Here's Why Huadong Medicine (SZSE:000963) Can Manage Its Debt Responsibly
Here's Why Huadong Medicine (SZSE:000963) Can Manage Its Debt Responsibly
Some say volatility, rather than debt, is the best way to think about risk as an investor, but Warren Buffett famously said that 'Volatility is far from synonymous with risk.' When we think about how risky a company is, we always like to look at its use of debt, since debt overload can lead to ruin. As with many other companies Huadong Medicine Co., Ltd (SZSE:000963) makes use of debt. But should shareholders be worried about its use of debt?
有些人认为波动性而不是债务是投资者思考风险的最佳方式,但沃伦·巴菲特曾著名地说过 "波动性远非与风险同义"。当我们考虑一家公司的风险时,我们总是喜欢查看其债务使用情况,因为债务负担过重可能导致崩溃。与许多其他公司一样,华东医药有限公司(SZSE:000963)也在使用债务。但股东应该担心它的债务使用吗?
When Is Debt Dangerous?
债务何时会变得危险?
Debt and other liabilities become risky for a business when it cannot easily fulfill those obligations, either with free cash flow or by raising capital at an attractive price. Part and parcel of capitalism is the process of 'creative destruction' where failed businesses are mercilessly liquidated by their bankers. While that is not too common, we often do see indebted companies permanently diluting shareholders because lenders force them to raise capital at a distressed price. Of course, plenty of companies use debt to fund growth, without any negative consequences. When we think about a company's use of debt, we first look at cash and debt together.
当一家公司无法轻松履行其义务时,债务和其他负债就变得风险重重,无论是通过自由现金流还是以有吸引力的价格筹集资本。资本主义的一个重要部分便是“创造性破坏”的过程,失败的企业会被其银行家无情地清算。虽然这并不常见,但我们常常看到负债累累的公司因贷款方迫使他们以折价筹集资本而永久稀释股东权益。当然,很多公司利用债务来推动增长,没有任何负面后果。当我们考虑一家公司使用债务的情况时,我们首先会将现金和债务放在一起查看。
What Is Huadong Medicine's Net Debt?
华东医药的净债务是多少?
You can click the graphic below for the historical numbers, but it shows that as of September 2024 Huadong Medicine had CN¥2.28b of debt, an increase on CN¥1.54b, over one year. But on the other hand it also has CN¥4.74b in cash, leading to a CN¥2.46b net cash position.
您可以点击下面的图形查看历史数字,但数据显示截至2024年9月,华东医药的债务为22.8亿人民币,比一年前的15.4亿人民币有所增加。但另一方面,它还有47.4亿人民币的现金,导致净现金头寸为24.6亿人民币。
A Look At Huadong Medicine's Liabilities
华东医药的负债情况
The latest balance sheet data shows that Huadong Medicine had liabilities of CN¥14.3b due within a year, and liabilities of CN¥591.8m falling due after that. On the other hand, it had cash of CN¥4.74b and CN¥11.1b worth of receivables due within a year. So it can boast CN¥916.4m more liquid assets than total liabilities.
最新的资产负债表数据显示,华东医药的负债为143亿人民币,需在一年内偿还,且在此之后还有59180万人民币的负债。另外,它的现金为47.4亿人民币,且在一年内到期的应收款为111亿人民币。因此,它的流动资产比总负债多出91640万人民币。
Having regard to Huadong Medicine's size, it seems that its liquid assets are well balanced with its total liabilities. So it's very unlikely that the CN¥58.1b company is short on cash, but still worth keeping an eye on the balance sheet. Succinctly put, Huadong Medicine boasts net cash, so it's fair to say it does not have a heavy debt load!
考虑到华东医药的规模,似乎它的流动资产与总负债之间保持了良好的平衡。因此,这家581亿人民币的公司不太可能面临现金短缺,但仍值得关注资产负债表。简而言之,华东医药拥有净现金,所以可以说它没有重债负担!
Fortunately, Huadong Medicine grew its EBIT by 6.5% in the last year, making that debt load look even more manageable. When analysing debt levels, the balance sheet is the obvious place to start. But it is future earnings, more than anything, that will determine Huadong Medicine's ability to maintain a healthy balance sheet going forward. So if you're focused on the future you can check out this free report showing analyst profit forecasts.
幸运的是,华东医药在过去一年中,EBIT增长了6.5%,使得其债务负担显得更为可控。在分析债务水平时,资产负债表显然是一个明显的起点。但未来的盈利,尤其是华东医药保持健康资产负债表的能力,将是最重要的因素。因此,如果你关注未来,可以查看这份免费报告,了解分析师的利润预测。
But our final consideration is also important, because a company cannot pay debt with paper profits; it needs cold hard cash. While Huadong Medicine has net cash on its balance sheet, it's still worth taking a look at its ability to convert earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) to free cash flow, to help us understand how quickly it is building (or eroding) that cash balance. During the last three years, Huadong Medicine produced sturdy free cash flow equating to 56% of its EBIT, about what we'd expect. This free cash flow puts the company in a good position to pay down debt, when appropriate.
但我们最终的考虑也是重要的,因为公司不能用纸面利润来偿还债务;它需要真金白银。虽然华东医药在资产负债表上有净现金,但仍然值得关注它将息税前利润(EBIT)转化为自由现金流的能力,以帮助我们了解它在多快地积累(或减少)现金余额。在过去三年中,华东医药产生了相当稳定的自由现金流,等于其EBIT的56%,这大约是我们所期望的。这一自由现金流使公司在适当的时候能够偿还债务。
Summing Up
总结
While we empathize with investors who find debt concerning, you should keep in mind that Huadong Medicine has net cash of CN¥2.46b, as well as more liquid assets than liabilities. So we don't think Huadong Medicine's use of debt is risky. The balance sheet is clearly the area to focus on when you are analysing debt. However, not all investment risk resides within the balance sheet - far from it. Be aware that Huadong Medicine is showing 1 warning sign in our investment analysis , you should know about...
虽然我们理解那些对债务感到担忧的投资者,但你应该注意到华东医药拥有24.6亿人民币的净现金,以及比负债更流动的资产。因此,我们认为华东医药的债务使用并不危险。在分析债务时,资产负债表显然是重点关注的领域。然而,并非所有的投资风险都在资产负债表内,远非如此。请注意,华东医药在我们的投资分析中显示出1个警告信号,你需要了解...
At the end of the day, it's often better to focus on companies that are free from net debt. You can access our special list of such companies (all with a track record of profit growth). It's free.
最终,通常更好的是关注没有净负债的公司。你可以访问我们特别列出这些公司的名单(所有公司都有盈利增长的记录)。这是免费的。
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