The Three-year Earnings Decline Is Not Helping Jointown Pharmaceutical Group's (SHSE:600998 Share Price, as Stock Falls Another 4.1% in Past Week
The Three-year Earnings Decline Is Not Helping Jointown Pharmaceutical Group's (SHSE:600998 Share Price, as Stock Falls Another 4.1% in Past Week
Investors are understandably disappointed when a stock they own declines in value. But it's hard to avoid some disappointing investments when the overall market is down. While the Jointown Pharmaceutical Group Co., Ltd (SHSE:600998) share price is down 12% in the last three years, the total return to shareholders (which includes dividends) was -3.3%. That's better than the market which declined 15% over the last three years. The falls have accelerated recently, with the share price down 11% in the last three months.
当投资者所持股票的价值下降时,他们自然会感到失望。但当整个市场下跌时,很难避免一些令人失望的投资。虽然九州通的股价在过去三年中下跌了12%,但对股东的总回报(包括分红)为-3.3%。这比市场在过去三年中下跌的15%要好。近期跌幅加速,股价在过去三个月中下跌了11%。
Since Jointown Pharmaceutical Group has shed CN¥1.1b from its value in the past 7 days, let's see if the longer term decline has been driven by the business' economics.
由于九州通在过去7天内损失了11亿人民币的市值,让我们看看长期的下降是否是由业务的经济状况驱动的。
To paraphrase Benjamin Graham: Over the short term the market is a voting machine, but over the long term it's a weighing machine. One imperfect but simple way to consider how the market perception of a company has shifted is to compare the change in the earnings per share (EPS) with the share price movement.
用本杰明·格雷厄姆的话说:短期内市场是投票机,但长期来看它是称重机。有一个不完美但简单的方法来考虑市场对公司看法的变化,就是比较每股收益(EPS)的变化和股价的波动。
Jointown Pharmaceutical Group saw its EPS decline at a compound rate of 14% per year, over the last three years. In comparison the 4% compound annual share price decline isn't as bad as the EPS drop-off. This suggests that the market retains some optimism around long term earnings stability, despite past EPS declines.
在过去三年中,九州通的每股收益以每年14%的复合率下降。相比之下,股价以4%的复合年率下降,这并没有每股收益的下降那么恶劣。这表明尽管过去每股收益下降,市场仍对长期盈利稳定性保留了一些乐观。
The image below shows how EPS has tracked over time (if you click on the image you can see greater detail).
下面的图像显示了EPS随时间的变化(如果你点击图像,可以看到更详细的信息)。
It's probably worth noting that the CEO is paid less than the median at similar sized companies. But while CEO remuneration is always worth checking, the really important question is whether the company can grow earnings going forward. This free interactive report on Jointown Pharmaceutical Group's earnings, revenue and cash flow is a great place to start, if you want to investigate the stock further.
值得注意的是,CEO的薪酬低于同类公司中的中位数。但尽管CEO的薪酬值得关注,真正重要的问题是公司能否在未来实现盈利增长。如果你想进一步调查这只股票,这份关于九州通的收益、营业收入和现金流的免费互动报告是一个很好的起点。
What About Dividends?
关于分红派息的问题
When looking at investment returns, it is important to consider the difference between total shareholder return (TSR) and share price return. The TSR is a return calculation that accounts for the value of cash dividends (assuming that any dividend received was reinvested) and the calculated value of any discounted capital raisings and spin-offs. So for companies that pay a generous dividend, the TSR is often a lot higher than the share price return. As it happens, Jointown Pharmaceutical Group's TSR for the last 3 years was -3.3%, which exceeds the share price return mentioned earlier. This is largely a result of its dividend payments!
在考虑投资回报时,重要的是要考虑总股东回报(TSR)与股价回报之间的区别。TSR是一种回报计算,考虑了现金分红的价值(假设任何收到的分红被再投资)以及任何折扣融资和分拆的计算值。因此,对于支付丰厚分红的公司来说,TSR通常远高于股价回报。事实上,九州通过去三年的TSR为-3.3%,超出之前提到的股价回报。这在很大程度上是其分红支付的结果!
A Different Perspective
不同的视角
Jointown Pharmaceutical Group shareholders are down 4.4% for the year (even including dividends), but the market itself is up 10%. However, keep in mind that even the best stocks will sometimes underperform the market over a twelve month period. On the bright side, long term shareholders have made money, with a gain of 1.6% per year over half a decade. It could be that the recent sell-off is an opportunity, so it may be worth checking the fundamental data for signs of a long term growth trend. I find it very interesting to look at share price over the long term as a proxy for business performance. But to truly gain insight, we need to consider other information, too. Consider risks, for instance. Every company has them, and we've spotted 1 warning sign for Jointown Pharmaceutical Group you should know about.
九州通股东在这一年中损失了4.4%(即使考虑到分红),但市场本身上涨了10%。然而,请记住,即使是最好的股票,在十二个月的周期中,有时也会表现不佳。好的一面是,长期股东赚到了钱,过去五年每年的收益为1.6%。最近的抛售可能是一个机会,因此查看基础数据以寻找长期增长趋势的迹象或许值得。 我觉得长期观察股价作为业务表现的代理非常有趣。但要真正获得洞察,我们还需要考虑其他信息。例如,考虑风险。每家公司都有风险,我们发现了一个针对九州通的警告信号,你应该了解。
Of course, you might find a fantastic investment by looking elsewhere. So take a peek at this free list of companies we expect will grow earnings.
当然,你可能会通过其他地方寻找一个绝佳的投资机会。所以请查看这个我们预计将增长每股收益的公司免费列表。
Please note, the market returns quoted in this article reflect the market weighted average returns of stocks that currently trade on Chinese exchanges.
请注意,本文中引用的市场回报反映了目前在中国交易所交易的股票的市场加权平均回报。
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这篇来自Simply Wall St的文章是一般性的。我们根据历史数据和分析师预测提供评论,采用无偏见的方法,我们的文章并不旨在提供财务建议。它不构成对任何股票的买入或卖出建议,也未考虑到您的目标或财务状况。我们旨在为您提供以基本数据驱动的长期分析。请注意,我们的分析可能未考虑最新的价格敏感公司公告或定性材料。Simply Wall St在提到的任何股票中均没有持仓。