share_log

Ringgit Opens Higher Despite Geopolitical Risks

Ringgit Opens Higher Despite Geopolitical Risks

尽管面临地缘政治风险,林吉特开盘走高。
Business Today ·  2024/12/31 08:59

The ringgit started the day stronger against the US dollar, trading at 4.4575/4700 at 8 am compared to Monday's close of 4.4645/4700, amid global economic uncertainties and heightened geopolitical tensions.

由于全球经济的不确定性和地缘政治紧张局势加剧,令吉兑美元汇率开盘走强,上午8点交易价格为4.4575/4700,而周一收盘价为4.4645/4700。

Bank Muamalat Malaysia Bhd chief economist Dr Mohd Afzanizam Abdul Rashid noted that the ringgit is in an oversold position, which could attract traders. "This may entice traders to accumulate the ringgit, given that Bank Negara Malaysia (BNM) is not inclined to ease its monetary policy stance next year. This contrasts with regional peers such as Indonesia, the Philippines, and Thailand, which have already begun their interest rate cut cycles this year," he told Bernama.

马来西亚穆阿马拉特银行有限公司首席经济学家莫哈德·阿夫扎尼扎姆·阿卜杜勒·拉希德博士指出,令吉处于超卖状态,这可能会吸引交易者。“鉴于马来西亚国家银行(BNM)不愿在明年放松其货币政策立场,这可能会吸引交易者积累令吉。这与印度尼西亚、菲律宾和泰国等地区同行形成鲜明对比,后者今年已经开始了降息周期,” 他告诉Bernama。

On the external front, Afzanizam said the US dollar remains favourable due to the US Federal Reserve's (Fed) expected gradual monetary easing in 2025. He added that the Fed is likely to keep the Federal Funds Rate (FFR) above its neutral level, which hovers around 3.00%. "A further 50 basis points cut could leave the FFR at 4.00% in 2025, suggesting monetary policy will remain restrictive. On this basis, the ringgit-US dollar pair could oscillate around RM4.46 today," he said.

在外部方面,阿夫扎尼扎姆表示,由于美国联邦储备委员会(美联储)预计将在2025年逐步放松货币政策,美元仍然有利。他补充说,美联储可能会将联邦基金利率(FFR)保持在中性水平以上,即徘徊在3.00%左右。“再下调50个基点可能会使FFR在2025年达到4.00%,这表明货币政策将保持限制性。在此基础上,林吉特-美元汇率今天可能会在4.46令吉左右波动,” 他说。

The ringgit also posted gains against most other major currencies. It strengthened against the British pound to 5.5933/6090 from 5.6146/6215 and appreciated against the euro to 4.6385/6515 from 4.6583/6640. However, it marginally weakened against the Japanese yen, trading at 2.8388/8471 compared to 2.8278/8314 previously.

令吉兑大多数其他主要货币也出现上涨。它兑英镑从5.6146/6215升至5.5933/6090,兑欧元从4.6583/6640升值至4.6385/6515。但是,它兑日元略有疲软,交易价格为2.8388/8471,而之前为2.8278/8314。

Against ASEAN currencies, the ringgit saw improvement. It rose against the Singapore dollar to 3.2788/2882 from 3.2890/2935, the Indonesian rupiah to 276.1/277.0 from 276.5/277.0, the Thai baht to 13.0428/0905 from 13.0905/1139, and the Philippine peso to 7.69/7.72 from 7.70/7.72.

兑东盟货币万亿令吉有所改善。美元兑新加坡元从3.2890/2935升至3.2788/2882,印度尼西亚卢比从276.5/277.0升至276.1/277.0,泰铢从13.0905/1139升至13.0428/0905,菲律宾比索从7.70/7.72升至7.69/7.72。

声明:本内容仅用作提供资讯及教育之目的,不构成对任何特定投资或投资策略的推荐或认可。 更多信息
    抢沙发