Zhongfu Information Inc. (SZSE:300659) shares have had a horrible month, losing 26% after a relatively good period beforehand. Instead of being rewarded, shareholders who have already held through the last twelve months are now sitting on a 32% share price drop.
Following the heavy fall in price, Zhongfu Information may be sending buy signals at present with its price-to-sales (or "P/S") ratio of 4.4x, considering almost half of all companies in the Software industry in China have P/S ratios greater than 6.4x and even P/S higher than 12x aren't out of the ordinary. Nonetheless, we'd need to dig a little deeper to determine if there is a rational basis for the reduced P/S.
What Does Zhongfu Information's P/S Mean For Shareholders?
The revenue growth achieved at Zhongfu Information over the last year would be more than acceptable for most companies. Perhaps the market is expecting this acceptable revenue performance to take a dive, which has kept the P/S suppressed. If you like the company, you'd be hoping this isn't the case so that you could potentially pick up some stock while it's out of favour.
We don't have analyst forecasts, but you can see how recent trends are setting up the company for the future by checking out our free report on Zhongfu Information's earnings, revenue and cash flow.
Is There Any Revenue Growth Forecasted For Zhongfu Information?
The only time you'd be truly comfortable seeing a P/S as low as Zhongfu Information's is when the company's growth is on track to lag the industry.
Taking a look back first, we see that the company grew revenue by an impressive 21% last year. However, this wasn't enough as the latest three year period has seen the company endure a nasty 29% drop in revenue in aggregate. Therefore, it's fair to say the revenue growth recently has been undesirable for the company.
Weighing that medium-term revenue trajectory against the broader industry's one-year forecast for expansion of 30% shows it's an unpleasant look.
In light of this, it's understandable that Zhongfu Information's P/S would sit below the majority of other companies. Nonetheless, there's no guarantee the P/S has reached a floor yet with revenue going in reverse. Even just maintaining these prices could be difficult to achieve as recent revenue trends are already weighing down the shares.
The Key Takeaway
Zhongfu Information's recently weak share price has pulled its P/S back below other Software companies. Typically, we'd caution against reading too much into price-to-sales ratios when settling on investment decisions, though it can reveal plenty about what other market participants think about the company.
Our examination of Zhongfu Information confirms that the company's shrinking revenue over the past medium-term is a key factor in its low price-to-sales ratio, given the industry is projected to grow. Right now shareholders are accepting the low P/S as they concede future revenue probably won't provide any pleasant surprises either. Given the current circumstances, it seems unlikely that the share price will experience any significant movement in either direction in the near future if recent medium-term revenue trends persist.
Before you settle on your opinion, we've discovered 3 warning signs for Zhongfu Information (2 are a bit unpleasant!) that you should be aware of.
If these risks are making you reconsider your opinion on Zhongfu Information, explore our interactive list of high quality stocks to get an idea of what else is out there.
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