The Hunan Kylinsec Technology Co., Ltd. (SHSE:688152) share price has softened a substantial 25% over the previous 30 days, handing back much of the gains the stock has made lately. The drop over the last 30 days has capped off a tough year for shareholders, with the share price down 22% in that time.
In spite of the heavy fall in price, Hunan Kylinsec Technology's price-to-sales (or "P/S") ratio of 17.5x might still make it look like a strong sell right now compared to other companies in the Software industry in China, where around half of the companies have P/S ratios below 6.5x and even P/S below 3x are quite common. Although, it's not wise to just take the P/S at face value as there may be an explanation why it's so lofty.
What Does Hunan Kylinsec Technology's P/S Mean For Shareholders?
Hunan Kylinsec Technology could be doing better as its revenue has been going backwards lately while most other companies have been seeing positive revenue growth. One possibility is that the P/S ratio is high because investors think this poor revenue performance will turn the corner. However, if this isn't the case, investors might get caught out paying too much for the stock.
If you'd like to see what analysts are forecasting going forward, you should check out our free report on Hunan Kylinsec Technology.
Is There Enough Revenue Growth Forecasted For Hunan Kylinsec Technology?
The only time you'd be truly comfortable seeing a P/S as steep as Hunan Kylinsec Technology's is when the company's growth is on track to outshine the industry decidedly.
Retrospectively, the last year delivered a frustrating 3.4% decrease to the company's top line. This means it has also seen a slide in revenue over the longer-term as revenue is down 32% in total over the last three years. So unfortunately, we have to acknowledge that the company has not done a great job of growing revenue over that time.
Shifting to the future, estimates from the only analyst covering the company suggest revenue should grow by 91% over the next year. With the industry only predicted to deliver 30%, the company is positioned for a stronger revenue result.
With this information, we can see why Hunan Kylinsec Technology is trading at such a high P/S compared to the industry. Apparently shareholders aren't keen to offload something that is potentially eyeing a more prosperous future.
What Does Hunan Kylinsec Technology's P/S Mean For Investors?
Even after such a strong price drop, Hunan Kylinsec Technology's P/S still exceeds the industry median significantly. We'd say the price-to-sales ratio's power isn't primarily as a valuation instrument but rather to gauge current investor sentiment and future expectations.
Our look into Hunan Kylinsec Technology shows that its P/S ratio remains high on the merit of its strong future revenues. Right now shareholders are comfortable with the P/S as they are quite confident future revenues aren't under threat. Unless these conditions change, they will continue to provide strong support to the share price.
Before you settle on your opinion, we've discovered 1 warning sign for Hunan Kylinsec Technology that you should be aware of.
Of course, profitable companies with a history of great earnings growth are generally safer bets. So you may wish to see this free collection of other companies that have reasonable P/E ratios and have grown earnings strongly.
Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content?Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com. This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.