We Think CBRE Group (NYSE:CBRE) Can Stay On Top Of Its Debt
We Think CBRE Group (NYSE:CBRE) Can Stay On Top Of Its Debt
Legendary fund manager Li Lu (who Charlie Munger backed) once said, 'The biggest investment risk is not the volatility of prices, but whether you will suffer a permanent loss of capital.' It's only natural to consider a company's balance sheet when you examine how risky it is, since debt is often involved when a business collapses. Importantly, CBRE Group, Inc. (NYSE:CBRE) does carry debt. But should shareholders be worried about its use of debt?
传奇基金经理李禄(查理·芒格支持的那位)曾说过:‘最大的投资风险不是价格的波动,而是你是否会遭受永久性资本损失。’ 在审视一家公司风险的同时考虑其资产负债表是很自然的,因为债务往往与企业崩溃有关。重要的是,世邦魏理仕公司(纽交所:CBRE)确实有债务。但是,股东们应该担心它的债务使用吗?
When Is Debt A Problem?
何时债务成为问题?
Generally speaking, debt only becomes a real problem when a company can't easily pay it off, either by raising capital or with its own cash flow. Ultimately, if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt, shareholders could walk away with nothing. While that is not too common, we often do see indebted companies permanently diluting shareholders because lenders force them to raise capital at a distressed price. Of course, the upside of debt is that it often represents cheap capital, especially when it replaces dilution in a company with the ability to reinvest at high rates of return. The first thing to do when considering how much debt a business uses is to look at its cash and debt together.
一般而言,债务只有在公司无法轻松偿还时才会成为真正的问题,通常通过融资或自身的现金流偿还。最终,如果公司无法履行偿债的法律义务,股东可能会一无所获。虽然这种情况并不常见,但我们确实经常看到负债公司由于债权人迫使他们以受压价格筹集资金而永久性稀释股东权益。当然,债务的好处在于它通常代表廉价资本,尤其是在它替代了一家能够以高回报率再投资的公司的稀释时。当考虑一个企业使用多少债务时,首先要查看其现金和债务的结合情况。
What Is CBRE Group's Debt?
世邦魏理仕的债务是多少?
As you can see below, at the end of September 2024, CBRE Group had US$5.42b of debt, up from US$4.47b a year ago. Click the image for more detail. However, it does have US$1.03b in cash offsetting this, leading to net debt of about US$4.40b.
正如您在下面所看到的,直到2024年9月底,世邦魏理仕的债务为54.2亿美元,较去年同期的44.7亿美元增加。点击图片了解更多细节。但是,它有10.3亿美元的现金来抵消这部分债务,因此净债务约为44亿美元。
How Healthy Is CBRE Group's Balance Sheet?
世邦魏理仕的资产负债表健康吗?
Zooming in on the latest balance sheet data, we can see that CBRE Group had liabilities of US$9.43b due within 12 months and liabilities of US$5.86b due beyond that. Offsetting this, it had US$1.03b in cash and US$7.36b in receivables that were due within 12 months. So it has liabilities totalling US$6.91b more than its cash and near-term receivables, combined.
从最新的资产负债表数据来看,世邦魏理仕有94.3亿美元的短期负债和58.6亿美元的长期负债。对此,它有10.3亿美元的现金和73.6亿美元的应收账款,这些应收账款在12个月内到期。因此,它的负债总额超过其现金及近期应收款共计69.1亿美元。
Of course, CBRE Group has a titanic market capitalization of US$39.2b, so these liabilities are probably manageable. But there are sufficient liabilities that we would certainly recommend shareholders continue to monitor the balance sheet, going forward.
当然,世邦魏理仕拥有392亿美元的庞大市值,因此这些负债可能是可控的。但是,负债总额足够多,我们确实建议股东今后持续关注资产负债表。
We measure a company's debt load relative to its earnings power by looking at its net debt divided by its earnings before interest, tax, depreciation, and amortization (EBITDA) and by calculating how easily its earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) cover its interest expense (interest cover). The advantage of this approach is that we take into account both the absolute quantum of debt (with net debt to EBITDA) and the actual interest expenses associated with that debt (with its interest cover ratio).
