We Think Zhejiang Sunoren Solar TechnologyLtd (SHSE:603105) Is Taking Some Risk With Its Debt
We Think Zhejiang Sunoren Solar TechnologyLtd (SHSE:603105) Is Taking Some Risk With Its Debt
Warren Buffett famously said, 'Volatility is far from synonymous with risk.' So it seems the smart money knows that debt - which is usually involved in bankruptcies - is a very important factor, when you assess how risky a company is. We note that Zhejiang Sunoren Solar Technology Co.,Ltd. (SHSE:603105) does have debt on its balance sheet. But should shareholders be worried about its use of debt?
沃伦·巴菲特曾 famously 说过:'波动性远不等同于风险。' 所以聪明的钱知道,债务——通常与破产相关——在评估公司风险时是一个非常重要的因素。我们注意到,浙江芯能科技有限公司(SHSE:603105)确实在其资产负债表上有债务。但是股东们是否应该担心它的债务使用?
When Is Debt Dangerous?
债务何时会变得危险?
Debt assists a business until the business has trouble paying it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. Part and parcel of capitalism is the process of 'creative destruction' where failed businesses are mercilessly liquidated by their bankers. However, a more frequent (but still costly) occurrence is where a company must issue shares at bargain-basement prices, permanently diluting shareholders, just to shore up its balance sheet. Of course, plenty of companies use debt to fund growth, without any negative consequences. When we examine debt levels, we first consider both cash and debt levels, together.
债务可以帮助企业,直到企业在偿还时遇到困难,要么是通过新的资本,要么是通过自由现金流。 资本主义的一部分就是‘创造性破坏’的过程,失败的企业会被其银行无情地清算。 然而,更常见(但仍然代价高昂)的情况是,公司必须以廉价价格发行股票,永久稀释股东,仅仅是为了加强其资产负债表。 当然,很多公司利用债务来资助增长,而没有任何负面后果。 当我们检查债务水平时,首先考虑现金和债务水平。
What Is Zhejiang Sunoren Solar TechnologyLtd's Debt?
浙江芯能科技有限公司的债务是什么?
The image below, which you can click on for greater detail, shows that at September 2024 Zhejiang Sunoren Solar TechnologyLtd had debt of CN¥1.88b, up from CN¥1.48b in one year. On the flip side, it has CN¥431.9m in cash leading to net debt of about CN¥1.45b.
下图可点击以获取更多详细信息,显示到2024年9月,浙江芯能科技有限公司的债务为CN¥18.8亿,较一年前的CN¥14.8亿有所增加。另一方面,它的现金为CN¥43190万,导致净债务约为CN¥14.5亿。
How Healthy Is Zhejiang Sunoren Solar TechnologyLtd's Balance Sheet?
浙江芯能科技有限公司的资产负债表健康吗?
Zooming in on the latest balance sheet data, we can see that Zhejiang Sunoren Solar TechnologyLtd had liabilities of CN¥574.3m due within 12 months and liabilities of CN¥1.59b due beyond that. Offsetting these obligations, it had cash of CN¥431.9m as well as receivables valued at CN¥345.5m due within 12 months. So its liabilities total CN¥1.39b more than the combination of its cash and short-term receivables.
通过查看最新的资产负债表数据,我们可以看到浙江芯能科技有限公司的负债为57430万元,12个月内到期的负债为CN¥15.9亿。抵消这些义务,它的现金为43190万元,以及12个月内到期的应收账款价值为34550万元。因此,公司的负债总额比其现金和短期应收账款的总和多出CN¥13.9亿。
While this might seem like a lot, it is not so bad since Zhejiang Sunoren Solar TechnologyLtd has a market capitalization of CN¥4.79b, and so it could probably strengthen its balance sheet by raising capital if it needed to. But we definitely want to keep our eyes open to indications that its debt is bringing too much risk.
尽管这看起来不少,但这并没有那么糟糕,因为浙江芯能科技有限公司的市值为CN¥47.9亿,因此如果需要,其可能会通过融资来增强资产负债表。但我们绝对希望关注其债务是否带来过多风险的迹象。
In order to size up a company's debt relative to its earnings, we calculate its net debt divided by its earnings before interest, tax, depreciation, and amortization (EBITDA) and its earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) divided by its interest expense (its interest cover). The advantage of this approach is that we take into account both the absolute quantum of debt (with net debt to EBITDA) and the actual interest expenses associated with that debt (with its interest cover ratio).
