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Is State Power Rixin Technology (SZSE:301162) A Risky Investment?

Is State Power Rixin Technology (SZSE:301162) A Risky Investment?

国有资本日新科技(SZSE:301162)是一个有风险的投资吗?
Simply Wall St ·  01/02 21:55

Some say volatility, rather than debt, is the best way to think about risk as an investor, but Warren Buffett famously said that 'Volatility is far from synonymous with risk.' So it might be obvious that you need to consider debt, when you think about how risky any given stock is, because too much debt can sink a company. We can see that State Power Rixin Technology Co., Ltd. (SZSE:301162) does use debt in its business. But should shareholders be worried about its use of debt?

有人说波动性,而不是债务,是投资者思考风险的最佳方式,但沃伦·巴菲特曾说过“波动性远非与风险同义”。所以,当你考虑任何特定股票的风险时,考虑债务可能显而易见,因为过多的债务会使公司陷入困境。我们可以看到,国家电力日新科技有限公司(SZSE:301162)在其业务中确实使用了债务。但股东应该担心它的债务使用吗?

When Is Debt Dangerous?

债务何时会变得危险?

Generally speaking, debt only becomes a real problem when a company can't easily pay it off, either by raising capital or with its own cash flow. If things get really bad, the lenders can take control of the business. While that is not too common, we often do see indebted companies permanently diluting shareholders because lenders force them to raise capital at a distressed price. Of course, plenty of companies use debt to fund growth, without any negative consequences. When we think about a company's use of debt, we first look at cash and debt together.

一般而言,债务只有在公司无法轻松偿还时才会成为真正的问题,要么通过筹集资金,要么依赖自身的现金流。如果情况真的很糟糕,贷方可能会控制公司。虽然这并不常见,但我们确实常常看到负债公司因为贷方强迫他们以困境价格筹集资金而永久稀释股东权益。当然,许多公司用债务来资金增长,没有产生任何负面后果。当我们考虑公司的债务使用时,首先要看现金和债务的结合。

What Is State Power Rixin Technology's Net Debt?

国家电力日新科技的净债务是多少?

As you can see below, at the end of September 2024, State Power Rixin Technology had CN¥32.7m of debt, up from none a year ago. Click the image for more detail. However, its balance sheet shows it holds CN¥555.5m in cash, so it actually has CN¥522.8m net cash.

如你所见,截至2024年9月底,国家电力日新科技拥有3270万CN¥的债务,比一年前的零增长。点击图片了解更多细节。然而,它的资产负债表显示它持有55550万CN¥的现金,因此实际上拥有52280万CN¥的净现金。

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SZSE:301162 Debt to Equity History January 3rd 2025
SZSE:301162 债务与股本历史 2025年1月3日

How Strong Is State Power Rixin Technology's Balance Sheet?

国家电力瑞欣科技的资产负债表有多强?

The latest balance sheet data shows that State Power Rixin Technology had liabilities of CN¥361.1m due within a year, and liabilities of CN¥74.9m falling due after that. Offsetting this, it had CN¥555.5m in cash and CN¥415.5m in receivables that were due within 12 months. So it can boast CN¥535.1m more liquid assets than total liabilities.

最新的资产负债表数据显示,国家电力瑞欣科技在一年内的负债为36110万元,而一年后到期的负债为7490万元。对此,它有55550万元的现金和41550万元的应收款项在12个月内到期。因此,它可以自豪地表示其流动资产比总负债多出53510万元。

This short term liquidity is a sign that State Power Rixin Technology could probably pay off its debt with ease, as its balance sheet is far from stretched. Simply put, the fact that State Power Rixin Technology has more cash than debt is arguably a good indication that it can manage its debt safely.

这种短期流动性表明国家电力瑞欣科技可能能够轻松偿还其债务,因为其资产负债表远未紧张。简单来说,国家电力瑞欣科技拥有的现金超过债务,这无疑是其能够安全管理债务的良好迹象。

But the bad news is that State Power Rixin Technology has seen its EBIT plunge 16% in the last twelve months. We think hat kind of performance, if repeated frequently, could well lead to difficulties for the stock. The balance sheet is clearly the area to focus on when you are analysing debt. But ultimately the future profitability of the business will decide if State Power Rixin Technology can strengthen its balance sheet over time. So if you want to see what the professionals think, you might find this free report on analyst profit forecasts to be interesting.

但坏消息是,国家电力瑞欣科技的 EBIT 在过去十二个月中下降了 16%。我们认为,如果这种表现频繁重复,可能会导致该股票面临困难。在分析债务时,资产负债表显然是重点。但是,最终业务的未来盈利能力将决定国家电力瑞欣科技是否能够随着时间的推移加强其资产负债表。因此,如果你想看看专业人士的看法,你可能会觉得这个关于分析师利润预测的免费报告很有趣。

Finally, while the tax-man may adore accounting profits, lenders only accept cold hard cash. While State Power Rixin Technology has net cash on its balance sheet, it's still worth taking a look at its ability to convert earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) to free cash flow, to help us understand how quickly it is building (or eroding) that cash balance. Over the last three years, State Power Rixin Technology saw substantial negative free cash flow, in total. While investors are no doubt expecting a reversal of that situation in due course, it clearly does mean its use of debt is more risky.

最后,虽然税务官可能喜欢会计利润,但贷方只接受冰冷的现金。虽然国家电力瑞欣科技的资产负债表上有净现金,但仍然值得关注其将息税前利润(EBIT)转化为自由现金流的能力,以帮助我们了解它是多快地建立(或耗损)现金余额。在过去的三年中,国家电力瑞欣科技总共出现了大量负自由现金流。虽然投资者无疑期待这种情况在适当时候会逆转,但这显然意味着其使用债务的风险更大。

Summing Up

总结

While it is always sensible to investigate a company's debt, in this case State Power Rixin Technology has CN¥522.8m in net cash and a decent-looking balance sheet. So we don't have any problem with State Power Rixin Technology's use of debt. There's no doubt that we learn most about debt from the balance sheet. But ultimately, every company can contain risks that exist outside of the balance sheet. To that end, you should learn about the 3 warning signs we've spotted with State Power Rixin Technology (including 1 which doesn't sit too well with us) .

尽管调查公司的债务总是明智的,但在这种情况下,国家电力锐鑫科技拥有52280万人民币的净现金和看起来不错的资产负债表。因此,我们对国家电力锐鑫科技使用债务没有任何问题。毫无疑问,我们从资产负债表中学习到大部分的债务。但是,最终,每个公司都可能存在资产负债表之外的风险。为此,您应该了解我们发现的国家电力锐鑫科技的3个警告信号(包括1个让我们感到不太舒服的信号)。

When all is said and done, sometimes its easier to focus on companies that don't even need debt. Readers can access a list of growth stocks with zero net debt 100% free, right now.

无论最终结果如何,有时候更容易关注那些根本不需要债务的公司。读者可以立即免费获取一份净债务为零的成长股列表。

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

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这篇来自Simply Wall St的文章是一般性的。我们根据历史数据和分析师预测提供评论,采用无偏见的方法,我们的文章并不旨在提供财务建议。它不构成对任何股票的买入或卖出建议,也未考虑到您的目标或财务状况。我们旨在为您提供以基本数据驱动的长期分析。请注意,我们的分析可能未考虑最新的价格敏感公司公告或定性材料。Simply Wall St在提到的任何股票中均没有持仓。

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