Nanjing COSMOS Chemical (SZSE:300856) Seems To Use Debt Quite Sensibly
Nanjing COSMOS Chemical (SZSE:300856) Seems To Use Debt Quite Sensibly
Howard Marks put it nicely when he said that, rather than worrying about share price volatility, 'The possibility of permanent loss is the risk I worry about... and every practical investor I know worries about.' So it might be obvious that you need to consider debt, when you think about how risky any given stock is, because too much debt can sink a company. We note that Nanjing COSMOS Chemical Co., Ltd. (SZSE:300856) does have debt on its balance sheet. But should shareholders be worried about its use of debt?
霍华德·马克斯很恰当地说,'我担心的风险是永久性损失的可能性……而我认识的每位务实投资者也都对此感到担忧。' 所以,当你考虑任何特定股票的风险时,考虑债务可能是显而易见的,因为过多的债务可能会使公司陷入困境。我们注意到,科思股份(深证:300856)的资产负债表上确实有债务。但股东应该担心其使用债务吗?
What Risk Does Debt Bring?
债务带来了什么风险?
Debt is a tool to help businesses grow, but if a business is incapable of paying off its lenders, then it exists at their mercy. In the worst case scenario, a company can go bankrupt if it cannot pay its creditors. However, a more frequent (but still costly) occurrence is where a company must issue shares at bargain-basement prices, permanently diluting shareholders, just to shore up its balance sheet. Of course, plenty of companies use debt to fund growth, without any negative consequences. The first step when considering a company's debt levels is to consider its cash and debt together.
债务是帮助企业成长的工具,但如果企业无法偿还其债权人,那么它就处于他们的控制之下。在最坏的情况下,如果一家公司无法偿还其债务,可能会破产。然而,更常见(但仍然代价高昂)的情况是,公司必须以廉价价格发行股票,以永久稀释股东权益,仅仅是为了加强其资产负债表。当然,许多公司在没有任何负面后果的情况下,利用债务来资助增长。考虑公司债务水平的第一步是一起考虑其现金和债务。
What Is Nanjing COSMOS Chemical's Debt?
科思股份的债务是多少?
The image below, which you can click on for greater detail, shows that at September 2024 Nanjing COSMOS Chemical had debt of CN¥649.1m, up from CN¥611.1m in one year. But on the other hand it also has CN¥1.17b in cash, leading to a CN¥521.2m net cash position.
下面的图像,可以点击以获取更详细的信息,显示在2024年9月科思股份的债务为64910万人民币,一年前为61110万人民币。但另一方面,它还有11.7亿人民币的现金,导致其净现金头寸为52120万人民币。
A Look At Nanjing COSMOS Chemical's Liabilities
了解科思股份的负债
We can see from the most recent balance sheet that Nanjing COSMOS Chemical had liabilities of CN¥396.5m falling due within a year, and liabilities of CN¥795.0m due beyond that. Offsetting these obligations, it had cash of CN¥1.17b as well as receivables valued at CN¥317.9m due within 12 months. So it can boast CN¥296.7m more liquid assets than total liabilities.
从最新的资产负债表中可以看到,科思股份的负债为39650万人民币,且在一年内到期的负债为79500万人民币。抵消这些债务,它拥有11.7亿人民币的现金以及价值为31790万人民币的应收账款,均在12个月内到期。因此,它的流动资产比总负债多出29670万人民币。
This short term liquidity is a sign that Nanjing COSMOS Chemical could probably pay off its debt with ease, as its balance sheet is far from stretched. Succinctly put, Nanjing COSMOS Chemical boasts net cash, so it's fair to say it does not have a heavy debt load!
这短期流动性表明科思股份可能能轻松偿还其债务,因为它的资产负债表远未紧张。简而言之,科思股份拥有净现金,因此可以说它的债务负担并不重!
Nanjing COSMOS Chemical's EBIT was pretty flat over the last year, but that shouldn't be an issue given the it doesn't have a lot of debt. The balance sheet is clearly the area to focus on when you are analysing debt. But ultimately the future profitability of the business will decide if Nanjing COSMOS Chemical can strengthen its balance sheet over time. So if you want to see what the professionals think, you might find this free report on analyst profit forecasts to be interesting.
科思股份的EBIT在过去一年几乎持平,但考虑到它的债务不多,这应该不是一个问题。在分析债务时,资产负债表显然是一个重点。然而,最终决定科思股份能否在未来锻炼其资产负债表的将是其业务的未来盈利能力。因此,如果你想了解专业人士的看法,你可能会发现这份关于分析师利润预测的免费报告很有趣。
But our final consideration is also important, because a company cannot pay debt with paper profits; it needs cold hard cash. Nanjing COSMOS Chemical may have net cash on the balance sheet, but it is still interesting to look at how well the business converts its earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) to free cash flow, because that will influence both its need for, and its capacity to manage debt. In the last three years, Nanjing COSMOS Chemical's free cash flow amounted to 21% of its EBIT, less than we'd expect. That's not great, when it comes to paying down debt.
但我们的最终考虑也很重要,因为公司不能用纸面利润来偿还债务;它需要真实的现金。科思股份可能在资产负债表上有净现金,但查看业务如何将息税前利润(EBIT)转换为自由现金流依然很有趣,因为这将影响它对债务的需求和管理能力。在过去三年中,科思股份的自由现金流占其EBIT的21%,这低于我们的预期。在偿还债务方面,这并不是很好。
Summing Up
总结
While it is always sensible to investigate a company's debt, in this case Nanjing COSMOS Chemical has CN¥521.2m in net cash and a decent-looking balance sheet. So we are not troubled with Nanjing COSMOS Chemical's debt use. The balance sheet is clearly the area to focus on when you are analysing debt. However, not all investment risk resides within the balance sheet - far from it. These risks can be hard to spot. Every company has them, and we've spotted 2 warning signs for Nanjing COSMOS Chemical (of which 1 is concerning!) you should know about.
虽然调查一家公司的债务总是明智的,但在这种情况下,科思股份拥有52120万人民币的净现金和看起来不错的资产负债表。因此,我们并不担心科思股份的债务使用。在分析债务时,资产负债表显然是重点关注的领域。然而,并非所有投资风险都存在于资产负债表中 - 远非如此。这些风险可能很难被发现。每家公司都有这些风险,我们发现了科思股份的2个警告信号(其中1个令人担忧!)你应该知道。
At the end of the day, it's often better to focus on companies that are free from net debt. You can access our special list of such companies (all with a track record of profit growth). It's free.
最终,通常更好的是关注没有净负债的公司。你可以访问我们特别列出这些公司的名单(所有公司都有盈利增长的记录)。这是免费的。
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