Despite Lower Earnings Than Five Years Ago, Hubei Yihua Chemical Industry (SZSE:000422) Investors Are up 334% Since Then
Despite Lower Earnings Than Five Years Ago, Hubei Yihua Chemical Industry (SZSE:000422) Investors Are up 334% Since Then
It hasn't been the best quarter for Hubei Yihua Chemical Industry Co., Ltd. (SZSE:000422) shareholders, since the share price has fallen 15% in that time. But over five years returns have been remarkably great. Indeed, the share price is up a whopping 320% in that time. Arguably, the recent fall is to be expected after such a strong rise. The most important thing for savvy investors to consider is whether the underlying business can justify the share price gain. While the returns over the last 5 years have been good, we do feel sorry for those shareholders who haven't held shares that long, because the share price is down 39% in the last three years.
湖北宜化化工股份有限公司(SZSE:000422)股东在这一季度的表现并不理想,因为股价在这一期间下跌了15%。但是,五年来的回报却非常出色。事实上,股价在此期间上涨了惊人的320%。可以说,在如此强劲的上涨后,最近的下跌是可以预见的。聪明的投资者最重要考虑的是,基础业务是否能够证明股价的上涨是合理的。虽然过去五年的回报不错,但我们对那些未能长期持有股票的股东感到遗憾,因为在过去三年中,股价下跌了39%。
While the stock has fallen 5.2% this week, it's worth focusing on the longer term and seeing if the stocks historical returns have been driven by the underlying fundamentals.
虽然该股票本周下跌了5.2%,但值得关注长期趋势,看看股票的历史回报是否受到基础基本面的驱动。
To paraphrase Benjamin Graham: Over the short term the market is a voting machine, but over the long term it's a weighing machine. By comparing earnings per share (EPS) and share price changes over time, we can get a feel for how investor attitudes to a company have morphed over time.
借用本杰明·格雷厄姆的话: 在短期内,市场是一台投票机,但在长期内,它是一台称重机。 通过比较每股收益(EPS)和股价变化,我们可以感受投资者对公司的态度是如何随着时间变化的。
Hubei Yihua Chemical Industry's earnings per share are down 5.6% per year, despite strong share price performance over five years.
尽管在五年中股价表现良好,湖北宜化化工的每股收益每年下降5.6%。
Essentially, it doesn't seem likely that investors are focused on EPS. Because earnings per share don't seem to match up with the share price, we'll take a look at other metrics instead.
本质上,投资者似乎并不关注每股收益。由于每股收益似乎与股价不符,我们将转而关注其他指标。
On the other hand, Hubei Yihua Chemical Industry's revenue is growing nicely, at a compound rate of 6.2% over the last five years. In that case, the company may be sacrificing current earnings per share to drive growth.
另一方面,湖北宜化的营业收入增长良好,在过去五年中的复合增长率为6.2%。在这种情况下,公司可能正在牺牲当前的每股收益以推动增长。
You can see how earnings and revenue have changed over time in the image below (click on the chart to see the exact values).
您可以在下面的图像中查看收益和营业收入随时间的变化(点击图表查看确切值)。
It's probably worth noting that the CEO is paid less than the median at similar sized companies. It's always worth keeping an eye on CEO pay, but a more important question is whether the company will grow earnings throughout the years. This free report showing analyst forecasts should help you form a view on Hubei Yihua Chemical Industry
值得注意的是,首席执行官的薪酬低于同类公司中位数。时刻关注首席执行官的薪酬是很重要的,但一个更重要的问题是公司是否能在未来几年内增长盈利。这个免费的报告展示了分析师的预测,应该能帮助你对湖北宜化形成看法。
What About Dividends?
关于分红派息的问题
When looking at investment returns, it is important to consider the difference between total shareholder return (TSR) and share price return. The TSR incorporates the value of any spin-offs or discounted capital raisings, along with any dividends, based on the assumption that the dividends are reinvested. It's fair to say that the TSR gives a more complete picture for stocks that pay a dividend. As it happens, Hubei Yihua Chemical Industry's TSR for the last 5 years was 334%, which exceeds the share price return mentioned earlier. And there's no prize for guessing that the dividend payments largely explain the divergence!
在考察投资回报时,考虑总股东回报(TSR)和股价回报之间的区别是重要的。TSR纳入了任何剥离或折价融资的价值,以及任何基于假设的分红再投资的分红。可以公平地说,TSR为支付分红的股票提供了更完整的图景。实际上,湖北宜化过去五年的TSR为334%,超过了之前提到的股价回报。并且,毫无疑问,分红支付在很大程度上解释了这种差异!
A Different Perspective
不同的视角
We're pleased to report that Hubei Yihua Chemical Industry shareholders have received a total shareholder return of 16% over one year. And that does include the dividend. However, that falls short of the 34% TSR per annum it has made for shareholders, each year, over five years. Potential buyers might understandably feel they've missed the opportunity, but it's always possible business is still firing on all cylinders. I find it very interesting to look at share price over the long term as a proxy for business performance. But to truly gain insight, we need to consider other information, too. To that end, you should learn about the 4 warning signs we've spotted with Hubei Yihua Chemical Industry (including 2 which make us uncomfortable) .
我们很高兴地报告,湖北宜化的股东在一年内获得了16%的总股东回报。这其中包括分红。然而,这低于过去五年每年为股东创造的34%的年化总回报率。潜在买家可能会感到自己错过了机会,但业务仍然可能在全速运转。我发现,从长期来看观察股价作为业务表现的代理指标非常有趣。但要真正获得洞察,我们还需要考虑其他信息。为此,您应该了解我们发现的湖北宜化的4个警告信号(包括2个让我们感到不安的信号)。
If you are like me, then you will not want to miss this free list of undervalued small caps that insiders are buying.
如果你像我一样,那么你一定不想错过这份内部人士正在购买的被低估的小型股免费名单。
Please note, the market returns quoted in this article reflect the market weighted average returns of stocks that currently trade on Chinese exchanges.
请注意,本文中引用的市场回报反映了目前在中国交易所交易的股票的市场加权平均回报。
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这篇来自Simply Wall St的文章是一般性的。我们根据历史数据和分析师预测提供评论,采用无偏见的方法,我们的文章并不旨在提供财务建议。它不构成对任何股票的买入或卖出建议,也未考虑到您的目标或财务状况。我们旨在为您提供以基本数据驱动的长期分析。请注意,我们的分析可能未考虑最新的价格敏感公司公告或定性材料。Simply Wall St在提到的任何股票中均没有持仓。