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Optowide Technologies Co., Ltd.'s (SHSE:688195) Stock Is Rallying But Financials Look Ambiguous: Will The Momentum Continue?

Optowide Technologies Co., Ltd.'s (SHSE:688195) Stock Is Rallying But Financials Look Ambiguous: Will The Momentum Continue?

Optowide Technologies Co., Ltd.(上海证券交易所代码:688195)的股票正在上涨,但财务状况看起来模糊:这种动能会持续吗?
Simply Wall St ·  01/04 10:18

Most readers would already be aware that Optowide Technologies' (SHSE:688195) stock increased significantly by 31% over the past three months. But the company's key financial indicators appear to be differing across the board and that makes us question whether or not the company's current share price momentum can be maintained. Specifically, we decided to study Optowide Technologies' ROE in this article.

大多数读者应该已经了解到,Optowide Technologies(SHSE:688195)的股票在过去三个月中显著上涨了31%。但该公司的主要财务指标似乎各不相同,这让我们怀疑公司的当前股价动能是否能够保持。具体来说,我们决定在本文中研究Optowide Technologies的ROE。

Return on equity or ROE is an important factor to be considered by a shareholder because it tells them how effectively their capital is being reinvested. Put another way, it reveals the company's success at turning shareholder investments into profits.

股东应该考虑的一个重要因素是净资产收益率(ROE),因为它可以告诉他们,他们的资本是如何有效地再投资的。换句话说,它揭示了公司将股东投资转化为利润的成功程度。

How To Calculate Return On Equity?

如何计算股东权益回报率?

The formula for return on equity is:

股东权益回报率的公式是:

Return on Equity = Net Profit (from continuing operations) ÷ Shareholders' Equity

股东权益回报率 = 净利润(来自持续运营)÷ 股东权益

So, based on the above formula, the ROE for Optowide Technologies is:

因此,根据上述公式,沃特世科技的roe为:

6.8% = CN¥65m ÷ CN¥960m (Based on the trailing twelve months to September 2024).

6.8% = CN¥6500万 ÷ CN¥96000万(基于截至2024年9月的过去12个月)。

The 'return' refers to a company's earnings over the last year. That means that for every CN¥1 worth of shareholders' equity, the company generated CN¥0.07 in profit.

'收益'指的是公司过去一年的盈利。这意味着每1元人民币的股东权益,公司产生了0.07元人民币的利润。

Why Is ROE Important For Earnings Growth?

ROE为什么对净利润增长很重要?

We have already established that ROE serves as an efficient profit-generating gauge for a company's future earnings. We now need to evaluate how much profit the company reinvests or "retains" for future growth which then gives us an idea about the growth potential of the company. Assuming all else is equal, companies that have both a higher return on equity and higher profit retention are usually the ones that have a higher growth rate when compared to companies that don't have the same features.

我们已经确定,ROE是公司未来收益的一种有效利润生成指标。现在,我们需要评估公司 reinvests 或 "保留" 多少利润以实现未来增长,这将给我们一个关于公司增长潜力的概念。在其他条件相同的情况下,拥有更高净资产收益率和更高利润保留的公司通常与没有相同特征的公司相比,具有更高的增长率。

Optowide Technologies' Earnings Growth And 6.8% ROE

Optowide Technologies的盈利增长和6.8%的ROE

At first glance, Optowide Technologies' ROE doesn't look very promising. However, given that the company's ROE is similar to the average industry ROE of 6.3%, we may spare it some thought. But then again, Optowide Technologies' five year net income shrunk at a rate of 2.3%. Bear in mind, the company does have a slightly low ROE. Therefore, the decline in earnings could also be the result of this.

乍一看,Optowide Technologies的ROE似乎不太乐观。然而,考虑到该公司的ROE与行业平均ROE6.3%相似,我们可以稍微思考一下。但话说回来,Optowide Technologies五年的净利润以2.3%的速率缩减。请记住,该公司的ROE略低。因此,收益的下降也可能是这个原因造成的。

So, as a next step, we compared Optowide Technologies' performance against the industry and were disappointed to discover that while the company has been shrinking its earnings, the industry has been growing its earnings at a rate of 3.9% over the last few years.

