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The Three-year Underlying Earnings Growth at Cheng De Lolo (SZSE:000848) Is Promising, but the Shareholders Are Still in the Red Over That Time

The Three-year Underlying Earnings Growth at Cheng De Lolo (SZSE:000848) Is Promising, but the Shareholders Are Still in the Red Over That Time

承德露露(SZSE:000848)三年期基础收益增长前景良好,但在此期间,股东仍处于亏损状态。
Simply Wall St ·  01/01 10:49

As an investor its worth striving to ensure your overall portfolio beats the market average. But in any portfolio, there are likely to be some stocks that fall short of that benchmark. We regret to report that long term Cheng De Lolo Company Limited (SZSE:000848) shareholders have had that experience, with the share price dropping 25% in three years, versus a market decline of about 15%.

作为投资者,努力确保你的整体投资组合超过市场平均水平是值得的。然而,在任何投资组合中,可能会有一些股票未能达到这个基准。我们遗憾地报告,长期持有承德露露有限公司(深交所代码:000848)的股东经历了这样的情况,股价在三年内下跌了25%,而市场的跌幅约为15%。

After losing 4.1% this past week, it's worth investigating the company's fundamentals to see what we can infer from past performance.

在过去一周下跌了4.1%后,值得调查公司的基本面,以看看我们可以从过去的表现中推断出什么。

While the efficient markets hypothesis continues to be taught by some, it has been proven that markets are over-reactive dynamic systems, and investors are not always rational. One flawed but reasonable way to assess how sentiment around a company has changed is to compare the earnings per share (EPS) with the share price.

尽管高效市场假说仍然被一些人教授,但已经证明市场是过度反应的动态系统,投资者并不总是理性。评估公司周围的情绪如何变化的一种缺陷但合理的方法是比较每股收益(EPS)与股价。

During the unfortunate three years of share price decline, Cheng De Lolo actually saw its earnings per share (EPS) improve by 5.8% per year. Given the share price reaction, one might suspect that EPS is not a good guide to the business performance during the period (perhaps due to a one-off loss or gain). Alternatively, growth expectations may have been unreasonable in the past.

在这三年股价下跌的不幸期间,承德露露的每股收益(EPS)实际上每年增长了5.8%。考虑到股价的反应,人们可能会怀疑在此期间EPS是否是评估业务表现的良好指标(可能是由于一次性损失或收益)。另外,过去的增长预期也可能是不合理的。

It's worth taking a look at other metrics, because the EPS growth doesn't seem to match with the falling share price.

值得看看其他指标,因为每股收益的增长似乎与股价下跌不匹配。

Given the healthiness of the dividend payments, we doubt that they've concerned the market. It's good to see that Cheng De Lolo has increased its revenue over the last three years. If the company can keep growing revenue, there may be an opportunity for investors. You might have to dig deeper to understand the recent share price weakness.

考虑到分红派息的健康性,我们怀疑这对市场造成了影响。很高兴看到承德露露在过去三年里增加了营业收入。如果公司能够持续增长营业收入,投资者或许有机会。您可能需要深入了解最近的股价疲软。

The image below shows how earnings and revenue have tracked over time (if you click on the image you can see greater detail).

下面的图像显示了收益和营业收入随时间的变化情况(如果点击图像,可以看到更详细的信息)。

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SZSE:000848 Earnings and Revenue Growth January 1st 2025
深交所:000848 每股收益和营业收入增长 2025年1月1日

If you are thinking of buying or selling Cheng De Lolo stock, you should check out this FREE detailed report on its balance sheet.

如果您考虑买入或卖出承德露露的股票,您应该查看这份免费的详细资产负债表报告。

What About Dividends?

关于分红派息的问题

It is important to consider the total shareholder return, as well as the share price return, for any given stock. The TSR incorporates the value of any spin-offs or discounted capital raisings, along with any dividends, based on the assumption that the dividends are reinvested. So for companies that pay a generous dividend, the TSR is often a lot higher than the share price return. In the case of Cheng De Lolo, it has a TSR of -19% for the last 3 years. That exceeds its share price return that we previously mentioned. This is largely a result of its dividend payments!

在考虑任何特定股票时,考虑整体股东回报以及股价回报是非常重要的。整体股东回报包括任何分拆或折扣融资的价值,以及基于再投资分红假设的任何分红。因此,对于支付丰厚分红的公司,整体股东回报通常远高于股价回报。在承德露露的案例中,它在过去三年的整体股东回报为-19%。这超过了我们之前提到的股价回报。这在很大程度上是由于其分红派息!

A Different Perspective

不同的视角

We're pleased to report that Cheng De Lolo shareholders have received a total shareholder return of 19% over one year. And that does include the dividend. Since the one-year TSR is better than the five-year TSR (the latter coming in at 7% per year), it would seem that the stock's performance has improved in recent times. Someone with an optimistic perspective could view the recent improvement in TSR as indicating that the business itself is getting better with time. While it is well worth considering the different impacts that market conditions can have on the share price, there are other factors that are even more important. Consider for instance, the ever-present spectre of investment risk. We've identified 2 warning signs with Cheng De Lolo (at least 1 which is a bit concerning) , and understanding them should be part of your investment process.

我们很高兴地报告,承德露露的股东在一年内获得了19%的总股东回报。其中包括分红派息。由于一年期的总股东回报率优于五年期的总股东回报率(后者每年为7%),因此股票的表现似乎在最近得到了改善。持有乐观态度的人可能会将TSR的最近改善视为业务本身随着时间的推移而改善的迹象。虽然考虑市场状况对股价的不同影响是非常重要的,但还有其他因素更加重要。例如,投资风险的常在阴影。我们已经发现了承德露露的2个警告信号(至少1个令人担忧),理解它们应该是你投资过程的一部分。

Of course, you might find a fantastic investment by looking elsewhere. So take a peek at this free list of companies we expect will grow earnings.

当然,你可能会通过其他地方寻找一个绝佳的投资机会。所以请查看这个我们预计将增长每股收益的公司免费列表。

Please note, the market returns quoted in this article reflect the market weighted average returns of stocks that currently trade on Chinese exchanges.

请注意,本文中引用的市场回报反映了目前在中国交易所交易的股票的市场加权平均回报。

Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com.
This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

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这篇来自Simply Wall St的文章是一般性的。我们根据历史数据和分析师预测提供评论,采用无偏见的方法,我们的文章并不旨在提供财务建议。它不构成对任何股票的买入或卖出建议,也未考虑到您的目标或财务状况。我们旨在为您提供以基本数据驱动的长期分析。请注意,我们的分析可能未考虑最新的价格敏感公司公告或定性材料。Simply Wall St在提到的任何股票中均没有持仓。

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