Is Shanghai Fullhan Microelectronics (SZSE:300613) Using Too Much Debt?
Is Shanghai Fullhan Microelectronics (SZSE:300613) Using Too Much Debt?
The external fund manager backed by Berkshire Hathaway's Charlie Munger, Li Lu, makes no bones about it when he says 'The biggest investment risk is not the volatility of prices, but whether you will suffer a permanent loss of capital.' So it might be obvious that you need to consider debt, when you think about how risky any given stock is, because too much debt can sink a company. Importantly, Shanghai Fullhan Microelectronics Co., Ltd. (SZSE:300613) does carry debt. But the real question is whether this debt is making the company risky.
由巴菲特的查理·芒格支持的外部基金经理李路坦言,他表示:“最大的投资风险不是价格的波动,而是你是否会遭受资本的永久损失。”因此,在考虑任何特定股票的风险时,你需要明显考虑债务,因为过多的债务会毁掉一家公司。重要的是,富瀚微电子有限公司(SZSE:300613)确实有债务。但是,真正的问题是这些债务是否使公司变得有风险。
When Is Debt A Problem?
何时债务成为问题?
Debt assists a business until the business has trouble paying it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. If things get really bad, the lenders can take control of the business. However, a more usual (but still expensive) situation is where a company must dilute shareholders at a cheap share price simply to get debt under control. Having said that, the most common situation is where a company manages its debt reasonably well - and to its own advantage. The first thing to do when considering how much debt a business uses is to look at its cash and debt together.
债务可以帮助公司,直到公司在偿还债务方面遇到困难,无论是通过新的资本还是自由现金流。如果情况非常糟糕,贷方可能会控制这家公司。然而,更常见(但仍然昂贵)的情况是,公司必须以便宜的股价稀释股东股份,仅仅是为了控制债务。也就是说,最常见的情况是公司较好地管理其债务,并且对自己有利。在考虑一个公司使用多少债务时,首先要查看其现金和债务的综合情况。
How Much Debt Does Shanghai Fullhan Microelectronics Carry?
富瀚微电子的债务有多少?
You can click the graphic below for the historical numbers, but it shows that Shanghai Fullhan Microelectronics had CN¥579.8m of debt in September 2024, down from CN¥637.3m, one year before. But on the other hand it also has CN¥1.76b in cash, leading to a CN¥1.18b net cash position.
你可以点击下面的图形查看历史数据,但它显示富瀚微电子在2024年9月的债务为57980万人民币,比一年前的63730万人民币有所下降。但另一方面,它还有17.6亿人民币的现金,导致其净现金为11.8亿人民币。
How Healthy Is Shanghai Fullhan Microelectronics' Balance Sheet?
上海富瀚微的资产负债表健康吗?
According to the last reported balance sheet, Shanghai Fullhan Microelectronics had liabilities of CN¥282.5m due within 12 months, and liabilities of CN¥582.8m due beyond 12 months. On the other hand, it had cash of CN¥1.76b and CN¥472.1m worth of receivables due within a year. So it actually has CN¥1.37b more liquid assets than total liabilities.
根据最近报告的资产负债表,上海富瀚微在12个月内的负债为28250万人民币,12个月后到期的负债为58280万人民币。另一方面,它有现金17.6亿人民币和47210万人民币的应收账款将在一年内到期。因此,它的流动资产实际上比总负债多13.7亿人民币。
This short term liquidity is a sign that Shanghai Fullhan Microelectronics could probably pay off its debt with ease, as its balance sheet is far from stretched. Succinctly put, Shanghai Fullhan Microelectronics boasts net cash, so it's fair to say it does not have a heavy debt load!
这种短期流动性表明,上海富瀚微可能能够轻松还清其债务,因为其资产负债表非常稳健。简而言之,上海富瀚微拥有净现金,所以可以公平地说它没有沉重的债务负担!
On the other hand, Shanghai Fullhan Microelectronics's EBIT dived 13%, over the last year. We think hat kind of performance, if repeated frequently, could well lead to difficulties for the stock. There's no doubt that we learn most about debt from the balance sheet. But ultimately the future profitability of the business will decide if Shanghai Fullhan Microelectronics can strengthen its balance sheet over time. So if you want to see what the professionals think, you might find this free report on analyst profit forecasts to be interesting.
另一方面,上海富瀚微的EBIT在过去一年中下降了13%。我们认为这种表现如果频繁出现,可能会导致股票面临困难。毫无疑问,我们从资产负债表中了解了大部分债务。但是,最终业务的未来盈利能力将决定上海富瀚微是否能够随着时间的推移加强其资产负债表。因此,如果你想知道专业人士的看法,你可能会发现这份关于分析师利润预测的免费报告很有趣。
But our final consideration is also important, because a company cannot pay debt with paper profits; it needs cold hard cash. While Shanghai Fullhan Microelectronics has net cash on its balance sheet, it's still worth taking a look at its ability to convert earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) to free cash flow, to help us understand how quickly it is building (or eroding) that cash balance. Over the last three years, Shanghai Fullhan Microelectronics actually produced more free cash flow than EBIT. That sort of strong cash conversion gets us as excited as the crowd when the beat drops at a Daft Punk concert.
但我们的最终考虑也是重要的,因为公司不能用纸上利润来偿还债务;它需要真金白银。虽然上海富瀚微在其资产负债表上有净现金,但仍值得关注的是它将税息前利润(EBIT)转换为自由现金流的能力,以帮助我们理解它构建(或侵蚀)现金余额的速度。在过去三年中,上海富瀚微实际上产生的自由现金流超过了EBIT。这种强劲的现金转换让我们像在Daft Punk音乐会的节拍开始时一样兴奋。
Summing Up
总结
While we empathize with investors who find debt concerning, you should keep in mind that Shanghai Fullhan Microelectronics has net cash of CN¥1.18b, as well as more liquid assets than liabilities. The cherry on top was that in converted 120% of that EBIT to free cash flow, bringing in CN¥300m. So we don't think Shanghai Fullhan Microelectronics's use of debt is risky. The balance sheet is clearly the area to focus on when you are analysing debt. But ultimately, every company can contain risks that exist outside of the balance sheet. For example, we've discovered 2 warning signs for Shanghai Fullhan Microelectronics that you should be aware of before investing here.
虽然我们理解那些对债务感到担忧的投资者,但请记住,富瀚微的净现金为11.8亿人民币,以及流动资产大于负债。最值得一提的是,它将120%的EBIT转化为自由现金流,带来了30000万元人民币。因此,我们认为富瀚微的债务使用并不危险。在分析债务时,资产负债表显然是重点关注的领域。但最终,每家公司可能都会存在资产负债表以外的风险。例如,我们发现富瀚微存在2个警示信号,您在此投资前应该注意。
At the end of the day, it's often better to focus on companies that are free from net debt. You can access our special list of such companies (all with a track record of profit growth). It's free.
最终,通常更好的是关注没有净负债的公司。你可以访问我们特别列出这些公司的名单(所有公司都有盈利增长的记录)。这是免费的。
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