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Is UTour Group (SZSE:002707) A Risky Investment?

Is UTour Group (SZSE:002707) A Risky Investment?

众信旅游(深证证券代码:002707)是一个风险投资吗?
Simply Wall St ·  01/03 12:55

Howard Marks put it nicely when he said that, rather than worrying about share price volatility, 'The possibility of permanent loss is the risk I worry about... and every practical investor I know worries about.' So it might be obvious that you need to consider debt, when you think about how risky any given stock is, because too much debt can sink a company. As with many other companies UTour Group Co., Ltd. (SZSE:002707) makes use of debt. But should shareholders be worried about its use of debt?

霍华德·马克斯说得很好,他提到,与其担心股票价格波动,不如关注“永久损失的可能性是我担心的风险……而我认识的每一个实用投资者也都在担心这个。” 所以,当你考虑任何特定股票的风险时,必须考虑债务,因为债务过多会拖垮一家公司。 众信旅游有限公司(SZSE:002707)和许多其他公司一样,利用债务。但股东应该担心其债务的使用吗?

When Is Debt Dangerous?

债务何时会变得危险?

Debt is a tool to help businesses grow, but if a business is incapable of paying off its lenders, then it exists at their mercy. Ultimately, if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt, shareholders could walk away with nothing. While that is not too common, we often do see indebted companies permanently diluting shareholders because lenders force them to raise capital at a distressed price. Of course, the upside of debt is that it often represents cheap capital, especially when it replaces dilution in a company with the ability to reinvest at high rates of return. The first thing to do when considering how much debt a business uses is to look at its cash and debt together.

债务是帮助企业成长的工具,但如果一家公司无法偿还其贷款人,那么它就处于他们的掌控之中。最终,如果公司无法履行其偿还债务的法律义务,股东可能会一无所有。虽然这并不常见,但我们经常看到有债务的公司因为贷款人迫使他们以低价融资而永久性稀释股东的权益。当然,债务的好处在于它通常代表着廉价资本,特别是在它替代了一家能够以高回报率再投资的公司的稀释时。考虑一家企业使用多少债务时,首先要查看其现金和债务的结合情况。

How Much Debt Does UTour Group Carry?

众信旅游的债务是多少?

As you can see below, at the end of September 2024, UTour Group had CN¥775.9m of debt, up from CN¥486.3m a year ago. Click the image for more detail. However, it does have CN¥855.4m in cash offsetting this, leading to net cash of CN¥79.5m.

如下面所示,到2024年9月底,众信旅游的债务为77590万人民币,较一年前的48630万人民币有所增加。点击图片以获取更多细节。不过,它有85540万人民币的现金来抵消这些债务,导致净现金为7950万人民币。

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SZSE:002707 Debt to Equity History January 3rd 2025
SZSE:002707 债务与股本历史 2025年1月3日

A Look At UTour Group's Liabilities

观察众信旅游的负债情况

According to the last reported balance sheet, UTour Group had liabilities of CN¥2.18b due within 12 months, and liabilities of CN¥19.7m due beyond 12 months. Offsetting these obligations, it had cash of CN¥855.4m as well as receivables valued at CN¥282.6m due within 12 months. So its liabilities outweigh the sum of its cash and (near-term) receivables by CN¥1.06b.

根据最后报告的资产负债表,众信旅游在12个月内的负债为21.8亿人民币,超过12个月的负债为1970万人民币。抵消这些义务,它拥有现金85540万人民币,以及在12个月内到期的应收账款28260万人民币。因此,其负债超过现金和(短期)应收账款的总和为10.6亿人民币。

Given UTour Group has a market capitalization of CN¥7.23b, it's hard to believe these liabilities pose much threat. Having said that, it's clear that we should continue to monitor its balance sheet, lest it change for the worse. Despite its noteworthy liabilities, UTour Group boasts net cash, so it's fair to say it does not have a heavy debt load!

考虑到众信旅游的市值为72.3亿人民币,很难相信这些负债会带来太大威胁。尽管如此,显然我们应该继续关注其资产负债表,以免情况恶化。尽管其负债显著,众信旅游却拥有净现金,因此可以合理地说,它并没有沉重的债务负担!

It was also good to see that despite losing money on the EBIT line last year, UTour Group turned things around in the last 12 months, delivering and EBIT of CN¥198m. There's no doubt that we learn most about debt from the balance sheet. But ultimately the future profitability of the business will decide if UTour Group can strengthen its balance sheet over time. So if you're focused on the future you can check out this free report showing analyst profit forecasts.

尽管在去年EBIT线上亏损,但看到众信旅游在过去12个月里扭转了局面,交出了19800万人民币的EBIT,实在是不错。毫无疑问,我们从资产负债表中能学到最多关于债务的知识。但最终,业务未来的盈利能力将决定众信旅游是否能够随着时间加强其资产负债表。因此,如果你关注未来,可以查看这份展示分析师盈利预测的免费报告。

Finally, while the tax-man may adore accounting profits, lenders only accept cold hard cash. While UTour Group has net cash on its balance sheet, it's still worth taking a look at its ability to convert earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) to free cash flow, to help us understand how quickly it is building (or eroding) that cash balance. Happily for any shareholders, UTour Group actually produced more free cash flow than EBIT over the last year. That sort of strong cash conversion gets us as excited as the crowd when the beat drops at a Daft Punk concert.

最后,虽然税务人员可能喜欢会计利润,但贷款方只接受冷硬现金。尽管众信旅游在资产负债表上有净现金,但仍然值得一看其将息税前利润(EBIT)转换为自由现金流的能力,以帮助我们了解它建设(或侵蚀)现金余额的速度。对于任何股东来说,令人高兴的是,众信旅游实际上在去年的自由现金流产生量超过了EBIT。这种强劲的现金转换让我们像在Daft Punk音乐会上,当节奏降临时一样兴奋。

Summing Up

总结

Although UTour Group's balance sheet isn't particularly strong, due to the total liabilities, it is clearly positive to see that it has net cash of CN¥79.5m. And it impressed us with free cash flow of CN¥522m, being 264% of its EBIT. So is UTour Group's debt a risk? It doesn't seem so to us. Above most other metrics, we think its important to track how fast earnings per share is growing, if at all. If you've also come to that realization, you're in luck, because today you can view this interactive graph of UTour Group's earnings per share history for free.

虽然众信旅游的资产负债表并不特别强劲,但由于总负债,看到它拥有7950万人民币的净现金显然是积极的。它以52200万人民币的自由现金流给我们留下了深刻的印象,达到了其EBIT的264%。那么众信旅游的债务是个风险吗?在我们看来似乎不是。除了大多数其他指标,我们认为追踪每股盈利增长的速度是很重要的。如果你也意识到了这一点,那么你很幸运,因为今天你可以免费查看众信旅游每股盈利历史的互动图表。

If, after all that, you're more interested in a fast growing company with a rock-solid balance sheet, then check out our list of net cash growth stocks without delay.

If, after all that, you're more interested in a fast growing company with a rock-solid balance sheet, then check out our list of net cash growth stocks without delay.

Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com.
This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

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这篇来自Simply Wall St的文章是一般性的。我们根据历史数据和分析师预测提供评论,采用无偏见的方法,我们的文章并不旨在提供财务建议。它不构成对任何股票的买入或卖出建议,也未考虑到您的目标或财务状况。我们旨在为您提供以基本数据驱动的长期分析。请注意,我们的分析可能未考虑最新的价格敏感公司公告或定性材料。Simply Wall St在提到的任何股票中均没有持仓。

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