Investors in TBEA (SHSE:600089) Have Seen Impressive Returns of 179% Over the Past Five Years
Investors in TBEA (SHSE:600089) Have Seen Impressive Returns of 179% Over the Past Five Years
TBEA Co., Ltd. (SHSE:600089) shareholders might be concerned after seeing the share price drop 13% in the last quarter. But that doesn't change the fact that the returns over the last five years have been very strong. It's fair to say most would be happy with 145% the gain in that time. So while it's never fun to see a share price fall, it's important to look at a longer time horizon. Only time will tell if there is still too much optimism currently reflected in the share price.
特变电工(SHSE:600089)的股东在看到股价在上一季度下跌了13%后,可能会感到担忧。不过,这并不改变过去五年回报非常强劲的事实。可以公平地说,大多数人会对这一时期的145%的收益感到满意。因此,虽然看到股价下跌从来都不是一件有趣的事情,但重要的是要看得更长远。只有时间会告诉我们,目前的股价是否仍然反映了过多的乐观情绪。
With that in mind, it's worth seeing if the company's underlying fundamentals have been the driver of long term performance, or if there are some discrepancies.
鉴于此,值得看看该公司的基本面是否一直是长期业绩的驱动因素,或者是否存在一些不一致之处。
There is no denying that markets are sometimes efficient, but prices do not always reflect underlying business performance. One way to examine how market sentiment has changed over time is to look at the interaction between a company's share price and its earnings per share (EPS).
无可否认,市场有时是有效的,但价格并不总是反映基础业务的表现。一种检查市场情绪随时间变化的方法是观察公司股价与每股收益(EPS)之间的互动。
During the last half decade, TBEA became profitable. That kind of transition can be an inflection point that justifies a strong share price gain, just as we have seen here.
在过去的五年半中,特变电工实现了盈利。这种转变可以成为一个拐点,从而证明强劲股价上涨的合理性,正如我们在这里看到的那样。
You can see below how EPS has changed over time (discover the exact values by clicking on the image).
您可以在下面看到EPS如何随时间变化(点击图片可以发现具体数值)。
Before buying or selling a stock, we always recommend a close examination of historic growth trends, available here.
在买入或卖出股票之前,我们总是建议仔细审查历史增长趋势,详情请见这里。
What About Dividends?
关于分红派息的问题
When looking at investment returns, it is important to consider the difference between total shareholder return (TSR) and share price return. The TSR is a return calculation that accounts for the value of cash dividends (assuming that any dividend received was reinvested) and the calculated value of any discounted capital raisings and spin-offs. So for companies that pay a generous dividend, the TSR is often a lot higher than the share price return. We note that for TBEA the TSR over the last 5 years was 179%, which is better than the share price return mentioned above. This is largely a result of its dividend payments!
在考虑投资回报时,重要的是要考虑总股东回报(TSR)和股价回报之间的区别。TSR是一种回报计算方法,它考虑了现金分红的价值(假设收到的任何分红都被再投资)和任何折价资本筹集和派生的计算价值。因此,对于那些支付慷慨分红的公司,TSR往往要高于股价回报。我们注意到,特变电工在过去5年中的TSR为179%,这比上述的股价回报要好。这在很大程度上是其分红支付的结果!
A Different Perspective
不同的视角
While the broader market gained around 10% in the last year, TBEA shareholders lost 6.8% (even including dividends). Even the share prices of good stocks drop sometimes, but we want to see improvements in the fundamental metrics of a business, before getting too interested. Longer term investors wouldn't be so upset, since they would have made 23%, each year, over five years. If the fundamental data continues to indicate long term sustainable growth, the current sell-off could be an opportunity worth considering. While it is well worth considering the different impacts that market conditions can have on the share price, there are other factors that are even more important. Take risks, for example - TBEA has 2 warning signs we think you should be aware of.
虽然整体市场在去年上涨了10%,但特变电工的股东损失了6.8%(即使包括分红)。即使是优质股票的股价有时也会下跌,但我们希望在对业务产生太大兴趣之前,看到基本指标的改善。长期投资者可能不会太失望,因为他们在五年中每年的收益为23%。如果基本数据继续表明长期可持续增长,那么当前的抛售可能是一个值得考虑的机会。虽然考虑市场条件对股价的不同影响非常重要,但还有其他因素更为关键。以风险为例——特变电工有两个警示信号,我们认为你应该注意。
If you are like me, then you will not want to miss this free list of undervalued small caps that insiders are buying.
如果你像我一样,那么你一定不想错过这份内部人士正在购买的被低估的小型股免费名单。
Please note, the market returns quoted in this article reflect the market weighted average returns of stocks that currently trade on Chinese exchanges.
请注意,本文中引用的市场回报反映了目前在中国交易所交易的股票的市场加权平均回报。
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这篇来自Simply Wall St的文章是一般性的。我们根据历史数据和分析师预测提供评论,采用无偏见的方法,我们的文章并不旨在提供财务建议。它不构成对任何股票的买入或卖出建议,也未考虑到您的目标或财务状况。我们旨在为您提供以基本数据驱动的长期分析。请注意,我们的分析可能未考虑最新的价格敏感公司公告或定性材料。Simply Wall St在提到的任何股票中均没有持仓。