因此,作为下一步,我们将Optowide Technologies的表现与行业进行了比较,失望地发现虽然该公司的盈利在减少,但行业的盈利在过去几年以3.9%的速度增长。

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SHSE:688195 Past Earnings Growth January 4th 2025
SHSE:688195过去的盈利增长2025年1月4日

Earnings growth is an important metric to consider when valuing a stock. The investor should try to establish if the expected growth or decline in earnings, whichever the case may be, is priced in. By doing so, they will have an idea if the stock is headed into clear blue waters or if swampy waters await. One good indicator of expected earnings growth is the P/E ratio which determines the price the market is willing to pay for a stock based on its earnings prospects. So, you may want to check if Optowide Technologies is trading on a high P/E or a low P/E, relative to its industry.

收益增长是评估股票时需要考虑的重要指标。投资者应尝试确定预期的收益增长或下降,无论是哪种情况,是否已经反映在价格中。通过这样做,他们将对股票是进入明朗的沃特世,还是面临阴暗的水域有一个概念。预期收益增长的一个良好指标是市盈率,它确定市场根据收益前景愿意为股票支付的价格。因此,您可能想查看Optowide Technologies的市盈率是相对行业而言的高市盈率还是低市盈率。

Is Optowide Technologies Making Efficient Use Of Its Profits?

Optowide Technologies是否有效利用其利润?

Despite having a normal three-year median payout ratio of 30% (where it is retaining 70% of its profits), Optowide Technologies has seen a decline in earnings as we saw above. It looks like there might be some other reasons to explain the lack in that respect. For example, the business could be in decline.

尽管Optowide Technologies的正常三年中位数派息率为30%(即保留70%的利润),但正如我们上面所看到的,它的收益却出现了下降。看起来可能还有其他原因可以解释这种缺乏。例如,业务可能正在衰退。

In addition, Optowide Technologies has been paying dividends over a period of three years suggesting that keeping up dividend payments is preferred by the management even though earnings have been in decline. Upon studying the latest analysts' consensus data, we found that the company is expected to keep paying out approximately 36% of its profits over the next three years. However, Optowide Technologies' ROE is predicted to rise to 12% despite there being no anticipated change in its payout ratio.

此外,Optowide Technologies在过去三年中一直在支付分红,这表明尽管收益有所下降,管理层仍然偏好维持分红支付。根据最新的分析师共识数据,我们发现公司预计将在未来三年内继续支付大约36%的利润。然而,尽管没有预期的派息率变化,Optowide Technologies的ROE预计将上升至12%。

Summary

总结

On the whole, we feel that the performance shown by Optowide Technologies can be open to many interpretations. Even though it appears to be retaining most of its profits, given the low ROE, investors may not be benefitting from all that reinvestment after all. The low earnings growth suggests our theory correct. That being so, the latest industry analyst forecasts show that the analysts are expecting to see a huge improvement in the company's earnings growth rate. To know more about the company's future earnings growth forecasts take a look at this free report on analyst forecasts for the company to find out more.

总体来说,我们认为Optowide Technologies的表现可以有许多解读。尽管其似乎保持了大部分利润,但考虑到低ROE,投资者可能并没有从所有的再投资中受益。低盈利增长表明我们的理论是正确的。因此,最新的行业分析师预测显示,分析师们预计公司的盈利增长率将会有巨大的改善。要了解更多关于公司未来盈利增长预测的信息,请查看这个关于公司分析师预测的免费报告。

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

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这篇来自Simply Wall St的文章是一般性的。我们根据历史数据和分析师预测提供评论,采用无偏见的方法,我们的文章并不旨在提供财务建议。它不构成对任何股票的买入或卖出建议,也未考虑到您的目标或财务状况。我们旨在为您提供以基本数据驱动的长期分析。请注意,我们的分析可能未考虑最新的价格敏感公司公告或定性材料。Simply Wall St在提到的任何股票中均没有持仓。

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