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We Think Guangdong Sanhe Pile (SZSE:003037) Is Taking Some Risk With Its Debt

We Think Guangdong Sanhe Pile (SZSE:003037) Is Taking Some Risk With Its Debt

我们认为广东三和堆(深圳证券交易所代码:003037)在其债务上承担了一些风险。
Simply Wall St ·  01/05 20:01

Legendary fund manager Li Lu (who Charlie Munger backed) once said, 'The biggest investment risk is not the volatility of prices, but whether you will suffer a permanent loss of capital.' When we think about how risky a company is, we always like to look at its use of debt, since debt overload can lead to ruin. We can see that Guangdong Sanhe Pile Co., Ltd. (SZSE:003037) does use debt in its business. But is this debt a concern to shareholders?

传奇基金经理李录(查理·芒格支持的)曾说过:'最大的投资风险不是价格的波动,而是你是否会遭受资本的永久损失。' 当我们思考一家公司有多风险时,我们总是喜欢查看其债务的使用情况,因为债务过重可能导致毁灭。我们可以看到,广东三和桩业股份有限公司(SZSE:003037)确实在其业务中使用了债务。但这笔债务对股东来说是否是个问题呢?

What Risk Does Debt Bring?

债务带来了什么风险?

Debt is a tool to help businesses grow, but if a business is incapable of paying off its lenders, then it exists at their mercy. Part and parcel of capitalism is the process of 'creative destruction' where failed businesses are mercilessly liquidated by their bankers. However, a more usual (but still expensive) situation is where a company must dilute shareholders at a cheap share price simply to get debt under control. Of course, the upside of debt is that it often represents cheap capital, especially when it replaces dilution in a company with the ability to reinvest at high rates of return. The first step when considering a company's debt levels is to consider its cash and debt together.

债务是帮助企业增长的工具,但如果企业无法偿还贷方,那么它就是任其摆布。资本主义的一个重要过程是‘创造性破坏’,失败的企业会被银行无情地清算。然而,通常(但仍然昂贵)的情况是,公司不得不以廉价股价稀释股东,仅仅是为了将债务控制住。当然,债务的好处在于,它通常代表着廉价资本,特别是在它替代了一个能够以高回报率重新投资的公司的稀释。考虑一家公司的债务水平时,第一步是将现金和债务一起考虑。

What Is Guangdong Sanhe Pile's Debt?

广东三和桩业的债务是多少?

As you can see below, at the end of September 2024, Guangdong Sanhe Pile had CN¥2.09b of debt, up from CN¥1.80b a year ago. Click the image for more detail. However, because it has a cash reserve of CN¥1.19b, its net debt is less, at about CN¥895.3m.

正如下方所示,截至2024年9月底,广东三和桩业的债务为CN¥20.9亿,较一年前的CN¥18亿有所增加。点击图片查看更多细节。然而,由于其现金储备为CN¥11.9亿,因此其净债务减少,约为CN¥89530万。

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SZSE:003037 Debt to Equity History January 6th 2025
SZSE:003037 债务与股本历史 2025年1月6日

A Look At Guangdong Sanhe Pile's Liabilities

广东三和桩的负债情况

The latest balance sheet data shows that Guangdong Sanhe Pile had liabilities of CN¥3.44b due within a year, and liabilities of CN¥712.2m falling due after that. On the other hand, it had cash of CN¥1.19b and CN¥2.18b worth of receivables due within a year. So its liabilities total CN¥782.3m more than the combination of its cash and short-term receivables.

最新的资产负债表数据显示,广东三和桩的负债为34.4亿人民币,1年内到期的负债为71220万人民币。另一方面,它的现金为11.9亿人民币,1年内到期的应收账款为21.8亿人民币。因此,负债总额比其现金和短期应收款的总和多出78230万人民币。

Of course, Guangdong Sanhe Pile has a market capitalization of CN¥4.03b, so these liabilities are probably manageable. However, we do think it is worth keeping an eye on its balance sheet strength, as it may change over time.

当然,广东三和桩的市值为40.3亿人民币,因此这些负债可能是可控的。然而,我们确实认为值得关注其资产负债表的强度,因为它可能会随着时间而变化。

In order to size up a company's debt relative to its earnings, we calculate its net debt divided by its earnings before interest, tax, depreciation, and amortization (EBITDA) and its earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) divided by its interest expense (its interest cover). This way, we consider both the absolute quantum of the debt, as well as the interest rates paid on it.

