share_log

Is The Market Rewarding Shanghai Newtouch Software Co., Ltd. (SHSE:688590) With A Negative Sentiment As A Result Of Its Mixed Fundamentals?

Is The Market Rewarding Shanghai Newtouch Software Co., Ltd. (SHSE:688590) With A Negative Sentiment As A Result Of Its Mixed Fundamentals?

市场是否因其混合的基本面对新致软件有限公司(SHSE:688590)产生负面情绪?
Simply Wall St ·  01/04 08:02

With its stock down 17% over the past month, it is easy to disregard Shanghai Newtouch Software (SHSE:688590). We, however decided to study the company's financials to determine if they have got anything to do with the price decline. Stock prices are usually driven by a company's financial performance over the long term, and therefore we decided to pay more attention to the company's financial performance. Particularly, we will be paying attention to Shanghai Newtouch Software's ROE today.

过去一个月,该股票下跌了17%,很容易忽视新致软件(SHSE:688590)。然而,我们决定研究公司的财务状况,以判断是否与价格下跌有关。股票价格通常受到公司长期财务表现的驱动,因此我们决定更加关注公司的财务表现。特别是,我们今天将关注新致软件的ROE。

ROE or return on equity is a useful tool to assess how effectively a company can generate returns on the investment it received from its shareholders. In other words, it is a profitability ratio which measures the rate of return on the capital provided by the company's shareholders.

ROE或股本回报率是一个有用的工具,用于评估公司如何有效地利用其股东投入的资金来产生回报。换句话说,它是一个衡量公司股东所提供资本的回报率的盈利能力比率。

How To Calculate Return On Equity?

如何计算股东权益回报率?

ROE can be calculated by using the formula:

ROE可以通过以下公式计算:

Return on Equity = Net Profit (from continuing operations) ÷ Shareholders' Equity

股东权益回报率 = 净利润(来自持续运营)÷ 股东权益

So, based on the above formula, the ROE for Shanghai Newtouch Software is:

因此,根据上述公式,新致软件的ROE为:

4.0% = CN¥63m ÷ CN¥1.6b (Based on the trailing twelve months to September 2024).

4.0% = CN¥6300万 ÷ CN¥16亿(基于截至2024年9月的过去十二个月)。

The 'return' is the yearly profit. That means that for every CN¥1 worth of shareholders' equity, the company generated CN¥0.04 in profit.

“收益”是年度利润。这意味着每1元的股东权益,公司产生了0.04元的利润。

What Has ROE Got To Do With Earnings Growth?

roe与盈利增长有何关系?

So far, we've learned that ROE is a measure of a company's profitability. We now need to evaluate how much profit the company reinvests or "retains" for future growth which then gives us an idea about the growth potential of the company. Assuming everything else remains unchanged, the higher the ROE and profit retention, the higher the growth rate of a company compared to companies that don't necessarily bear these characteristics.

到目前为止,我们已经了解了ROE是衡量公司盈利能力的一个指标。我们现在需要评估公司再投资或“保留”未来增长的利润量,以此给我们提供公司增长潜力的想法。假设其他所有因素保持不变,ROE和利润保留率越高,相比不具备这些特征的公司,这些公司的增长率就越高。

Shanghai Newtouch Software's Earnings Growth And 4.0% ROE

新致软件的盈利增长和4.0% ROE

It is hard to argue that Shanghai Newtouch Software's ROE is much good in and of itself. A comparison with the industry shows that the company's ROE is pretty similar to the average industry ROE of 4.6%. Given the low ROE Shanghai Newtouch Software's five year net income decline of 21% is not surprising.

很难说新致软件的ROE本身有多好。与行业的比较显示,该公司的ROE与行业平均ROE 4.6%相似。鉴于ROE较低,新致软件五年净利润下降21%并不令人惊讶。

That being said, we compared Shanghai Newtouch Software's performance with the industry and were concerned when we found that while the company has shrunk its earnings, the industry has grown its earnings at a rate of 2.5% in the same 5-year period.

尽管如此,我们将新致软件的表现与行业进行了比较,当发现该公司虽然缩减了盈利,而行业在同样的五年期间盈利增长率为2.5%时,我们感到担忧。

big
SHSE:688590 Past Earnings Growth January 4th 2025
SHSE:688590 过去的盈利增长 2025年1月4日

Earnings growth is an important metric to consider when valuing a stock. What investors need to determine next is if the expected earnings growth, or the lack of it, is already built into the share price. By doing so, they will have an idea if the stock is headed into clear blue waters or if swampy waters await. Is Shanghai Newtouch Software fairly valued compared to other companies? These 3 valuation measures might help you decide.

盈利增长是评估股票时需要考虑的重要指标。投资者接下来要判断的是预期的盈利增长或其缺乏是否已经反映在股价中。这样一来,他们就能了解这只股票是否进入了清澈的沃特世,或者是否有泥泞的水域在等待。新致软件与其他公司相比是否被合理评估?这三个估值指标可能会帮助您做出决定。

Is Shanghai Newtouch Software Efficiently Re-investing Its Profits?

新致软件是否有效地再投资其利润?

Despite having a normal three-year median payout ratio of 31% (where it is retaining 69% of its profits), Shanghai Newtouch Software has seen a decline in earnings as we saw above. So there could be some other explanations in that regard. For instance, the company's business may be deteriorating.

尽管其正常的三年中位数派息比率为31%(其保留了69%的利润),新致软件的盈利如上所述却出现了下降。因此,可能存在其他一些解释。例如,该公司的业务可能在恶化。

In addition, Shanghai Newtouch Software has been paying dividends over a period of four years suggesting that keeping up dividend payments is preferred by the management even though earnings have been in decline.

此外,新致软件在四年的时间里一直在支付分红派息,这表明尽管盈利在下降,管理层仍然更倾向于保持分红派息的支付。

Summary

总结

In total, we're a bit ambivalent about Shanghai Newtouch Software's performance. While the company does have a high rate of reinvestment, the low ROE means that all that reinvestment is not reaping any benefit to its investors, and moreover, its having a negative impact on the earnings growth. With that said, we studied the latest analyst forecasts and found that while the company has shrunk its earnings in the past, analysts expect its earnings to grow in the future. Are these analysts expectations based on the broad expectations for the industry, or on the company's fundamentals? Click here to be taken to our analyst's forecasts page for the company.

总体而言,我们对新致软件的表现持有一种矛盾的态度。尽管公司具有较高的再投资率,但低ROE意味着所有的再投资并未给投资者带来任何好处,而且对盈利增长产生了负面影响。话虽如此,我们研究了最新的分析师预测,发现虽然公司过去的盈利有所缩减,但分析师预计其未来盈利将增长。这些分析师的预期是基于对行业的广泛预期,还是基于公司的基本面?点击这里查看我们分析师对公司的预测页面。

Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com.
This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

对本文有反馈?对内容有疑虑?请直接与我们联系。或者,发送电子邮件至 editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com。
这篇来自Simply Wall St的文章是一般性的。我们根据历史数据和分析师预测提供评论,采用无偏见的方法,我们的文章并不旨在提供财务建议。它不构成对任何股票的买入或卖出建议,也未考虑到您的目标或财务状况。我们旨在为您提供以基本数据驱动的长期分析。请注意,我们的分析可能未考虑最新的价格敏感公司公告或定性材料。Simply Wall St在提到的任何股票中均没有持仓。

声明:本内容仅用作提供资讯及教育之目的,不构成对任何特定投资或投资策略的推荐或认可。 更多信息
    抢沙发