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Best Buy Co., Inc.'s (NYSE:BBY) Stock Has Shown Weakness Lately But Financial Prospects Look Decent: Is The Market Wrong?

Best Buy Co., Inc.'s (NYSE:BBY) Stock Has Shown Weakness Lately But Financial Prospects Look Decent: Is The Market Wrong?

百思买公司(纽交所:BBY)的股票最近显示出疲软,但财务前景看起来不错:市场是否错了?
Simply Wall St ·  2024/12/31 21:22

It is hard to get excited after looking at Best Buy's (NYSE:BBY) recent performance, when its stock has declined 15% over the past three months. However, stock prices are usually driven by a company's financials over the long term, which in this case look pretty respectable. In this article, we decided to focus on Best Buy's ROE.

在看到百思买(纽交所:BBY)最近的表现后,很难感到兴奋,因为它的股票在过去三个月内下跌了15%。然而,从长远来看,股票价格通常是由公司的财务状况驱动的,而在这种情况下,看起来相当不错。在本文中,我们决定关注百思买的ROE。

Return on equity or ROE is a key measure used to assess how efficiently a company's management is utilizing the company's capital. Put another way, it reveals the company's success at turning shareholder investments into profits.

股本回报率(ROE)是用于评估公司管理层如何有效利用公司资本的关键指标。换句话说,它揭示了公司将股东投资转化为利润的成功程度。

How To Calculate Return On Equity?

如何计算股东权益回报率?

Return on equity can be calculated by using the formula:

净资产收益率可以通过以下公式计算:

Return on Equity = Net Profit (from continuing operations) ÷ Shareholders' Equity

股东权益回报率 = 净利润(来自持续运营)÷ 股东权益

So, based on the above formula, the ROE for Best Buy is:

因此,根据上述公式,百思买的roe为:

41% = US$1.3b ÷ US$3.1b (Based on the trailing twelve months to November 2024).

41% = 13亿美元 ÷ 31亿美元(基于截至2024年11月的过去十二个月)。

The 'return' is the income the business earned over the last year. One way to conceptualize this is that for each $1 of shareholders' capital it has, the company made $0.41 in profit.

“回报”是指业务在过去一年中赚取的收入。一种理解方式是,对于其每1美元的股东资本,公司赚取了0.41美元的利润。

Why Is ROE Important For Earnings Growth?

ROE为什么对净利润增长很重要?

We have already established that ROE serves as an efficient profit-generating gauge for a company's future earnings. Depending on how much of these profits the company reinvests or "retains", and how effectively it does so, we are then able to assess a company's earnings growth potential. Assuming everything else remains unchanged, the higher the ROE and profit retention, the higher the growth rate of a company compared to companies that don't necessarily bear these characteristics.

我们已经意识到,ROE作为公司未来盈利的有效衡量值。根据公司重新投资或“保留”这些利润的程度,以及公司有效地运用这些利润的程度,我们就能评估公司的盈利增长潜力。假设其他所有因素保持不变,ROE和利润保留越高,增长率就会越高,相比于没有这些特点的公司,公司的增长率就会更高。

Best Buy's Earnings Growth And 41% ROE

百思买的收益增长和41%的ROE

To begin with, Best Buy has a pretty high ROE which is interesting. Secondly, even when compared to the industry average of 21% the company's ROE is quite impressive. As you might expect, the 7.6% net income decline reported by Best Buy doesn't bode well with us. Based on this, we feel that there might be other reasons which haven't been discussed so far in this article that could be hampering the company's growth. For example, it could be that the company has a high payout ratio or the business has allocated capital poorly, for instance.

首先,百思买的ROE相当高,这很有趣。其次,即使与行业平均水平21%相比,该公司的ROE也相当令人印象深刻。正如您所料,百思买报告的7.6%的净利润下降并不让我们感到好。基于这一点,我们认为可能还有其他原因尚未在本文中讨论,这可能会妨碍公司的增长。例如,该公司可能具有较高的分红派息比例,或者业务资本分配不当。

That being said, we compared Best Buy's performance with the industry and were concerned when we found that while the company has shrunk its earnings, the industry has grown its earnings at a rate of 17% in the same 5-year period.

