Is News (NASDAQ:NWSA) Using Too Much Debt?
Is News (NASDAQ:NWSA) Using Too Much Debt?
Some say volatility, rather than debt, is the best way to think about risk as an investor, but Warren Buffett famously said that 'Volatility is far from synonymous with risk.' It's only natural to consider a company's balance sheet when you examine how risky it is, since debt is often involved when a business collapses. We can see that News Corporation (NASDAQ:NWSA) does use debt in its business. But is this debt a concern to shareholders?
有人说波动性,而不是债务,是投资者考虑风险的最佳方式,但沃伦·巴菲特曾著名地表示,‘波动性远非与风险同义。’ 当你检查公司的资产负债表时,自然会考虑它的风险,因为企业崩溃时通常涉及债务。我们可以看到,福克斯公司(纳斯达克:NWSA)确实在其业务中使用债务。但这笔债务对股东来说是个问题吗?
When Is Debt A Problem?
何时债务成为问题?
Generally speaking, debt only becomes a real problem when a company can't easily pay it off, either by raising capital or with its own cash flow. Part and parcel of capitalism is the process of 'creative destruction' where failed businesses are mercilessly liquidated by their bankers. However, a more frequent (but still costly) occurrence is where a company must issue shares at bargain-basement prices, permanently diluting shareholders, just to shore up its balance sheet. Having said that, the most common situation is where a company manages its debt reasonably well - and to its own advantage. The first step when considering a company's debt levels is to consider its cash and debt together.
一般来说,债务只有在公司无法轻松偿还时,才会成为真正的问题,要么通过筹集资金,要么通过自身的现金流。资本主义的一个重要组成部分是'创造性毁灭'的过程,失败的企业会被其银行无情地清算。然而,更频繁(但仍然代价昂贵)的情况是公司必须以清仓价格发行股票,永久性稀释股东的股份,仅仅是为了巩固其资产负债表。话虽如此,最常见的情况是公司合理地管理其债务并从中获利。在考虑公司的债务水平时,第一步是将其现金和债务结合在一起考虑。
How Much Debt Does News Carry?
福克斯公司的债务有多少?
The chart below, which you can click on for greater detail, shows that News had US$2.89b in debt in September 2024; about the same as the year before. However, it does have US$1.79b in cash offsetting this, leading to net debt of about US$1.11b.
下面的图表可以点击获取更详细的信息,显示福克斯在2024年9月有28.9亿美金的债务;与前一年大致相同。然而,它有17.9亿美金的现金抵消这笔债务,导致净债务约为11.1亿美金。
How Healthy Is News' Balance Sheet?
新闻的资产负债表有多健康?
Zooming in on the latest balance sheet data, we can see that News had liabilities of US$3.27b due within 12 months and liabilities of US$4.49b due beyond that. Offsetting these obligations, it had cash of US$1.79b as well as receivables valued at US$1.77b due within 12 months. So its liabilities outweigh the sum of its cash and (near-term) receivables by US$4.21b.
深入查看最新的资产负债表数据,我们可以看到新闻在未来12个月内有32.7亿美元的负债,以及在此之后的负债为44.9亿美元。抵消这些义务,新闻有17.9亿美元的现金以及在未来12个月到期的应收账款价值为17.7亿美元。因此,其负债比现金和(短期)应收账款的总和多出42.1亿美元。
News has a very large market capitalization of US$16.4b, so it could very likely raise cash to ameliorate its balance sheet, if the need arose. But we definitely want to keep our eyes open to indications that its debt is bringing too much risk.
新闻的市值非常庞大,达到164亿美元,因此如果需要的话,它很可能能够筹集现金来改善其资产负债表。但我们确实希望保持警惕,观察其债务是否带来过多风险。
In order to size up a company's debt relative to its earnings, we calculate its net debt divided by its earnings before interest, tax, depreciation, and amortization (EBITDA) and its earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) divided by its interest expense (its interest cover). Thus we consider debt relative to earnings both with and without depreciation and amortization expenses.
为了衡量一家公司相对于其收益的债务水平,我们计算其净负债与利息、税项、折旧和摊销前利润(EBITDA)的比率,以及其利息和税项前利润(EBIT)与其利息支出(利息支付比率)的比率。因此,我们考虑了包括和不包括折旧和摊销费用的收益相对于债务的情况。
News has a low net debt to EBITDA ratio of only 0.87. And its EBIT covers its interest expense a whopping 10.9 times over. So we're pretty relaxed about its super-conservative use of debt. Also good is that News grew its EBIT at 12% over the last year, further increasing its ability to manage debt. The balance sheet is clearly the area to focus on when you are analysing debt. But it is future earnings, more than anything, that will determine News's ability to maintain a healthy balance sheet going forward. So if you want to see what the professionals think, you might find this free report on analyst profit forecasts to be interesting.
新闻的净债务与EBITDA的比率仅为0.87。而且它的EBIT对利息费用的覆盖率高达10.9倍。因此,我们对其超保守的债务使用感到相当放松。同样好的是,新闻在过去一年中将EBIT增长了12%,进一步增强了其管理债务的能力。当你分析债务时,资产负债表显然是重点关注的领域。但未来的收益,超过任何其他因素,将决定新闻在未来保持健康资产负债表的能力。因此,如果你想看看专业人士的看法,您可能会发现这份关于分析师利润预测的免费报告很有趣。
Finally, a business needs free cash flow to pay off debt; accounting profits just don't cut it. So the logical step is to look at the proportion of that EBIT that is matched by actual free cash flow. Over the last three years, News recorded free cash flow worth a fulsome 83% of its EBIT, which is stronger than we'd usually expect. That puts it in a very strong position to pay down debt.
最后,一项业务需要自由现金流来偿还债务;会计利润是不够的。因此,逻辑步骤是查看EBIT中有多少比例与实际自由现金流相匹配。在过去三年中,新闻记录的自由现金流价值达到了EBIT的83%,这比我们通常期望的要强。这使其在偿还债务方面处于非常强的位置。
Our View
我们的观点
News's conversion of EBIT to free cash flow suggests it can handle its debt as easily as Cristiano Ronaldo could score a goal against an under 14's goalkeeper. And the good news does not stop there, as its interest cover also supports that impression! Zooming out, News seems to use debt quite reasonably; and that gets the nod from us. After all, sensible leverage can boost returns on equity. Of course, we wouldn't say no to the extra confidence that we'd gain if we knew that News insiders have been buying shares: if you're on the same wavelength, you can find out if insiders are buying by clicking this link.
新闻将EBIT转化为自由现金流的能力表明它能够轻松应对债务,就像克里斯蒂亚诺·罗纳尔多对阵14岁以下的守门员时打进一球一样。好消息还不止于此,因为它的利息覆盖也支持这种印象!从整体来看,新闻似乎相当合理地使用债务;这也得到了我们的认可。毕竟,合理的杠杆能够提高股本回报。当然,如果我们知道新闻的内部人士在买入股票,我们会更有信心:如果你和我们有相同的看法,可以通过点击这个链接查找内部人士的买入情况。
Of course, if you're the type of investor who prefers buying stocks without the burden of debt, then don't hesitate to discover our exclusive list of net cash growth stocks, today.
当然,如果你是那种喜欢购买没有债务负担的股票的投资者,那么不要犹豫,今天就来发现我们独家的净现金成长股票列表。
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