We Think Coca-Cola FEMSA. De (NYSE:KOF) Can Stay On Top Of Its Debt
We Think Coca-Cola FEMSA. De (NYSE:KOF) Can Stay On Top Of Its Debt
Some say volatility, rather than debt, is the best way to think about risk as an investor, but Warren Buffett famously said that 'Volatility is far from synonymous with risk.' It's only natural to consider a company's balance sheet when you examine how risky it is, since debt is often involved when a business collapses. We note that Coca-Cola FEMSA, S.A.B. de C.V. (NYSE:KOF) does have debt on its balance sheet. But is this debt a concern to shareholders?
有人说,与债务相比,波动性是投资者思考风险的最佳方式,但沃伦·巴菲特曾著名地说过:'波动性与风险远非同义词。' 在你检查一家公司有多危险时,自然会考虑其资产负债表,因为债务通常在企业倒闭时涉及其中。我们注意到,可口可乐凡萨瓶装(NYSE:KOF)的资产负债表上确实有债务。但这债务对股东来说是个问题吗?
When Is Debt Dangerous?
债务何时会变得危险?
Debt is a tool to help businesses grow, but if a business is incapable of paying off its lenders, then it exists at their mercy. If things get really bad, the lenders can take control of the business. However, a more common (but still painful) scenario is that it has to raise new equity capital at a low price, thus permanently diluting shareholders. Of course, debt can be an important tool in businesses, particularly capital heavy businesses. The first step when considering a company's debt levels is to consider its cash and debt together.
债务是帮助企业成长的工具,但如果一家公司无法偿还其借款人,那么它就处于他们的掌控之中。如果情况变得非常糟糕,贷款人可以控制这家企业。然而,更常见(但仍然痛苦)的情形是,它不得不以低价筹集新的股本,从而永久稀释股东权益。当然,债务可以在企业中发挥重要作用,特别是在资本密集型企业中。考虑一家公司的债务水平的第一步是将其现金与债务一起考虑。
What Is Coca-Cola FEMSA. de's Net Debt?
可口可乐凡萨瓶装的净债务是多少?
You can click the graphic below for the historical numbers, but it shows that as of September 2024 Coca-Cola FEMSA. de had Mex$75.6b of debt, an increase on Mex$70.3b, over one year. However, it also had Mex$41.5b in cash, and so its net debt is Mex$34.1b.
你可以点击下方的图形查看历史数据,但数据显示,截至2024年9月,可口可乐凡萨瓶装的债务为756亿墨西哥比索,比一年前的703亿墨西哥比索有所增加。然而,它也有415亿墨西哥比索的现金,因此其净债务为341亿墨西哥比索。
How Strong Is Coca-Cola FEMSA. de's Balance Sheet?
可口可乐凡萨瓶装的资产负债表有多强?
The latest balance sheet data shows that Coca-Cola FEMSA. de had liabilities of Mex$70.9b due within a year, and liabilities of Mex$89.2b falling due after that. On the other hand, it had cash of Mex$41.5b and Mex$21.9b worth of receivables due within a year. So it has liabilities totalling Mex$96.7b more than its cash and near-term receivables, combined.
最新的资产负债表数据显示,可口可乐凡萨瓶装的短期负债为709亿墨西哥比索,长期负债为892亿墨西哥比索。另一方面,它的现金为415亿墨西哥比索,短期应收账款为219亿墨西哥比索。因此,其负债总额为967亿墨西哥比索,超过了其现金和短期应收账款的总和。
Coca-Cola FEMSA. de has a very large market capitalization of Mex$340.8b, so it could very likely raise cash to ameliorate its balance sheet, if the need arose. However, it is still worthwhile taking a close look at its ability to pay off debt.
可口可乐凡萨瓶装的市值非常大,达到3408亿墨西哥比索,因此如果需要的话,它很可能能够筹集现金来改善其资产负债表。不过,仍然值得密切关注其偿还债务的能力。
In order to size up a company's debt relative to its earnings, we calculate its net debt divided by its earnings before interest, tax, depreciation, and amortization (EBITDA) and its earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) divided by its interest expense (its interest cover). The advantage of this approach is that we take into account both the absolute quantum of debt (with net debt to EBITDA) and the actual interest expenses associated with that debt (with its interest cover ratio).
