The Three-year Underlying Earnings Growth at CONMED (NYSE:CNMD) Is Promising, but the Shareholders Are Still in the Red Over That Time
The Three-year Underlying Earnings Growth at CONMED (NYSE:CNMD) Is Promising, but the Shareholders Are Still in the Red Over That Time
Investing in stocks inevitably means buying into some companies that perform poorly. But the last three years have been particularly tough on longer term CONMED Corporation (NYSE:CNMD) shareholders. Regrettably, they have had to cope with a 54% drop in the share price over that period. And over the last year the share price fell 38%, so we doubt many shareholders are delighted. Unfortunately the share price momentum is still quite negative, with prices down 10% in thirty days.
投资股票不可避免地意味着购买一些表现不佳的公司。但过去三年,对长期的CONMED公司(纽交所:CNMD)股东来说尤其艰难。遗憾的是,他们不得不应对在这一时期内股价下跌了54%。在过去的一年里,股价下跌了38%,所以我们怀疑许多股东对此都不会感到高兴。不幸的是,股价的趋势依然相当消极,在三十天内价格下跌了10%。
Given the past week has been tough on shareholders, let's investigate the fundamentals and see what we can learn.
鉴于过去一周对股东来说很艰难,让我们调查一下基本面,看看我们能学到什么。
There is no denying that markets are sometimes efficient, but prices do not always reflect underlying business performance. One flawed but reasonable way to assess how sentiment around a company has changed is to compare the earnings per share (EPS) with the share price.
不可否认,市场有时是有效的,但价格并不总是反映基础业务的表现。一种有缺陷但合理的评估公司情绪变化的方法是将每股收益(EPS)与股价进行比较。
During the unfortunate three years of share price decline, CONMED actually saw its earnings per share (EPS) improve by 26% per year. Given the share price reaction, one might suspect that EPS is not a good guide to the business performance during the period (perhaps due to a one-off loss or gain). Alternatively, growth expectations may have been unreasonable in the past.
在这三年股价下跌的不幸时期,CONMED的每股收益(EPS)实际上每年提高了26%。考虑到股价反应,人们可能会怀疑在此期间每股收益并不是判断业务表现的好指标(可能由于一次性损失或收益)。另外,过去的增长预期可能是不合理的。
Since the change in EPS doesn't seem to correlate with the change in share price, it's worth taking a look at other metrics.
由于EPS的变化似乎与股价的变化没有相关性,值得关注其他指标。
With a rather small yield of just 1.2% we doubt that the stock's share price is based on its dividend. Revenue is actually up 9.7% over the three years, so the share price drop doesn't seem to hinge on revenue, either. This analysis is just perfunctory, but it might be worth researching CONMED more closely, as sometimes stocks fall unfairly. This could present an opportunity.
由于仅有1.2%的颇小收益,我们怀疑股票的股价是否基于其分红派息。营业收入在三年内实际上增长了9.7%,因此股价下跌似乎也不是因为营业收入下降。这个分析仅仅是走过场,但可能值得对ConMed进行更深入的研究,因为有时候股票会被不公平地打压。这可能会带来机会。
The company's revenue and earnings (over time) are depicted in the image below (click to see the exact numbers).
以下图像显示了公司的营业收入和盈利(随时间变化)(单击以查看准确的数字)。
We consider it positive that insiders have made significant purchases in the last year. Having said that, most people consider earnings and revenue growth trends to be a more meaningful guide to the business. This free report showing analyst forecasts should help you form a view on CONMED
我们认为内部人士在过去一年中进行了重大购买是积极的。话虽如此,大多数人认为每股收益和营业收入增长趋势是指导业务更有意义的依据。这个显示分析师预测的免费报告应有助于你形成对ConMed的看法。
A Different Perspective
不同的视角
Investors in CONMED had a tough year, with a total loss of 38% (including dividends), against a market gain of about 26%. Even the share prices of good stocks drop sometimes, but we want to see improvements in the fundamental metrics of a business, before getting too interested. Unfortunately, last year's performance may indicate unresolved challenges, given that it was worse than the annualised loss of 6% over the last half decade. We realise that Baron Rothschild has said investors should "buy when there is blood on the streets", but we caution that investors should first be sure they are buying a high quality business. I find it very interesting to look at share price over the long term as a proxy for business performance. But to truly gain insight, we need to consider other information, too. Consider for instance, the ever-present spectre of investment risk. We've identified 2 warning signs with CONMED (at least 1 which can't be ignored) , and understanding them should be part of your investment process.
ConMed的投资者去年经历了艰难的一年,总损失达38%(包括分红派息),而市场的增长约为26%。即使是好的股票的股价有时也会下跌,但我们希望在过于感兴趣之前看到业务的基本指标的改善。不幸的是,去年的表现可能表明存在未解决的挑战,因为它的年化损失超过了过去五年6%的损失。我们意识到巴伦·罗斯柴尔德曾说投资者应该在街头有人流血时“买入”,但我们提醒投资者首先要确保他们买入的是高质量的企业。我发现从长远来看观察股价作为业务表现的代理非常有趣。但要真正获得洞察,我们还需要考虑其他信息。考虑到投资风险这一始终存在的阴影。我们发现与ConMed相关的2个警告信号(至少有1个是无法忽视的),理解这些信号应成为你投资过程的一部分。
If you like to buy stocks alongside management, then you might just love this free list of companies. (Hint: most of them are flying under the radar).
如果你喜欢与管理层一起买入股票,那么你可能会喜欢这份免费的公司名单。(提示:它们中的大多数都在雷达下飞行)。
Please note, the market returns quoted in this article reflect the market weighted average returns of stocks that currently trade on American exchanges.
请注意,本文中引用的市场回报反映了当前在美国交易所上市股票的市场加权平均回报。
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这篇来自Simply Wall St的文章是一般性的。我们根据历史数据和分析师预测提供评论,采用无偏见的方法,我们的文章并不旨在提供财务建议。它不构成对任何股票的买入或卖出建议,也未考虑到您的目标或财务状况。我们旨在为您提供以基本数据驱动的长期分析。请注意,我们的分析可能未考虑最新的价格敏感公司公告或定性材料。Simply Wall St在提到的任何股票中均没有持仓。