为了评估一家公司的债务与其收益的关系,我们计算其净债务与息税折旧摊销前利润(EBITDA)的比率,以及息税前利润(EBIT)与利息费用的比率(即利息覆盖率)。通过这种方式,我们考虑了债务的绝对数量和所支付的利率。

While we wouldn't worry about Guangdong Sanhe Pile's net debt to EBITDA ratio of 2.5, we think its super-low interest cover of 2.3 times is a sign of high leverage. It seems that the business incurs large depreciation and amortisation charges, so maybe its debt load is heavier than it would first appear, since EBITDA is arguably a generous measure of earnings. So shareholders should probably be aware that interest expenses appear to have really impacted the business lately. Importantly, Guangdong Sanhe Pile's EBIT fell a jaw-dropping 41% in the last twelve months. If that decline continues then paying off debt will be harder than selling foie gras at a vegan convention. The balance sheet is clearly the area to focus on when you are analysing debt. But you can't view debt in total isolation; since Guangdong Sanhe Pile will need earnings to service that debt. So if you're keen to discover more about its earnings, it might be worth checking out this graph of its long term earnings trend.

虽然我们对广东三和桩的净债务与EBITDA比率为2.5并不担忧,但我们认为其超低的利息覆盖比例为2.3倍是高杠杆的一个迹象。似乎该业务产生了大量的折旧和摊销费用,因此它的债务负担可能比最初看起来的要重,因为EBITDA可以说是一个较为宽松的盈利衡量标准。因此,股东们应该意识到,利息费用似乎最近对业务产生了真正的影响。重要的是,广东三和桩的EBIT在过去的十二个月中暴跌了41%。如果这种下降持续下去,那么偿还债务将比在素食主义大会上出售鹅肝更困难。在分析债务时,资产负债表显然是需要关注的领域。但你不能完全孤立地看待债务;因为广东三和桩需要盈利来支付这些债务。因此,如果你想更多地了解其盈利情况,可能值得查看一下其长期盈利趋势的图表。

Finally, while the tax-man may adore accounting profits, lenders only accept cold hard cash. So we always check how much of that EBIT is translated into free cash flow. During the last three years, Guangdong Sanhe Pile burned a lot of cash. While that may be a result of expenditure for growth, it does make the debt far more risky.

最后,尽管税务部门可能热爱会计利润,但贷方只接受货真价实的现金。因此,我们总是检查EBIT转化为自由现金流的多少。在过去三年里,广东三和桩消耗了大量现金。虽然这可能是增长支出的结果,但这确实使债务风险大大增加。

Our View

我们的观点

On the face of it, Guangdong Sanhe Pile's conversion of EBIT to free cash flow left us tentative about the stock, and its EBIT growth rate was no more enticing than the one empty restaurant on the busiest night of the year. But at least its level of total liabilities is not so bad. Overall, it seems to us that Guangdong Sanhe Pile's balance sheet is really quite a risk to the business. So we're almost as wary of this stock as a hungry kitten is about falling into its owner's fish pond: once bitten, twice shy, as they say. The balance sheet is clearly the area to focus on when you are analysing debt. But ultimately, every company can contain risks that exist outside of the balance sheet. For instance, we've identified 4 warning signs for Guangdong Sanhe Pile (1 doesn't sit too well with us) you should be aware of.

从表面上看,广东三和桩将EBIT转换为自由现金流让我们对该股票感到谨慎,其EBIT增长率也没有比一年中最繁忙的夜晚一家空餐厅更具吸引力。但至少其总负债水平还不错。总体而言,我们认为广东三和桩的资产负债表对于业务来说确实存在相当大的风险。因此,我们对这只股票的谨慎程度几乎与一只饥饿的小猫对掉入主人鱼塘的警惕度相当:一被咬,二受惊,正如他们所说。分析债务时,资产负债表显然是需要关注的地方。但最终,每家公司都可能存在资产负债表之外的风险。例如,我们已经确定了4个广东三和桩的警示信号(其中一个让我们并不感到舒服),你应该注意这些。

If you're interested in investing in businesses that can grow profits without the burden of debt, then check out this free list of growing businesses that have net cash on the balance sheet.

如果您有兴趣投资那些能够在没有债务负担的情况下增长利润的业务,请查看这个自由名单,其中列出了在资产负债表上有净现金的成长型企业。

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

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