Is Brookfield Infrastructure (NYSE:BIPC) A Risky Investment?
Is Brookfield Infrastructure (NYSE:BIPC) A Risky Investment?
The external fund manager backed by Berkshire Hathaway's Charlie Munger, Li Lu, makes no bones about it when he says 'The biggest investment risk is not the volatility of prices, but whether you will suffer a permanent loss of capital.' It's only natural to consider a company's balance sheet when you examine how risky it is, since debt is often involved when a business collapses. As with many other companies Brookfield Infrastructure Corporation (NYSE:BIPC) makes use of debt. But should shareholders be worried about its use of debt?
由伯克希尔哈撒韦的查理·芒格支持的外部基金经理李路坦言,"最大的投资风险不是价格的波动,而是你是否会遭受永久性资本损失。" 在审视一个公司的风险时,自然要考虑其资产负债表,因为企业倒闭时往往涉及债务。与许多其他公司一样,Brookfield Infrastructure Corporation(纽交所:BIPC)也使用了债务。但股东是否应该对其债务使用感到担忧呢?
When Is Debt A Problem?
何时债务成为问题?
Debt is a tool to help businesses grow, but if a business is incapable of paying off its lenders, then it exists at their mercy. Ultimately, if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt, shareholders could walk away with nothing. However, a more usual (but still expensive) situation is where a company must dilute shareholders at a cheap share price simply to get debt under control. Of course, plenty of companies use debt to fund growth, without any negative consequences. The first step when considering a company's debt levels is to consider its cash and debt together.
债务是帮助企业成长的工具,但如果一个企业无法偿还贷款人,那么它就处于贷款人的支配之下。最终,如果公司无法履行偿还债务的法律义务,股东可能会一无所获。然而,一个更常见(但仍然昂贵)的情况是,公司不得不以廉价的股票价格稀释股东,以便仅仅是控制债务。当然,很多公司使用债务来资助增长,而没有产生负面后果。在考虑公司的债务水平时,第一步是将其现金和债务结合考虑。
What Is Brookfield Infrastructure's Debt?
brookfield infrastructure 的债务是什么?
The image below, which you can click on for greater detail, shows that at September 2024 Brookfield Infrastructure had debt of US$13.5b, up from US$12.1b in one year. On the flip side, it has US$278.0m in cash leading to net debt of about US$13.2b.
下图(您可以点击查看更详细信息)显示,到2024年9月,Brookfield Infrastructure 的债务为135亿美金,比一年前的121亿美金有所增加。另一方面,它拥有27800万美元的现金,导致净债务约为132亿美金。
A Look At Brookfield Infrastructure's Liabilities
关于Brookfield Infrastructure负债的分析
We can see from the most recent balance sheet that Brookfield Infrastructure had liabilities of US$6.74b falling due within a year, and liabilities of US$14.9b due beyond that. Offsetting this, it had US$278.0m in cash and US$2.62b in receivables that were due within 12 months. So its liabilities total US$18.8b more than the combination of its cash and short-term receivables.
我们可以从最近的资产负债表中看到,Brookfield Infrastructure在一年内到期的负债为67.4亿美元,超出这一期限的负债为149亿美元。抵消这些负债的是其27800万美元的现金和26.2亿美元的应收款,后者将在12个月内到期。因此,其负债总额比现金和短期应收款的总和多出188亿美元。
The deficiency here weighs heavily on the US$5.47b company itself, as if a child were struggling under the weight of an enormous back-pack full of books, his sports gear, and a trumpet. So we definitely think shareholders need to watch this one closely. At the end of the day, Brookfield Infrastructure would probably need a major re-capitalization if its creditors were to demand repayment.
这种缺口严重影响了这家54.7亿美金的公司,就像一个孩子在背负装满书籍、大运动器材和小号的巨大背包时所感受到的沉重一样。因此,我们绝对认为,股东需要密切关注这一点。归根结底,Brookfield Infrastructure可能需要进行重大再融资,如果其债权人要求偿还。
In order to size up a company's debt relative to its earnings, we calculate its net debt divided by its earnings before interest, tax, depreciation, and amortization (EBITDA) and its earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) divided by its interest expense (its interest cover). This way, we consider both the absolute quantum of the debt, as well as the interest rates paid on it.
