Changzhou Evergreen Technology Co., Ltd. (SZSE:001324) shares have had a horrible month, losing 27% after a relatively good period beforehand. Instead of being rewarded, shareholders who have already held through the last twelve months are now sitting on a 38% share price drop.
In spite of the heavy fall in price, you could still be forgiven for feeling indifferent about Changzhou Evergreen Technology's P/E ratio of 34.9x, since the median price-to-earnings (or "P/E") ratio in China is also close to 33x. While this might not raise any eyebrows, if the P/E ratio is not justified investors could be missing out on a potential opportunity or ignoring looming disappointment.
As an illustration, earnings have deteriorated at Changzhou Evergreen Technology over the last year, which is not ideal at all. One possibility is that the P/E is moderate because investors think the company might still do enough to be in line with the broader market in the near future. If you like the company, you'd at least be hoping this is the case so that you could potentially pick up some stock while it's not quite in favour.
We don't have analyst forecasts, but you can see how recent trends are setting up the company for the future by checking out our free report on Changzhou Evergreen Technology's earnings, revenue and cash flow.
Does Growth Match The P/E?
There's an inherent assumption that a company should be matching the market for P/E ratios like Changzhou Evergreen Technology's to be considered reasonable.
Retrospectively, the last year delivered a frustrating 39% decrease to the company's bottom line. This means it has also seen a slide in earnings over the longer-term as EPS is down 30% in total over the last three years. Therefore, it's fair to say the earnings growth recently has been undesirable for the company.
Weighing that medium-term earnings trajectory against the broader market's one-year forecast for expansion of 38% shows it's an unpleasant look.
With this information, we find it concerning that Changzhou Evergreen Technology is trading at a fairly similar P/E to the market. It seems most investors are ignoring the recent poor growth rate and are hoping for a turnaround in the company's business prospects. There's a good chance existing shareholders are setting themselves up for future disappointment if the P/E falls to levels more in line with the recent negative growth rates.
The Key Takeaway
Following Changzhou Evergreen Technology's share price tumble, its P/E is now hanging on to the median market P/E. We'd say the price-to-earnings ratio's power isn't primarily as a valuation instrument but rather to gauge current investor sentiment and future expectations.
We've established that Changzhou Evergreen Technology currently trades on a higher than expected P/E since its recent earnings have been in decline over the medium-term. Right now we are uncomfortable with the P/E as this earnings performance is unlikely to support a more positive sentiment for long. Unless the recent medium-term conditions improve, it's challenging to accept these prices as being reasonable.
Plus, you should also learn about these 2 warning signs we've spotted with Changzhou Evergreen Technology.
Of course, you might also be able to find a better stock than Changzhou Evergreen Technology. So you may wish to see this free collection of other companies that have reasonable P/E ratios and have grown earnings strongly.
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