为了评估一家公司的债务相对于其收益的情况,我们计算其净债务与息税折旧摊销前利润(EBITDA)的比率,以及息税利润(EBIT)与利息费用(即利息覆盖)的比率。这种方法的优点在于我们同时考虑到债务的绝对数额(使用净债务与EBITDA的比率)和与该债务相关的实际利息支出(使用利息覆盖率)。
Zhejiang Sunoren Solar TechnologyLtd's debt is 2.7 times its EBITDA, and its EBIT cover its interest expense 3.7 times over. This suggests that while the debt levels are significant, we'd stop short of calling them problematic. The good news is that Zhejiang Sunoren Solar TechnologyLtd improved its EBIT by 8.6% over the last twelve months, thus gradually reducing its debt levels relative to its earnings. There's no doubt that we learn most about debt from the balance sheet. But ultimately the future profitability of the business will decide if Zhejiang Sunoren Solar TechnologyLtd can strengthen its balance sheet over time. So if you want to see what the professionals think, you might find this free report on analyst profit forecasts to be interesting.
浙江芯能科技有限公司的债务是其EBITDA的2.7倍,而其EBIT可以覆盖3.7倍的利息费用。这表明尽管债务水平相当可观,但我们仍然不会称其为问题。好消息是浙江芯能科技有限公司在过去的12个月中使其EBIT增长了8.6%,因此逐渐降低了其相对收益的债务水平。毫无疑问,我们从资产负债表中学到了关于债务的很多信息。但最终,企业未来的盈利能力将决定浙江芯能科技有限公司是否能够随着时间的推移增强其资产负债表。因此,如果你想看看专业人士的看法,你可能会发现这份关于分析师利润预测的免费报告很有趣。
Finally, while the tax-man may adore accounting profits, lenders only accept cold hard cash. So the logical step is to look at the proportion of that EBIT that is matched by actual free cash flow. Over the last three years, Zhejiang Sunoren Solar TechnologyLtd recorded negative free cash flow, in total. Debt is far more risky for companies with unreliable free cash flow, so shareholders should be hoping that the past expenditure will produce free cash flow in the future.
最终,虽然税务机关可能喜欢会计利润,但贷方只接受真实的现金。因此,合理的步骤是查看与实际自由现金流相匹配的EBIT比例。在过去三年中,浙江芯能科技有限公司的自由现金流总计为负。对于自由现金流不可靠的公司来说,债务的风险更大,因此股东应该希望过去的支出能在未来产生自由现金流。
Our View
我们的观点
Zhejiang Sunoren Solar TechnologyLtd's struggle to convert EBIT to free cash flow had us second guessing its balance sheet strength, but the other data-points we considered were relatively redeeming. But on the bright side, its ability to to grow its EBIT isn't too shabby at all. Taking the abovementioned factors together we do think Zhejiang Sunoren Solar TechnologyLtd's debt poses some risks to the business. While that debt can boost returns, we think the company has enough leverage now. There's no doubt that we learn most about debt from the balance sheet. But ultimately, every company can contain risks that exist outside of the balance sheet. To that end, you should learn about the 2 warning signs we've spotted with Zhejiang Sunoren Solar TechnologyLtd (including 1 which makes us a bit uncomfortable) .
浙江芯能科技有限公司在将EBIT转化为自由现金流方面的挣扎让我们重新考虑其资产负债表的强度,但我们考虑的其他数据点相对乐观。不过,从好的一面来看,它的EBIT增长能力并不差。将上述因素结合起来,我们认为浙江芯能科技有限公司的债务对业务构成了一定的风险。虽然这些债务可以提高回报,但我们认为公司现在已经有足够的杠杆。毫无疑问,我们从资产负债表上学到大部分关于债务的知识。但是,最终,每家公司都可能存在资产负债表之外的风险。为此,您应该了解我们发现的浙江芯能科技有限公司的两个警告信号(其中一个让我们有些不安)。
Of course, if you're the type of investor who prefers buying stocks without the burden of debt, then don't hesitate to discover our exclusive list of net cash growth stocks, today.
当然,如果你是那种喜欢购买没有债务负担的股票的投资者,那么不要犹豫,今天就来发现我们独家的净现金成长股票列表。
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