Despite the Downward Trend in Earnings at DongFeng Automobile (SHSE:600006) the Stock Grows 7.4%, Bringing Five-year Gains to 76%
Despite the Downward Trend in Earnings at DongFeng Automobile (SHSE:600006) the Stock Grows 7.4%, Bringing Five-year Gains to 76%
Generally speaking the aim of active stock picking is to find companies that provide returns that are superior to the market average. And in our experience, buying the right stocks can give your wealth a significant boost. For example, the DongFeng Automobile Co. LTD (SHSE:600006) share price is up 68% in the last 5 years, clearly besting the market return of around 11% (ignoring dividends). On the other hand, the more recent gains haven't been so impressive, with shareholders gaining just 36%, including dividends.
一般而言,主动选股的目标是寻找提供超出市场平均收益的公司。根据我们的经验,买入合适的股票可以显著提升你的财富。例如,东风汽车股份有限公司(SHSE:600006)的股价在过去五年中上涨了68%,明显强于市场回报约11%(未考虑分红)。另一方面,最近的收益并没有那么令人印象深刻,股东仅获得了36%的收益,包括分红。
After a strong gain in the past week, it's worth seeing if longer term returns have been driven by improving fundamentals.
在过去一周强劲上涨后,值得看看长期回报是否是由基本面改善驱动的。
Given that DongFeng Automobile only made minimal earnings in the last twelve months, we'll focus on revenue to gauge its business development. As a general rule, we think this kind of company is more comparable to loss-making stocks, since the actual profit is so low. For shareholders to have confidence a company will grow profits significantly, it must grow revenue.
考虑到东风汽车在过去十二个月仅获得了微薄的盈利,我们将专注于营业收入来评估其业务发展。一般而言,我们认为这种公司更可比拟于亏损股票,因为实际利润非常低。为了让股东对公司的盈利增长充满信心,必须增加营业收入。
In the last 5 years DongFeng Automobile saw its revenue shrink by 4.6% per year. Even though revenue hasn't increased, the stock actually gained 11%, per year, during the same period. To us that suggests that there probably isn't a lot of correlation between the past revenue performance and the share price, but a closer look at analyst forecasts and the bottom line may well explain a lot.
在过去五年中,东风汽车的营业收入每年缩水4.6%。尽管营业收入没有增加,但在同一时期内,股票实际上每年上涨了11%。对我们来说,这表明过去的营业收入表现与股价之间可能没有太大的关联,但更仔细地观察分析师的预测和底线可能会解释很多事情。
The image below shows how earnings and revenue have tracked over time (if you click on the image you can see greater detail).
下面的图像显示了收益和营业收入随时间的变化情况(如果点击图像,可以看到更详细的信息)。
Take a more thorough look at DongFeng Automobile's financial health with this free report on its balance sheet.
通过这份免费的财务报告,更全面地了解东风汽车的财务健康状况。
What About Dividends?
关于分红派息的问题
As well as measuring the share price return, investors should also consider the total shareholder return (TSR). The TSR is a return calculation that accounts for the value of cash dividends (assuming that any dividend received was reinvested) and the calculated value of any discounted capital raisings and spin-offs. Arguably, the TSR gives a more comprehensive picture of the return generated by a stock. In the case of DongFeng Automobile, it has a TSR of 76% for the last 5 years. That exceeds its share price return that we previously mentioned. And there's no prize for guessing that the dividend payments largely explain the divergence!
除了衡量股票价格回报,投资者还应该考虑总股东回报率(TSR)。 TSR是一种回报计算,考虑了现金分红的价值(假设收到的任何股息都被再投资)以及任何折价融资和剥离的计算价值。 可以说,TSR提供了更全面的关于股票回报的图景。 在东风汽车的案例中,过去5年其TSR为76%。 这超过了我们之前提到的股价回报。 猜猜有什么奖品呢,股息支付在很大程度上解释了这种差异!
A Different Perspective
不同的视角
It's good to see that DongFeng Automobile has rewarded shareholders with a total shareholder return of 36% in the last twelve months. And that does include the dividend. That's better than the annualised return of 12% over half a decade, implying that the company is doing better recently. Someone with an optimistic perspective could view the recent improvement in TSR as indicating that the business itself is getting better with time. I find it very interesting to look at share price over the long term as a proxy for business performance. But to truly gain insight, we need to consider other information, too. For instance, we've identified 3 warning signs for DongFeng Automobile (2 shouldn't be ignored) that you should be aware of.
很高兴看到东风汽车在过去十二个月内为股东带来了36%的总股东回报。 这包括了股息。 这优于过去五年平均12%的年化回报,暗示该公司最近的表现更好。 从乐观的角度看,最近TSR的改善可能表明业务本身随着时间的推移正在变得更好。 我发现从长期来看观察股价作为业务表现的代理非常有趣。 但要真正获得深入的见解,我们还需要考虑其他信息。 例如,我们已识别出东风汽车的3个警告信号(其中2个不应被忽视),希望您能注意到。
For those who like to find winning investments this free list of undervalued companies with recent insider purchasing, could be just the ticket.
对于喜欢寻找赢家投资的人来说,这份关于最近有内部人士购买的被低估公司的免费名单,可能正是你所需要的。
Please note, the market returns quoted in this article reflect the market weighted average returns of stocks that currently trade on Chinese exchanges.
请注意,本文中引用的市场回报反映了目前在中国交易所交易的股票的市场加权平均回报。
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这篇来自Simply Wall St的文章是一般性的。我们根据历史数据和分析师预测提供评论,采用无偏见的方法,我们的文章并不旨在提供财务建议。它不构成对任何股票的买入或卖出建议,也未考虑到您的目标或财务状况。我们旨在为您提供以基本数据驱动的长期分析。请注意,我们的分析可能未考虑最新的价格敏感公司公告或定性材料。Simply Wall St在提到的任何股票中均没有持仓。