These 4 Measures Indicate That CITIC Heavy Industries (SHSE:601608) Is Using Debt Reasonably Well
These 4 Measures Indicate That CITIC Heavy Industries (SHSE:601608) Is Using Debt Reasonably Well
David Iben put it well when he said, 'Volatility is not a risk we care about. What we care about is avoiding the permanent loss of capital.' So it might be obvious that you need to consider debt, when you think about how risky any given stock is, because too much debt can sink a company. As with many other companies CITIC Heavy Industries Co., Ltd. (SHSE:601608) makes use of debt. But the real question is whether this debt is making the company risky.
大卫·伊本很好地说过:'波动性不是我们关心的风险。我们关心的是避免资本的永久性损失。' 所以在考虑任何股票的风险时,显然需要考虑债务,因为过多的债务可能会使一家公司陷入困境。和许多其他公司一样,中信重工(SHSE:601608)也利用了债务。但真正的问题是,这些债务是否让公司变得风险更大。
When Is Debt A Problem?
何时债务成为问题?
Generally speaking, debt only becomes a real problem when a company can't easily pay it off, either by raising capital or with its own cash flow. In the worst case scenario, a company can go bankrupt if it cannot pay its creditors. However, a more usual (but still expensive) situation is where a company must dilute shareholders at a cheap share price simply to get debt under control. By replacing dilution, though, debt can be an extremely good tool for businesses that need capital to invest in growth at high rates of return. The first step when considering a company's debt levels is to consider its cash and debt together.
一般而言,只有当一家公司无法通过筹集资金或用自己的现金流轻松偿还债务时,债务才会成为真正的问题。在最坏的情况下,如果公司无法偿还债权人,就可能破产。然而,更常见(但仍然昂贵)的情况是,一家公司必须以便宜的股票价格稀释股东权益,仅仅是为了控制债务。不过,通过替代稀释,债务对于需要资本进行高回报率增长投资的企业来说,可以是一种非常好的工具。考虑公司债务水平的第一步是将其现金与债务一起考虑。
What Is CITIC Heavy Industries's Debt?
中信重工的债务是多少?
The image below, which you can click on for greater detail, shows that CITIC Heavy Industries had debt of CN¥2.12b at the end of September 2024, a reduction from CN¥2.32b over a year. However, it does have CN¥1.55b in cash offsetting this, leading to net debt of about CN¥572.7m.
下方的图片可以点击查看更详细的内容,显示中信重工在2024年9月底的债务为21.2亿人民币,较上一年减少了23.2亿人民币。然而,它有15.5亿人民币的现金来抵消这部分债务,导致净债务约为57270万人民币。
How Healthy Is CITIC Heavy Industries' Balance Sheet?
中信重工的资产负债表健康吗?
The latest balance sheet data shows that CITIC Heavy Industries had liabilities of CN¥8.05b due within a year, and liabilities of CN¥1.71b falling due after that. On the other hand, it had cash of CN¥1.55b and CN¥4.56b worth of receivables due within a year. So its liabilities total CN¥3.65b more than the combination of its cash and short-term receivables.
最新的资产负债表数据显示,中信重工的负债为80.5亿人民币,需在一年内偿还,还有17.1亿人民币的负债在此之后到期。另一方面,它的现金为15.5亿人民币,还有45.6亿人民币的应收账款需在一年内到期。因此,它的负债比现金和短期应收账款的总和多出36.5亿人民币。
Since publicly traded CITIC Heavy Industries shares are worth a total of CN¥18.6b, it seems unlikely that this level of liabilities would be a major threat. But there are sufficient liabilities that we would certainly recommend shareholders continue to monitor the balance sheet, going forward.
由于上市的中信重工股票总值为186亿人民币,似乎这种负债水平不会构成重大威胁。但负债水平相当可观,我们一定会建议股东继续关注资产负债表的变化。
In order to size up a company's debt relative to its earnings, we calculate its net debt divided by its earnings before interest, tax, depreciation, and amortization (EBITDA) and its earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) divided by its interest expense (its interest cover). Thus we consider debt relative to earnings both with and without depreciation and amortization expenses.
