Is TJX Companies (NYSE:TJX) Using Too Much Debt?
Is TJX Companies (NYSE:TJX) Using Too Much Debt?
Some say volatility, rather than debt, is the best way to think about risk as an investor, but Warren Buffett famously said that 'Volatility is far from synonymous with risk.' When we think about how risky a company is, we always like to look at its use of debt, since debt overload can lead to ruin. As with many other companies The TJX Companies, Inc. (NYSE:TJX) makes use of debt. But the real question is whether this debt is making the company risky.
有些人认为,相比于债务,波动性是投资者思考风险的最佳方式,但沃伦·巴菲特曾著名地说过:'波动性与风险远非同义词。' 当我们考虑一家公司有多大风险时,我们总是喜欢查看其债务的使用,因为债务过载可能导致毁灭。与许多其他公司一样,TJX公司(纽交所:TJX)也利用了债务。但真正的问题是,这些债务是否使公司变得有风险。
Why Does Debt Bring Risk?
为什么债务带来风险?
Debt and other liabilities become risky for a business when it cannot easily fulfill those obligations, either with free cash flow or by raising capital at an attractive price. Ultimately, if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt, shareholders could walk away with nothing. While that is not too common, we often do see indebted companies permanently diluting shareholders because lenders force them to raise capital at a distressed price. Of course, plenty of companies use debt to fund growth, without any negative consequences. The first thing to do when considering how much debt a business uses is to look at its cash and debt together.
当企业无法轻松履行债务和其他负债,无法依靠自由现金流或以具有吸引力的价格筹集资本时,这些债务就会变得具有风险。最终,如果公司无法履行还债的法律义务,股东可能会一无所获。虽然这种情况并不常见,但我们确实经常看到负债累累的公司因为贷方迫使他们以困境价格筹集资金而永久稀释股东权益。当然,许多公司使用债务来资助增长,且没有任何负面后果。考虑一家企业使用多少债务时,首先要查看其现金和债务的结合情况。
What Is TJX Companies's Net Debt?
TJX公司的净债务是多少?
As you can see below, TJX Companies had US$2.87b of debt, at November 2024, which is about the same as the year before. You can click the chart for greater detail. However, it does have US$4.72b in cash offsetting this, leading to net cash of US$1.85b.
正如您在下面看到的,截止到2024年11月,TJX公司有28.7亿美元的债务,与前一年大致相同。您可以点击图表以获取更详细的信息。然而,它拥有47.2亿美元的现金来抵消这些债务,导致净现金为18.5亿美元。
How Strong Is TJX Companies' Balance Sheet?
TJX公司的资产负债表究竟有多强?
According to the last reported balance sheet, TJX Companies had liabilities of US$12.0b due within 12 months, and liabilities of US$12.2b due beyond 12 months. On the other hand, it had cash of US$4.72b and US$717.0m worth of receivables due within a year. So it has liabilities totalling US$18.8b more than its cash and near-term receivables, combined.
根据最近报告的资产负债表,TJX公司在12个月内的负债为120亿美元,12个月后的负债为122亿美元。另一方面,它的现金为47.2亿美元,1年内应收账款为71700万美元。因此,它的负债总额为188亿美元,超过其现金和短期应收账款之和。
Of course, TJX Companies has a titanic market capitalization of US$139.3b, so these liabilities are probably manageable. Having said that, it's clear that we should continue to monitor its balance sheet, lest it change for the worse. While it does have liabilities worth noting, TJX Companies also has more cash than debt, so we're pretty confident it can manage its debt safely.
当然,TJX公司的市值高达1393亿美元,因此这些负债可能在可管理之中。尽管如此,显然我们应该继续关注其资产负债表,以免它发生不利变化。虽然它确实有值得注意的负债,但TJX公司的现金超过债务,因此我们相当有信心它能够安全管理其债务。
And we also note warmly that TJX Companies grew its EBIT by 17% last year, making its debt load easier to handle. The balance sheet is clearly the area to focus on when you are analysing debt. But it is future earnings, more than anything, that will determine TJX Companies's ability to maintain a healthy balance sheet going forward. So if you're focused on the future you can check out this free report showing analyst profit forecasts.
我们还温馨地指出,TJX公司去年的EBIT增长了17%,这使得其债务负担更加容易处理。在分析债务时,资产负债表显然是需要关注的重点。但更重要的是未来的收益,这将判断TJX公司未来维持健康资产负债表的能力。因此,如果你关注未来,可以查看这份免费的报告,展示分析师的盈利预测。
Finally, a business needs free cash flow to pay off debt; accounting profits just don't cut it. TJX Companies may have net cash on the balance sheet, but it is still interesting to look at how well the business converts its earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) to free cash flow, because that will influence both its need for, and its capacity to manage debt. During the last three years, TJX Companies produced sturdy free cash flow equating to 61% of its EBIT, about what we'd expect. This cold hard cash means it can reduce its debt when it wants to.
最后,一家企业需要自由现金流来偿还债务;光有会计利润是不够的。TJX公司在资产负债表上可能有净现金,但看看企业将息税前利润(EBIT)转换为自由现金流的效率仍然很有趣,因为这将影响其对债务的需求和管理能力。在过去三年中,TJX公司产生了61%的稳定自由现金流,正好符合我们的预期。这笔冷硬的现金意味着它可以在需要时减少债务。
Summing Up
总结
Although TJX Companies's balance sheet isn't particularly strong, due to the total liabilities, it is clearly positive to see that it has net cash of US$1.85b. And we liked the look of last year's 17% year-on-year EBIT growth. So we don't think TJX Companies's use of debt is risky. When analysing debt levels, the balance sheet is the obvious place to start. But ultimately, every company can contain risks that exist outside of the balance sheet. For instance, we've identified 1 warning sign for TJX Companies that you should be aware of.
尽管TJX公司的资产负债表并不是特别强大,因为总负债较高,但看到它拥有净现金18.5亿美元显然是积极的。我们也喜欢去年的EBIT年增长17%的表现。因此,我们认为TJX公司的债务使用并不具有风险。在分析债务水平时,资产负债表显然是一个显而易见的起点。但最终,每家公司都可能存在资产负债表之外的风险。例如,我们发现了1个TJX公司需要注意的警示信号。
At the end of the day, it's often better to focus on companies that are free from net debt. You can access our special list of such companies (all with a track record of profit growth). It's free.
最终,通常更好的是关注没有净负债的公司。你可以访问我们特别列出这些公司的名单(所有公司都有盈利增长的记录)。这是免费的。
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