Is Zhejiang Huatong Meat Products (SZSE:002840) Using Too Much Debt?
Is Zhejiang Huatong Meat Products (SZSE:002840) Using Too Much Debt?
Legendary fund manager Li Lu (who Charlie Munger backed) once said, 'The biggest investment risk is not the volatility of prices, but whether you will suffer a permanent loss of capital.' It's only natural to consider a company's balance sheet when you examine how risky it is, since debt is often involved when a business collapses. Importantly, Zhejiang Huatong Meat Products Co., Ltd. (SZSE:002840) does carry debt. But the real question is whether this debt is making the company risky.
传奇基金经理李录(查理·芒格支持他)曾说过,'最大的投资风险不是价格的波动,而是你会否遭受永久性资本损失。' 在审视一家公司的风险时,考虑其资产负债表是很自然的,因为在企业垮台时,往往涉及到债务。重要的是,华统股份确实有债务。但真正的问题是,这笔债务是否使公司变得风险重重。
When Is Debt A Problem?
何时债务成为问题?
Generally speaking, debt only becomes a real problem when a company can't easily pay it off, either by raising capital or with its own cash flow. Ultimately, if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt, shareholders could walk away with nothing. However, a more common (but still painful) scenario is that it has to raise new equity capital at a low price, thus permanently diluting shareholders. Of course, plenty of companies use debt to fund growth, without any negative consequences. When we think about a company's use of debt, we first look at cash and debt together.
一般而言,债务只有在公司无法轻易偿还时才会成为真正的问题,可能是通过筹集资金或依靠自身的现金流。最终,如果公司无法履行法律义务偿还债务,股东可能会一无所获。然而,更常见的(但仍然痛苦的)情况是,它必须以低价筹集新的股本,从而永久性地稀释股东的权益。当然,许多公司利用债务资助增长,且没有任何负面后果。当我们考虑一家公司使用债务时,我们首先会将现金和债务结合起来看。
What Is Zhejiang Huatong Meat Products's Debt?
华统股份的债务是什么?
As you can see below, at the end of September 2024, Zhejiang Huatong Meat Products had CN¥5.16b of debt, up from CN¥4.79b a year ago. Click the image for more detail. However, it also had CN¥681.6m in cash, and so its net debt is CN¥4.48b.
正如您在下面看到的,到2024年9月底,华统股份的债务为51.6亿人民币,比一年前的47.9亿人民币有所增加。 点击图片以获取更多详细信息。 然而,它也有68160万人民币的现金,因此其净债务为44.8亿人民币。
How Healthy Is Zhejiang Huatong Meat Products' Balance Sheet?
华统股份的资产负债表健康吗?
Zooming in on the latest balance sheet data, we can see that Zhejiang Huatong Meat Products had liabilities of CN¥3.58b due within 12 months and liabilities of CN¥3.29b due beyond that. On the other hand, it had cash of CN¥681.6m and CN¥133.3m worth of receivables due within a year. So its liabilities total CN¥6.05b more than the combination of its cash and short-term receivables.
仔细查看最新的资产负债表数据,我们可以看到华统股份的负债为35.8亿人民币,12个月内到期的负债为32.9亿人民币。另一方面,它的现金为68160万人民币,且有价值13330万人民币的应收账款在一年内到期。所以,它的负债总额超过现金和短期应收账款的总和60.5亿人民币。
This is a mountain of leverage relative to its market capitalization of CN¥7.82b. Should its lenders demand that it shore up the balance sheet, shareholders would likely face severe dilution. There's no doubt that we learn most about debt from the balance sheet. But it is future earnings, more than anything, that will determine Zhejiang Huatong Meat Products's ability to maintain a healthy balance sheet going forward. So if you're focused on the future you can check out this free report showing analyst profit forecasts.
这与其78.2亿人民币的市值相比是一笔巨额的杠杆。如果其贷款方要求其改善资产负债表,股东可能会面临严重的稀释。毫无疑问,我们从资产负债表中学到的大部分关于债务的知识。但是,未来的收益,尤其是将决定华统股份未来保持健康资产负债表的能力。因此,如果您关注未来,可以查看这份免费的报告,了解分析师的利润预测。
In the last year Zhejiang Huatong Meat Products had a loss before interest and tax, and actually shrunk its revenue by 3.2%, to CN¥8.9b. That's not what we would hope to see.
在过去的一年中,华统股份在利息和税前亏损,并且其实营收减少了3.2%,降至89亿人民币。这并不是我们所希望看到的。
Caveat Emptor
买者自负盈亏
Importantly, Zhejiang Huatong Meat Products had an earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) loss over the last year. Indeed, it lost CN¥72m at the EBIT level. Considering that alongside the liabilities mentioned above does not give us much confidence that company should be using so much debt. So we think its balance sheet is a little strained, though not beyond repair. For example, we would not want to see a repeat of last year's loss of CN¥193m. So to be blunt we do think it is risky. For riskier companies like Zhejiang Huatong Meat Products I always like to keep an eye on the long term profit and revenue trends. Fortunately, you can click to see our interactive graph of its profit, revenue, and operating cashflow.
重要的是,华统股份在过去一年中的息税前利润(EBIT)亏损。实际上,它在EBIT层面上亏损7200万人民币。考虑到上述负债,我们并不太相信公司应该使用这么多债务。因此,我们认为它的资产负债表稍显紧张,但并没有到无法修复的地步。例如,我们不希望看到去年19300万人民币的亏损重演。因此坦白说,我们认为这很有风险。对于像华统股份这样的高风险公司,我总是喜欢关注长期的利润和收入趋势。幸运的是,您可以点击查看我们关于其利润、收入和经营现金流的互动图表。
If you're interested in investing in businesses that can grow profits without the burden of debt, then check out this free list of growing businesses that have net cash on the balance sheet.
如果您有兴趣投资那些能够在没有债务负担的情况下增长利润的业务,请查看这个自由名单,其中列出了在资产负债表上有净现金的成长型企业。
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