share_log

We Think Sinoma International EngineeringLtd (SHSE:600970) Can Stay On Top Of Its Debt

We Think Sinoma International EngineeringLtd (SHSE:600970) Can Stay On Top Of Its Debt

我们认为中国中材国际工程有限公司(上海证券交易所代码:600970)可以保持其债务的优势。
Simply Wall St ·  01/01 10:54

Howard Marks put it nicely when he said that, rather than worrying about share price volatility, 'The possibility of permanent loss is the risk I worry about... and every practical investor I know worries about.' When we think about how risky a company is, we always like to look at its use of debt, since debt overload can lead to ruin. Importantly, Sinoma International Engineering Co.,Ltd (SHSE:600970) does carry debt. But the more important question is: how much risk is that debt creating?

霍华德·马克斯说得很好,他表示与其担心股票价格的波动,不如关注“永久性损失的可能性是我担心的风险……以及我所认识的每个实用投资者都在担心的。”当我们考虑一家公司的风险时,我们总是喜欢关注它的债务使用情况,因为债务负担过重可能会导致毁灭。重要的是,中材国际工程股份有限公司(SHSE:600970)确实背负着债务。但更重要的问题是:这些债务带来了多少风险?

Why Does Debt Bring Risk?

为什么债务带来风险?

Generally speaking, debt only becomes a real problem when a company can't easily pay it off, either by raising capital or with its own cash flow. If things get really bad, the lenders can take control of the business. While that is not too common, we often do see indebted companies permanently diluting shareholders because lenders force them to raise capital at a distressed price. Of course, the upside of debt is that it often represents cheap capital, especially when it replaces dilution in a company with the ability to reinvest at high rates of return. When we examine debt levels, we first consider both cash and debt levels, together.

一般而言,债务只有在公司无法轻松偿还时才会成为真正的问题,可能是通过筹集资金或用其自身的现金流。如果情况真的变得很糟,贷款方可以控制企业。虽然这并不常见,但我们经常看到负债公司因为贷款方迫使他们以低迷价格筹资而永久性稀释股东利益。当然,债务的好处是它通常代表着低成本资本,特别是当它替代公司在能以高回报率再投资时的稀释时。当我们考察债务水平时,首先考虑的是现金和债务水平的结合。

What Is Sinoma International EngineeringLtd's Net Debt?

中材国际工程有限公司的净债务是多少?

You can click the graphic below for the historical numbers, but it shows that Sinoma International EngineeringLtd had CN¥6.17b of debt in September 2024, down from CN¥7.38b, one year before. However, it does have CN¥6.34b in cash offsetting this, leading to net cash of CN¥164.8m.

您可以点击下面的图形查看历史数字,但它显示到2024年9月,中材国际工程有限公司的债务为61.7亿人民币,较一年前的73.8亿人民币有所下降。然而,它也有63.4亿人民币的现金来抵消这部分债务,导致净现金为16480万人民币。

big
SHSE:600970 Debt to Equity History January 1st 2025
SHSE:600970 债务与股本历史 2025年1月1日

A Look At Sinoma International EngineeringLtd's Liabilities

纵观中材国际工程有限公司的负债

We can see from the most recent balance sheet that Sinoma International EngineeringLtd had liabilities of CN¥29.4b falling due within a year, and liabilities of CN¥4.62b due beyond that. Offsetting these obligations, it had cash of CN¥6.34b as well as receivables valued at CN¥22.6b due within 12 months. So it has liabilities totalling CN¥5.14b more than its cash and near-term receivables, combined.

我们可以从最近的资产负债表中看到,中材国际工程有限公司有负债294亿人民币将在一年内到期,以及46.2亿人民币的长期负债。抵消这些义务,它拥有63.4亿人民币的现金以及226亿人民币的应收款项将在12个月内到期。因此,它的负债总额比现金和短期应收款项的总和多出51.4亿人民币。

This deficit isn't so bad because Sinoma International EngineeringLtd is worth CN¥25.0b, and thus could probably raise enough capital to shore up its balance sheet, if the need arose. But we definitely want to keep our eyes open to indications that its debt is bringing too much risk. While it does have liabilities worth noting, Sinoma International EngineeringLtd also has more cash than debt, so we're pretty confident it can manage its debt safely.