话虽如此,我们将百思买的表现与行业进行了比较,当我们发现虽然公司缩减了收益,而行业在同一5年期间的收益增长率为17%时,我们感到担忧。

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NYSE:BBY Past Earnings Growth December 31st 2024
纽交所:BBY 过去的收益增长 2024年12月31日

The basis for attaching value to a company is, to a great extent, tied to its earnings growth. The investor should try to establish if the expected growth or decline in earnings, whichever the case may be, is priced in. This then helps them determine if the stock is placed for a bright or bleak future. One good indicator of expected earnings growth is the P/E ratio which determines the price the market is willing to pay for a stock based on its earnings prospects. So, you may want to check if Best Buy is trading on a high P/E or a low P/E, relative to its industry.

公司价值的基础在很大程度上与其盈利增长有关。 投资者应该试图判断预期的盈利增长或下降,无论是哪种情况,是否已经反映在股价中。 这将帮助他们判断该股票的未来是光明还是黯淡。 一个良好的预期盈利增长指标是市盈率,它决定了市场愿意为一只股票支付的价格,基于其盈利前景。因此,您可能想检查一下百思买的市盈率是高还是低,相对其行业。

Is Best Buy Making Efficient Use Of Its Profits?

百思买是否有效利用其利润?

With a high three-year median payout ratio of 61% (implying that 39% of the profits are retained), most of Best Buy's profits are being paid to shareholders, which explains the company's shrinking earnings. The business is only left with a small pool of capital to reinvest - A vicious cycle that doesn't benefit the company in the long-run.

百思买的三年中位支付比率高达61%(意味着39%的利润被保留),大部分利润都支付给股东,这解释了公司盈利的减少。 该业务仅剩下少量资本可供再投资 - 这形成了一个恶性循环,对公司长期发展没有好处。

In addition, Best Buy has been paying dividends over a period of at least ten years suggesting that keeping up dividend payments is way more important to the management even if it comes at the cost of business growth. Existing analyst estimates suggest that the company's future payout ratio is expected to drop to 48% over the next three years. Regardless, the ROE is not expected to change much for the company despite the lower expected payout ratio.

此外,百思买在至少十年的时间里一直在分红,这表明维持分红支付对管理层来说远比业务增长重要。 现有的分析师估计,公司的未来支付比率预计在未来三年内将降至48%。 尽管如此,尽管预计支付比率降低,公司ROE仍然预计不会有太大变化。

Summary

总结

Overall, we feel that Best Buy certainly does have some positive factors to consider. Yet, the low earnings growth is a bit concerning, especially given that the company has a high rate of return. Investors could have benefitted from the high ROE, had the company been reinvesting more of its earnings. As discussed earlier, the company is retaining a small portion of its profits. With that said, we studied the latest analyst forecasts and found that while the company has shrunk its earnings in the past, analysts expect its earnings to grow in the future. To know more about the company's future earnings growth forecasts take a look at this free report on analyst forecasts for the company to find out more.

总体来说,我们认为百思买确实有一些积极因素值得考虑。然而,低收入增长有点令人担忧,特别是考虑到公司有高回报率。如果公司能把更多的利润再投资,投资者本可以从高ROE中获益。如前所述,公司保留了小部分利润。因此,我们研究了最新的分析师预测,发现尽管公司过去的收入有所减少,分析师预计其未来的收入将会增长。要了解更多关于公司未来收入增长的预测,请查看这份关于公司分析师预测的免费报告,以便了解更多信息。

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

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这篇来自Simply Wall St的文章是一般性的。我们根据历史数据和分析师预测提供评论,采用无偏见的方法,我们的文章并不旨在提供财务建议。它不构成对任何股票的买入或卖出建议,也未考虑到您的目标或财务状况。我们旨在为您提供以基本数据驱动的长期分析。请注意,我们的分析可能未考虑最新的价格敏感公司公告或定性材料。Simply Wall St在提到的任何股票中均没有持仓。

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