Guizhou Space Appliance's (SZSE:002025) Earnings Growth Rate Lags the 13% CAGR Delivered to Shareholders
Guizhou Space Appliance's (SZSE:002025) Earnings Growth Rate Lags the 13% CAGR Delivered to Shareholders
Guizhou Space Appliance Co., LTD (SZSE:002025) shareholders might be concerned after seeing the share price drop 13% in the last month. But that doesn't change the fact that the returns over the last five years have been pleasing. Its return of 80% has certainly bested the market return! Unfortunately not all shareholders will have held it for five years, so spare a thought for those caught in the 41% decline over the last three years: that's a long time to wait for profits.
贵州航天电器股份有限公司(深证:002025)的股东在看到股价在过去一个月下跌了13%后,可能会感到担忧。然而,这并不改变过去五年的收益令人满意的事实。其80%的回报率无疑超过了市场的回报!不幸的是,并非所有股东都持有它五年,所以请关心那些在过去三年中遭遇41%下跌的股东:等待盈利的时间实在太长了。
Since the long term performance has been good but there's been a recent pullback of 7.2%, let's check if the fundamentals match the share price.
由于长期表现良好,但最近回调了7.2%,我们来检查一下基本面是否与股价匹配。
In his essay The Superinvestors of Graham-and-Doddsville Warren Buffett described how share prices do not always rationally reflect the value of a business. One imperfect but simple way to consider how the market perception of a company has shifted is to compare the change in the earnings per share (EPS) with the share price movement.
在他的文章《Graham和Doddsville的超级投资者》中,沃伦·巴菲特描述了股价并不总是理性反映一家企业的价值。一种不完美但简单的方法来考虑市场对一家公司的看法如何变化是将每股收益(EPS)的变化与股价变动进行比较。
Over half a decade, Guizhou Space Appliance managed to grow its earnings per share at 6.4% a year. This EPS growth is lower than the 12% average annual increase in the share price. This suggests that market participants hold the company in higher regard, these days. That's not necessarily surprising considering the five-year track record of earnings growth.
在过去的五年里,贵州航天电器的每股收益年增长率达到了6.4%。这个每股收益增长率低于股价平均每年12%的增长。这表明,市场参与者对公司的评价如今更高。这并不令人惊讶,因为五年来的盈利增长记录确实如此。
The graphic below depicts how EPS has changed over time (unveil the exact values by clicking on the image).
下图显示了EPS随时间变化的情况(点击图像以显示确切值)。
Before buying or selling a stock, we always recommend a close examination of historic growth trends, available here.
在买入或卖出股票之前,我们总是建议仔细审查历史增长趋势,详情请见这里。
What About Dividends?
关于分红派息的问题
When looking at investment returns, it is important to consider the difference between total shareholder return (TSR) and share price return. Whereas the share price return only reflects the change in the share price, the TSR includes the value of dividends (assuming they were reinvested) and the benefit of any discounted capital raising or spin-off. Arguably, the TSR gives a more comprehensive picture of the return generated by a stock. We note that for Guizhou Space Appliance the TSR over the last 5 years was 84%, which is better than the share price return mentioned above. And there's no prize for guessing that the dividend payments largely explain the divergence!
在考虑投资回报时,重要的是要考虑总股东回报(TSR)和股价回报之间的差异。股价回报仅反映股价的变化,而TSR则包括分红的价值(假设它们被再投资)以及任何折扣资本筹集或分拆的利益。可以说,TSR提供了一个更全面的股票回报生成图景。我们注意到,航天电器在过去5年中的TSR为84%,这比上述股价回报更优秀。而且,毫无疑问,分红支付在很大程度上解释了这种差异!
A Different Perspective
不同的视角
Guizhou Space Appliance provided a TSR of 3.4% over the last twelve months. Unfortunately this falls short of the market return. It's probably a good sign that the company has an even better long term track record, having provided shareholders with an annual TSR of 13% over five years. It may well be that this is a business worth popping on the watching, given the continuing positive reception, over time, from the market. I find it very interesting to look at share price over the long term as a proxy for business performance. But to truly gain insight, we need to consider other information, too. Case in point: We've spotted 2 warning signs for Guizhou Space Appliance you should be aware of.
航天电器在过去12个月提供的TSR为3.4%。不幸的是,这低于市场回报。可能是个好兆头,表明该公司在长期上有更好的记录,过去五年为股东提供了13%的年均TSR。考虑到市场持续良好的反应,这个业务可能值得关注。 我发现长期来看股价作为公司绩效的替代指标非常有趣。但要真正获得洞察,我们还需要考虑其他信息。 举个例子:我们发现航天电器有2个警告信号您应该注意。
We will like Guizhou Space Appliance better if we see some big insider buys. While we wait, check out this free list of undervalued stocks (mostly small caps) with considerable, recent, insider buying.
如果我们看到一些大规模的内部购买,我们会更喜欢航天电器。在我们等待的同时,请查看这份免费名单,其中包含值得关注的、近期有大量内部购买的被低估股票(主要是小盘股)。
Please note, the market returns quoted in this article reflect the market weighted average returns of stocks that currently trade on Chinese exchanges.
请注意,本文中引用的市场回报反映了目前在中国交易所交易的股票的市场加权平均回报。
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这篇来自Simply Wall St的文章是一般性的。我们根据历史数据和分析师预测提供评论,采用无偏见的方法,我们的文章并不旨在提供财务建议。它不构成对任何股票的买入或卖出建议,也未考虑到您的目标或财务状况。我们旨在为您提供以基本数据驱动的长期分析。请注意,我们的分析可能未考虑最新的价格敏感公司公告或定性材料。Simply Wall St在提到的任何股票中均没有持仓。