这个赤字并不算太糟糕,因为中材国际工程有限公司的市值为250亿人民币,因此如果需要的话,可能能够筹集足够的资金来加强其资产负债表。但我们绝对希望关注其债务带来过多风险的迹象。虽然它确实有值得注意的负债,中材国际工程有限公司的现金仍然多于债务,因此我们相当有信心它能够安全地管理其债务。

Also good is that Sinoma International EngineeringLtd grew its EBIT at 14% over the last year, further increasing its ability to manage debt. When analysing debt levels, the balance sheet is the obvious place to start. But it is future earnings, more than anything, that will determine Sinoma International EngineeringLtd's ability to maintain a healthy balance sheet going forward. So if you want to see what the professionals think, you might find this free report on analyst profit forecasts to be interesting.

值得高兴的是,中材国际工程有限公司在过去一年中EBIT增长了14%,进一步增强了管理债务的能力。分析债务水平时,资产负债表显然是一个明显的起点。但更重要的是未来的收益,这将判断中材国际工程有限公司未来维持健康资产负债表的能力。因此,如果你想看看专业人士的看法,你可能会发现这份关于分析师利润预测的免费报告很有趣。

Finally, while the tax-man may adore accounting profits, lenders only accept cold hard cash. Sinoma International EngineeringLtd may have net cash on the balance sheet, but it is still interesting to look at how well the business converts its earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) to free cash flow, because that will influence both its need for, and its capacity to manage debt. In the last three years, Sinoma International EngineeringLtd's free cash flow amounted to 42% of its EBIT, less than we'd expect. That's not great, when it comes to paying down debt.

最后,虽然税务机关可能会喜欢报表利润,贷方只接受冰冷的现金。中材国际工程有限公司的资产负债表上可能有净现金,但了解企业如何将息税前利润(EBIT)转化为自由现金流仍然很有趣,因为这将影响其管理债务的需求和能力。在过去三年中,中材国际工程有限公司的自由现金流额度为其EBIT的42%,这低于我们预期的水平。在偿还债务方面,这并不好。

Summing Up

总结

While Sinoma International EngineeringLtd does have more liabilities than liquid assets, it also has net cash of CN¥164.8m. And it also grew its EBIT by 14% over the last year. So we don't have any problem with Sinoma International EngineeringLtd's use of debt. The balance sheet is clearly the area to focus on when you are analysing debt. However, not all investment risk resides within the balance sheet - far from it. Be aware that Sinoma International EngineeringLtd is showing 1 warning sign in our investment analysis , you should know about...

虽然中材国际的负债超过流动资产,但它仍然拥有净现金为人民币16480万。而且它在过去一年中EBIT增长了14%。所以我们对中材国际的债务使用没有任何问题。在分析债务时,资产负债表显然是重点关注的领域。然而,并非所有投资风险都集中在资产负债表上,远非如此。请注意,中材国际在我们的投资分析中显示出1个警告信号,你需要了解...

At the end of the day, it's often better to focus on companies that are free from net debt. You can access our special list of such companies (all with a track record of profit growth). It's free.

最终,通常更好的是关注没有净负债的公司。你可以访问我们特别列出这些公司的名单(所有公司都有盈利增长的记录)。这是免费的。

Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com.
This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

对本文有反馈?对内容有疑虑?请直接与我们联系。或者,发送电子邮件至 editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com。
这篇来自Simply Wall St的文章是一般性的。我们根据历史数据和分析师预测提供评论,采用无偏见的方法,我们的文章并不旨在提供财务建议。它不构成对任何股票的买入或卖出建议,也未考虑到您的目标或财务状况。我们旨在为您提供以基本数据驱动的长期分析。请注意,我们的分析可能未考虑最新的价格敏感公司公告或定性材料。Simply Wall St在提到的任何股票中均没有持仓。

声明:本内容仅用作提供资讯及教育之目的,不构成对任何特定投资或投资策略的推荐或认可。 更多信息
    抢沙发