为了评估一家公司的债务相对于其收益的情况,我们计算其净债务与息税折旧摊销前利润(EBITDA)的比率,以及息税利润(EBIT)与利息费用(即利息覆盖)的比率。这种方法的优点在于我们同时考虑到债务的绝对数额(使用净债务与EBITDA的比率)和与该债务相关的实际利息支出(使用利息覆盖率)。
With net debt sitting at just 0.74 times EBITDA, Coca-Cola FEMSA. de is arguably pretty conservatively geared. And it boasts interest cover of 8.0 times, which is more than adequate. And we also note warmly that Coca-Cola FEMSA. de grew its EBIT by 12% last year, making its debt load easier to handle. The balance sheet is clearly the area to focus on when you are analysing debt. But it is future earnings, more than anything, that will determine Coca-Cola FEMSA. de's ability to maintain a healthy balance sheet going forward. So if you're focused on the future you can check out this free report showing analyst profit forecasts.
由于净债务仅为EBITDA的0.74倍,可口可乐凡萨瓶装可以说是相当保守的杠杆比例。它的利息覆盖率为8.0倍,完全足够。此外,我们也注意到可口可乐凡萨瓶装去年的EBIT增长了12%,使其债务负担更容易处理。当你分析债务时,资产负债表显然是重点关注的领域。但未来的收益比任何其他因素更能判断可口可乐凡萨瓶装在未来保持健康资产负债表的能力。因此,如果你关注未来,可以查看这份显示分析师利润预测的免费报告。
But our final consideration is also important, because a company cannot pay debt with paper profits; it needs cold hard cash. So the logical step is to look at the proportion of that EBIT that is matched by actual free cash flow. During the last three years, Coca-Cola FEMSA. de produced sturdy free cash flow equating to 64% of its EBIT, about what we'd expect. This free cash flow puts the company in a good position to pay down debt, when appropriate.
但我们的最后考虑也很重要,因为一家公司不能用纸面利润来偿还债务;它需要冷冰冰的现金。因此,合乎逻辑的步骤是看看EBIT中有多少与实际自由现金流相匹配。在过去三年中,可口可乐凡萨瓶装产生了相当稳定的自由现金流,占其EBIT的64%,这大致是我们所期望的。这一自由现金流使公司在适当的时候具备减轻债务的良好条件。
Our View
我们的观点
Coca-Cola FEMSA. de's net debt to EBITDA suggests it can handle its debt as easily as Cristiano Ronaldo could score a goal against an under 14's goalkeeper. And that's just the beginning of the good news since its conversion of EBIT to free cash flow is also very heartening. Taking all this data into account, it seems to us that Coca-Cola FEMSA. de takes a pretty sensible approach to debt. While that brings some risk, it can also enhance returns for shareholders. Another positive for shareholders is that it pays dividends. So if you like receiving those dividend payments, check Coca-Cola FEMSA. de's dividend history, without delay!
可口可乐凡萨瓶装的净债务与EBITDA比率表明,它能够像克里斯蒂亚诺·罗纳尔多对抗一个14岁以下的守门员那样轻松处理债务。这只是好消息的开端,因为它将EBIT转换为自由现金流的能力也非常令人振奋。考虑到所有这些数据,我们认为可口可乐凡萨瓶装对待债务的方式相当谨慎。虽然这带来了一些风险,但也可以增强股东的回报。另一个对股东有利的方面是它支付分红派息。因此,如果您喜欢收到这些分红派息,务必查看可口可乐凡萨瓶装的分红派息历史!
If, after all that, you're more interested in a fast growing company with a rock-solid balance sheet, then check out our list of net cash growth stocks without delay.
If, after all that, you're more interested in a fast growing company with a rock-solid balance sheet, then check out our list of net cash growth stocks without delay.
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