为了评估一家公司的债务与其收益的关系,我们计算其净债务与息税折旧摊销前利润(EBITDA)的比率,以及息税前利润(EBIT)与利息费用的比率(即利息覆盖率)。通过这种方式,我们考虑了债务的绝对数量和所支付的利率。
While Brookfield Infrastructure's debt to EBITDA ratio (4.4) suggests that it uses some debt, its interest cover is very weak, at 2.2, suggesting high leverage. It seems clear that the cost of borrowing money is negatively impacting returns for shareholders, of late. The good news is that Brookfield Infrastructure grew its EBIT a smooth 57% over the last twelve months. Like a mother's loving embrace of a newborn that sort of growth builds resilience, putting the company in a stronger position to manage its debt. The balance sheet is clearly the area to focus on when you are analysing debt. But it is future earnings, more than anything, that will determine Brookfield Infrastructure's ability to maintain a healthy balance sheet going forward. So if you want to see what the professionals think, you might find this free report on analyst profit forecasts to be interesting.
虽然Brookfield Infrastructure的债务与EBITDA比率(4.4)表明它使用了一些债务,但其利息覆盖率非常低,仅为2.2,暗示了高杠杆率。显然,借款成本最近对股东的回报产生了负面影响。好消息是,Brookfield Infrastructure在过去12个月内EBIT稳步增长了57%。就像母亲温柔拥抱新生儿那样,这种增长建立了韧性,使公司在管理债务方面处于更强的地位。资产负债表显然是分析债务时需要关注的领域。但未来的收益,远比其他任何因素,都将判断Brookfield Infrastructure未来维持健康资产负债表的能力。因此,如果想要了解专业人士的看法,你可能会发现这份关于分析师利润预测的免费报告是有趣的。
Finally, a company can only pay off debt with cold hard cash, not accounting profits. So we always check how much of that EBIT is translated into free cash flow. In the last three years, Brookfield Infrastructure's free cash flow amounted to 24% of its EBIT, less than we'd expect. That weak cash conversion makes it more difficult to handle indebtedness.
最终,一家公司只能用现金偿还债务,而不是会计利润。 所以我们总是检查EBIT中有多少转化为自由现金流。 在过去三年中,Brookfield Infrastructure的自由现金流占其EBIT的24%,低于我们的预期。 这种现金转化能力较弱使得处理债务变得更加困难。
Our View
我们的观点
We'd go so far as to say Brookfield Infrastructure's level of total liabilities was disappointing. But at least it's pretty decent at growing its EBIT; that's encouraging. It's also worth noting that Brookfield Infrastructure is in the Gas Utilities industry, which is often considered to be quite defensive. Looking at the bigger picture, it seems clear to us that Brookfield Infrastructure's use of debt is creating risks for the company. If all goes well, that should boost returns, but on the flip side, the risk of permanent capital loss is elevated by the debt. There's no doubt that we learn most about debt from the balance sheet. However, not all investment risk resides within the balance sheet - far from it. These risks can be hard to spot. Every company has them, and we've spotted 2 warning signs for Brookfield Infrastructure (of which 1 shouldn't be ignored!) you should know about.
我们甚至可以说,Brookfield Infrastructure的总负债水平令人失望。 但至少它在EBIT增长方面表现相当不错;这令人鼓舞。 值得注意的是,Brookfield Infrastructure属于燃料币公用股行业,这通常被认为相当防御性。 从大局来看,我们显然认为Brookfield Infrastructure的债务使用正在为公司创造风险。如果一切顺利,这应该会提升回报,但另一方面,债务增加了永久性资本损失的风险。 毫无疑问,我们从资产负债表中了解到大多数关于债务的知识。 然而,并非所有投资风险都存在于资产负债表内——远非如此。 这些风险可能很难识别。 每家公司都有这些风险,我们已经发现了Brookfield Infrastructure的2个警告信号(其中1个不应被忽视!)你应该知道。
Of course, if you're the type of investor who prefers buying stocks without the burden of debt, then don't hesitate to discover our exclusive list of net cash growth stocks, today.
当然,如果你是那种喜欢购买没有债务负担的股票的投资者,那么不要犹豫,今天就来发现我们独家的净现金成长股票列表。
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