我们通过查看公司的净债务与息税折旧摊销前利润(EBITDA)的比率,以及计算息税前利润(EBIT)覆盖利息费用的能力(利息保障率),来衡量公司的债务负担相对于其盈利能力的情况。这种方法的优势在于,我们同时考虑了债务的绝对量(通过净债务与EBITDA的比率)和与该债务相关的实际利息费用(通过其利息保障率)。
CBRE Group's net debt of 2.0 times EBITDA suggests graceful use of debt. And the alluring interest cover (EBIT of 7.6 times interest expense) certainly does not do anything to dispel this impression. Importantly, CBRE Group grew its EBIT by 63% over the last twelve months, and that growth will make it easier to handle its debt. The balance sheet is clearly the area to focus on when you are analysing debt. But it is future earnings, more than anything, that will determine CBRE Group's ability to maintain a healthy balance sheet going forward. So if you want to see what the professionals think, you might find this free report on analyst profit forecasts to be interesting.
世邦魏理仕的净债务为EBITDA的2.0倍,表明其优雅地使用债务。而诱人的利息覆盖率(EBIT是利息支出的7.6倍)当然不会消除这种印象。重要的是,世邦魏理仕在过去的十二个月里将EBIT增长了63%,这一增长将使其更容易处理债务。当你分析债务时,资产负债表显然是重点。不过,未来的收益比其他任何因素更能判断世邦魏理仕未来维持健康资产负债表的能力。因此,如果你想看看专业人士的看法,你可能会觉得这份关于分析师利润预测的免费报告非常有趣。
Finally, while the tax-man may adore accounting profits, lenders only accept cold hard cash. So it's worth checking how much of that EBIT is backed by free cash flow. Over the most recent three years, CBRE Group recorded free cash flow worth 67% of its EBIT, which is around normal, given free cash flow excludes interest and tax. This free cash flow puts the company in a good position to pay down debt, when appropriate.
最后,尽管税务官可能喜欢会计利润,但贷方只接受冷硬现金。因此,值得检查一下这些EBIT中有多少是由自由现金流支持的。在最近三年中,世邦魏理仕记录的自由现金流占其EBIT的67%,这在正常范围内,因为自由现金流不包括利息和税款。当适当时,这一自由现金流使公司处于良好的位置,能够偿还债务。
Our View
我们的观点
Happily, CBRE Group's impressive EBIT growth rate implies it has the upper hand on its debt. And the good news does not stop there, as its conversion of EBIT to free cash flow also supports that impression! Zooming out, CBRE Group seems to use debt quite reasonably; and that gets the nod from us. While debt does bring risk, when used wisely it can also bring a higher return on equity. There's no doubt that we learn most about debt from the balance sheet. But ultimately, every company can contain risks that exist outside of the balance sheet. To that end, you should be aware of the 2 warning signs we've spotted with CBRE Group .
令人欣慰的是,世邦魏理仕令人印象深刻的EBIt增长率表明它在债务方面占据优势。好消息并未止步于此,它将EBIt转化为自由现金流的表现也支持了这种印象!放眼来看,世邦魏理仕似乎合理使用债务;对此我们表示赞同。尽管债务确实带来了风险,但在明智使用的情况下,它也可以带来更高的股本回报。毫无疑问,我们从资产负债表中学到了债务的知识。但最终,每个公司都可能存在资产负债表外的风险。为此,您应该注意我们发现的世邦魏理仕的两个警示信号。
At the end of the day, it's often better to focus on companies that are free from net debt. You can access our special list of such companies (all with a track record of profit growth). It's free.
最终,通常更好的是关注没有净负债的公司。你可以访问我们特别列出这些公司的名单(所有公司都有盈利增长的记录)。这是免费的。
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