为了衡量一家公司相对于其收益的债务水平,我们计算其净负债与利息、税项、折旧和摊销前利润(EBITDA)的比率,以及其利息和税项前利润(EBIT)与其利息支出(利息支付比率)的比率。因此,我们考虑了包括和不包括折旧和摊销费用的收益相对于债务的情况。
CITIC Heavy Industries has net debt of just 0.98 times EBITDA, suggesting it could ramp leverage without breaking a sweat. But the really cool thing is that it actually managed to receive more interest than it paid, over the last year. So it's fair to say it can handle debt like a hotshot teppanyaki chef handles cooking. Although CITIC Heavy Industries made a loss at the EBIT level, last year, it was also good to see that it generated CN¥317m in EBIT over the last twelve months. When analysing debt levels, the balance sheet is the obvious place to start. But it is CITIC Heavy Industries's earnings that will influence how the balance sheet holds up in the future. So if you're keen to discover more about its earnings, it might be worth checking out this graph of its long term earnings trend.
中信重工的净债务仅为EBITDA的0.98倍,这表明它在提升杠杆时毫不费力。但更令人惊叹的是,在过去一年中,它实际上收取的利息超过了支付的利息。因此,可以公平地说,它在处理债务方面就像一位顶级铁板烧厨师一样游刃有余。虽然中信重工在EBIT层面上出现了亏损,但很高兴看到在过去的十二个月中,它产生了31700万人民币的EBIT。在分析债务水平时,资产负债表显然是一个起点。但中信重工的收益将影响资产负债表在未来的表现。因此,如果你想进一步了解它的收益,查看它长期收益趋势的图表可能会很值得。
But our final consideration is also important, because a company cannot pay debt with paper profits; it needs cold hard cash. So it is important to check how much of its earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) converts to actual free cash flow. Happily for any shareholders, CITIC Heavy Industries actually produced more free cash flow than EBIT over the last year. That sort of strong cash conversion gets us as excited as the crowd when the beat drops at a Daft Punk concert.
但我们的最终考虑同样重要,因为一家公司不能用虚幻的利润来偿还债务;它需要的是冷硬的现金。因此,检查其息税前利润(EBIT)中有多少转换为实际的自由现金流非常重要。令人高兴的是,任何股东都可以看到,中信重工在过去一年中实际产生的自由现金流超过了EBIT。这样的强现金转换让我们和在Daft Punk音乐会上当节拍降临时的观众一样兴奋。
Our View
我们的观点
Happily, CITIC Heavy Industries's impressive interest cover implies it has the upper hand on its debt. And that's just the beginning of the good news since its conversion of EBIT to free cash flow is also very heartening. When we consider the range of factors above, it looks like CITIC Heavy Industries is pretty sensible with its use of debt. While that brings some risk, it can also enhance returns for shareholders. There's no doubt that we learn most about debt from the balance sheet. However, not all investment risk resides within the balance sheet - far from it. For instance, we've identified 3 warning signs for CITIC Heavy Industries that you should be aware of.
值得高兴的是,中信重工令人印象深刻的利息保障表明它在债务上占据优势。而这仅仅是好消息的开始,因为它将EBIT转化为自由现金流的能力也令人鼓舞。当我们考虑上述各种因素时,看来中信重工在债务使用上相当谨慎。虽然这带来了一定的风险,但它也可以增强股东的回报。毫无疑问,我们从资产负债表中学到最多关于债务的知识。然而,并非所有的投资风险都存在于资产负债表中——远非如此。例如,我们发现中信重工有3个你应该注意的警告信号。
When all is said and done, sometimes its easier to focus on companies that don't even need debt. Readers can access a list of growth stocks with zero net debt 100% free, right now.
无论最终结果如何,有时候更容易关注那些根本不需要债务的公司。读者可以立即免费获取一份净债务为零的成长股列表。
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