Morgan Stanley's (NYSE:MS) Investors Will Be Pleased With Their Strong 190% Return Over the Last Five Years
Morgan Stanley's (NYSE:MS) Investors Will Be Pleased With Their Strong 190% Return Over the Last Five Years
The worst result, after buying shares in a company (assuming no leverage), would be if you lose all the money you put in. But when you pick a company that is really flourishing, you can make more than 100%. One great example is Morgan Stanley (NYSE:MS) which saw its share price drive 146% higher over five years. Also pleasing for shareholders was the 20% gain in the last three months.
在购买公司股票(假设没有杠杆作用)之后,最糟糕的结果是你损失了所有投入的资金。但是,当你选择一家真正蓬勃发展的公司时,你的收入可以超过100%。一个很好的例子是摩根士丹利(纽约证券交易所代码:MS)的股价在五年内上涨了146%。同样令股东高兴的是过去三个月的20%的涨幅。
So let's assess the underlying fundamentals over the last 5 years and see if they've moved in lock-step with shareholder returns.
因此,让我们评估过去5年的基本面,看看它们是否与股东回报同步变化。
While the efficient markets hypothesis continues to be taught by some, it has been proven that markets are over-reactive dynamic systems, and investors are not always rational. One way to examine how market sentiment has changed over time is to look at the interaction between a company's share price and its earnings per share (EPS).
尽管一些人继续教导高效市场假说,但事实证明,市场是反应过度的动态系统,投资者并不总是理性的。研究市场情绪如何随时间推移而变化的一种方法是研究公司的股价与其每股收益(EPS)之间的相互作用。
During five years of share price growth, Morgan Stanley achieved compound earnings per share (EPS) growth of 6.8% per year. This EPS growth is slower than the share price growth of 20% per year, over the same period. So it's fair to assume the market has a higher opinion of the business than it did five years ago. That's not necessarily surprising considering the five-year track record of earnings growth.
在五年的股价增长中,摩根士丹利实现了每年6.8%的复合每股收益(EPS)增长。每股收益的增长低于同期每年20%的股价增长。因此,可以公平地假设市场对该业务的看法比五年前更高。考虑到五年的收益增长记录,这并不一定令人惊讶。
You can see how EPS has changed over time in the image below (click on the chart to see the exact values).
您可以在下图中看到每股收益如何随着时间的推移而变化(点击图表查看确切值)。
We know that Morgan Stanley has improved its bottom line lately, but is it going to grow revenue? Check if analysts think Morgan Stanley will grow revenue in the future.
我们知道摩根士丹利最近提高了利润,但它会增加收入吗?检查分析师是否认为摩根士丹利将来会增加收入。
What About Dividends?
那股息呢?
It is important to consider the total shareholder return, as well as the share price return, for any given stock. The TSR is a return calculation that accounts for the value of cash dividends (assuming that any dividend received was reinvested) and the calculated value of any discounted capital raisings and spin-offs. So for companies that pay a generous dividend, the TSR is often a lot higher than the share price return. In the case of Morgan Stanley, it has a TSR of 190% for the last 5 years. That exceeds its share price return that we previously mentioned. The dividends paid by the company have thusly boosted the total shareholder return.
重要的是要考虑任何给定股票的股东总回报率和股价回报率。股东总回报率是一种回报计算方法,它考虑了现金分红的价值(假设收到的任何股息都经过再投资)以及任何贴现资本筹集和分拆的计算价值。因此,对于支付丰厚股息的公司来说,股东总回报率通常远高于股价回报率。就摩根士丹利而言,在过去的5年中,其股东回报率为190%。这超过了我们之前提到的其股价回报率。因此,公司支付的股息提高了股东的总回报率。
A Different Perspective
不同的视角
It's good to see that Morgan Stanley has rewarded shareholders with a total shareholder return of 40% in the last twelve months. And that does include the dividend. That's better than the annualised return of 24% over half a decade, implying that the company is doing better recently. In the best case scenario, this may hint at some real business momentum, implying that now could be a great time to delve deeper. While it is well worth considering the different impacts that market conditions can have on the share price, there are other factors that are even more important. Even so, be aware that Morgan Stanley is showing 2 warning signs in our investment analysis , you should know about...
很高兴看到摩根士丹利在过去十二个月中向股东提供了40%的总股东回报率。这确实包括股息。这比五年来24%的年化回报率要好,这意味着该公司最近的表现更好。在最好的情况下,这可能暗示着一些真正的业务势头,这意味着现在可能是深入研究的好时机。尽管市场状况可能对股价产生的不同影响值得考虑,但还有其他因素更为重要。即便如此,请注意,摩根士丹利在我们的投资分析中显示了两个警告信号,您应该知道...
If you like to buy stocks alongside management, then you might just love this free list of companies. (Hint: many of them are unnoticed AND have attractive valuation).
如果你想和管理层一起购买股票,那么你可能会喜欢这份免费的公司清单。(提示:其中许多未被注意且估值诱人)。
Please note, the market returns quoted in this article reflect the market weighted average returns of stocks that currently trade on American exchanges.
请注意,本文引用的市场回报反映了目前在美国交易所交易的股票的市场加权平均回报率。
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Simply Wall St 的这篇文章本质上是笼统的。我们仅使用公正的方法提供基于历史数据和分析师预测的评论,我们的文章并非旨在提供财务建议。它不构成买入或卖出任何股票的建议,也没有考虑到您的目标或财务状况。我们的目标是为您提供由基本数据驱动的长期重点分析。请注意,我们的分析可能不会考虑最新的价格敏感型公司公告或定性材料。华尔街只是没有持有上述任何股票的头寸。