year. But that was short of the market average. On the bright side, that's still a gain, and it is certainly better than the yearly loss of about 12% endured over half a decade. So this might be a sign the business has turned its fortunes around. While it is well worth considering the different impacts that market conditions can have on the share price, there are other factors that are even more important. Even so, be aware that V.F is showing 2 warning signs in our investment analysis , and 1 of those shouldn't be ignored...

V.F的股东在过去一年获得了总回报18%。但这低于市场平均水平。 好的一面是,这仍然是收益,而且肯定比过去五年遭受的每年约12%的损失要好。所以这可能是业务转好的一种迹象。 虽然考虑市场条件对股价可能产生的不同影响是非常值得的,但还有其他因素更为重要。 即便如此,请注意,V.F在我们的投资分析中显示出2个警告信号,其中1个不应该被忽视...

If you like to buy stocks alongside management, then you might just love this free list of companies. (Hint: most of them are flying under the radar).

如果你喜欢与管理层一起买入股票,那么你可能会喜欢这份免费的公司名单。(提示:它们中的大多数都在雷达下飞行)。

Please note, the market returns quoted in this article reflect the market weighted average returns of stocks that currently trade on American exchanges.

请注意,本文中引用的市场回报反映了当前在美国交易所上市股票的市场加权平均回报。

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

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这篇来自Simply Wall St的文章是一般性的。我们根据历史数据和分析师预测提供评论,采用无偏见的方法,我们的文章并不旨在提供财务建议。它不构成对任何股票的买入或卖出建议,也未考虑到您的目标或财务状况。我们旨在为您提供以基本数据驱动的长期分析。请注意,我们的分析可能未考虑最新的价格敏感公司公告或定性材料。Simply Wall St在提到的任何股票中均没有持仓。

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