Zhejiang Juli Culture Development Co.,Ltd. (SZSE:002247) shares have retraced a considerable 25% in the last month, reversing a fair amount of their solid recent performance. To make matters worse, the recent drop has wiped out a year's worth of gains with the share price now back where it started a year ago.
After such a large drop in price, Zhejiang Juli Culture DevelopmentLtd's price-to-sales (or "P/S") ratio of 2.3x might make it look like a strong buy right now compared to the wider Entertainment industry in China, where around half of the companies have P/S ratios above 6.4x and even P/S above 13x are quite common. Nonetheless, we'd need to dig a little deeper to determine if there is a rational basis for the highly reduced P/S.
What Does Zhejiang Juli Culture DevelopmentLtd's Recent Performance Look Like?
For example, consider that Zhejiang Juli Culture DevelopmentLtd's financial performance has been poor lately as its revenue has been in decline. It might be that many expect the disappointing revenue performance to continue or accelerate, which has repressed the P/S. Those who are bullish on Zhejiang Juli Culture DevelopmentLtd will be hoping that this isn't the case so that they can pick up the stock at a lower valuation.
We don't have analyst forecasts, but you can see how recent trends are setting up the company for the future by checking out our free report on Zhejiang Juli Culture DevelopmentLtd's earnings, revenue and cash flow.
Do Revenue Forecasts Match The Low P/S Ratio?
The only time you'd be truly comfortable seeing a P/S as depressed as Zhejiang Juli Culture DevelopmentLtd's is when the company's growth is on track to lag the industry decidedly.
In reviewing the last year of financials, we were disheartened to see the company's revenues fell to the tune of 3.4%. This means it has also seen a slide in revenue over the longer-term as revenue is down 24% in total over the last three years. So unfortunately, we have to acknowledge that the company has not done a great job of growing revenue over that time.
In contrast to the company, the rest of the industry is expected to grow by 23% over the next year, which really puts the company's recent medium-term revenue decline into perspective.
With this in mind, we understand why Zhejiang Juli Culture DevelopmentLtd's P/S is lower than most of its industry peers. Nonetheless, there's no guarantee the P/S has reached a floor yet with revenue going in reverse. Even just maintaining these prices could be difficult to achieve as recent revenue trends are already weighing down the shares.
The Bottom Line On Zhejiang Juli Culture DevelopmentLtd's P/S
Having almost fallen off a cliff, Zhejiang Juli Culture DevelopmentLtd's share price has pulled its P/S way down as well. It's argued the price-to-sales ratio is an inferior measure of value within certain industries, but it can be a powerful business sentiment indicator.
It's no surprise that Zhejiang Juli Culture DevelopmentLtd maintains its low P/S off the back of its sliding revenue over the medium-term. Right now shareholders are accepting the low P/S as they concede future revenue probably won't provide any pleasant surprises either. Given the current circumstances, it seems unlikely that the share price will experience any significant movement in either direction in the near future if recent medium-term revenue trends persist.
It is also worth noting that we have found 2 warning signs for Zhejiang Juli Culture DevelopmentLtd (1 doesn't sit too well with us!) that you need to take into consideration.
If these risks are making you reconsider your opinion on Zhejiang Juli Culture DevelopmentLtd, explore our interactive list of high quality stocks to get an idea of what else is out there.
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