These 4 Measures Indicate That Griffon (NYSE:GFF) Is Using Debt Reasonably Well
These 4 Measures Indicate That Griffon (NYSE:GFF) Is Using Debt Reasonably Well
Some say volatility, rather than debt, is the best way to think about risk as an investor, but Warren Buffett famously said that 'Volatility is far from synonymous with risk.' So it seems the smart money knows that debt - which is usually involved in bankruptcies - is a very important factor, when you assess how risky a company is. We can see that Griffon Corporation (NYSE:GFF) does use debt in its business. But is this debt a concern to shareholders?
有些人认为波动性而非债务是作为投资者思考风险的最佳方式,但沃伦·巴菲特著名地说过,'波动性远不是风险的同义词。' 所以看来聪明的资金知道,债务——通常涉及破产——在评估一家公司的风险时是一个非常重要的因素。我们可以看到格里丰公司(纽交所:GFF)确实在其业务中使用了债务。但是,这笔债务对股东来说是否是个问题?
When Is Debt A Problem?
何时债务成为问题?
Debt assists a business until the business has trouble paying it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. Part and parcel of capitalism is the process of 'creative destruction' where failed businesses are mercilessly liquidated by their bankers. However, a more frequent (but still costly) occurrence is where a company must issue shares at bargain-basement prices, permanently diluting shareholders, just to shore up its balance sheet. Having said that, the most common situation is where a company manages its debt reasonably well - and to its own advantage. When we think about a company's use of debt, we first look at cash and debt together.
债务可以帮助业务,直到业务在偿还时遇到麻烦,或者通过新资金或自由现金流来偿还。资本主义的一部分是‘创造性破坏’的过程,失败的企业被其银行毫不留情地清算。然而,更常见(但仍旧代价高昂)的情况是,公司必须以廉价价格发行股票,永久性稀释股东的股份,仅仅是为了保住其资产负债表。话虽如此,最常见的情况是公司合理地管理其债务,并使其受益。当我们考虑公司的债务使用时,我们首先将现金和债务一起考虑。
What Is Griffon's Net Debt?
格里丰的净债务是多少?
The chart below, which you can click on for greater detail, shows that Griffon had US$1.52b in debt in September 2024; about the same as the year before. However, it does have US$114.4m in cash offsetting this, leading to net debt of about US$1.41b.
下面的图表可以点击以获得更详细的信息,显示格里丰在2024年9月有15.2亿美金的债务;与前一年差不多。然而,它有11440万美金的现金来抵消这些债务,导致净债务约为14.1亿美金。
How Strong Is Griffon's Balance Sheet?
格里丰的资产负债表有多强?
According to the last reported balance sheet, Griffon had liabilities of US$349.0m due within 12 months, and liabilities of US$1.80b due beyond 12 months. On the other hand, it had cash of US$114.4m and US$312.8m worth of receivables due within a year. So its liabilities total US$1.72b more than the combination of its cash and short-term receivables.
根据最近报告的资产负债表,格里丰的负债为34900万美金,12个月内到期,超出12个月的负债为18亿美金。另一方面,它有11440万美金现金和31280万美金的应收账款在一年内到期。因此,它的负债总额超过其现金和短期应收账款的组合17.2亿美金。
Griffon has a market capitalization of US$3.43b, so it could very likely raise cash to ameliorate its balance sheet, if the need arose. However, it is still worthwhile taking a close look at its ability to pay off debt.
格里丰的市值为34.3亿美金,因此如果需要,它很可能能够筹集资金来改善其资产负债表。然而,仔细审视其偿债能力仍然是值得的。
We measure a company's debt load relative to its earnings power by looking at its net debt divided by its earnings before interest, tax, depreciation, and amortization (EBITDA) and by calculating how easily its earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) cover its interest expense (interest cover). This way, we consider both the absolute quantum of the debt, as well as the interest rates paid on it.
我们通过看净债务与息税折旧及摊销前利润(EBITDA)的比率,以及计算其息税前利润(EBIT)如何轻松地覆盖利息费用(利息覆盖)来衡量一家公司相对于其获利能力的债务负担。这样,我们既考虑了债务的绝对量,也考虑了其支付的利率。
Griffon has a debt to EBITDA ratio of 2.8 and its EBIT covered its interest expense 4.3 times. This suggests that while the debt levels are significant, we'd stop short of calling them problematic. On a slightly more positive note, Griffon grew its EBIT at 11% over the last year, further increasing its ability to manage debt. When analysing debt levels, the balance sheet is the obvious place to start. But ultimately the future profitability of the business will decide if Griffon can strengthen its balance sheet over time. So if you're focused on the future you can check out this free report showing analyst profit forecasts.
格里丰的债务与EBITDA比率为2.8,其EBIT覆盖利息支出的次数为4.3。这表明尽管债务水平相当可观,我们不至于称其为有问题。从稍微积极的角度看,格里丰在过去一年中EBIT增长了11%,进一步增强了其管理债务的能力。在分析债务水平时,资产负债表显然是一个明显的起点。但最终,未来业务的盈利能力将决定格里丰能否随着时间推移加强其资产负债表。因此,如果你关注未来,可以查看这份免费的报告,其中显示了分析师的利润预测。
Finally, while the tax-man may adore accounting profits, lenders only accept cold hard cash. So the logical step is to look at the proportion of that EBIT that is matched by actual free cash flow. Over the most recent three years, Griffon recorded free cash flow worth 58% of its EBIT, which is around normal, given free cash flow excludes interest and tax. This free cash flow puts the company in a good position to pay down debt, when appropriate.
最后,虽然税务机关可能喜爱会计利润,但贷款方只接受真金白银。因此,合理的步骤是查看EBIT中有多少比例与实际自由现金流相匹配。在最近三年中,格里丰录得的自由现金流占其EBIT的58%,这在正常范围内,因为自由现金流不包括利息和税。这使得公司在适当的时候有能力偿还债务。
Our View
我们的观点
Both Griffon's ability to to convert EBIT to free cash flow and its EBIT growth rate gave us comfort that it can handle its debt. On the other hand, its net debt to EBITDA makes us a little less comfortable about its debt. When we consider all the factors mentioned above, we do feel a bit cautious about Griffon's use of debt. While debt does have its upside in higher potential returns, we think shareholders should definitely consider how debt levels might make the stock more risky. When analysing debt levels, the balance sheet is the obvious place to start. However, not all investment risk resides within the balance sheet - far from it. To that end, you should be aware of the 2 warning signs we've spotted with Griffon .
格里丰在将EBIT转化为自由现金流的能力以及其EBIT增长率让我们放心它能够处理其债务。另一方面,其净债务与EBITDA的比率让我们对其债务感到有些不安。当我们考虑上述所有因素时,我们确实对格里丰的债务使用感到略有谨慎。虽然债务确实有更高潜在回报的好处,但我们认为股东应该认真考虑债务水平可能使股票风险加大。在分析债务水平时,资产负债表显然是一个好的起点。然而,并不是所有的投资风险都源于资产负债表——远非如此。为了这个目标,你应该注意到我们发现的格里丰的两个警告信号。
If, after all that, you're more interested in a fast growing company with a rock-solid balance sheet, then check out our list of net cash growth stocks without delay.
If, after all that, you're more interested in a fast growing company with a rock-solid balance sheet, then check out our list of net cash growth stocks without delay.
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