The Three-year Underlying Earnings Growth at Ningbo Zhoushan Port (SHSE:601018) Is Promising, but the Shareholders Are Still in the Red Over That Time
The Three-year Underlying Earnings Growth at Ningbo Zhoushan Port (SHSE:601018) Is Promising, but the Shareholders Are Still in the Red Over That Time
It can certainly be frustrating when a stock does not perform as hoped. But it can difficult to make money in a declining market. The Ningbo Zhoushan Port Company Limited (SHSE:601018) is down 12% over three years, but the total shareholder return is -5.7% once you include the dividend. That's better than the market which declined 19% over the last three years.
当一只股票的表现不如预期时,确实会令人感到沮丧。但是,在下跌的市场中赚钱是困难的。宁波港有限公司 (SHSE:601018) 在三年内下跌了 12%,但考虑到分红后,股东总回报率为 -5.7%。这比市场表现要好,市场在过去三年中下降了 19%。
If the past week is anything to go by, investor sentiment for Ningbo Zhoushan Port isn't positive, so let's see if there's a mismatch between fundamentals and the share price.
如果过去一周的数据可以作为参考,投资者对宁波港的情绪并不积极,因此我们来看看基本面与股价之间是否存在不匹配。
While markets are a powerful pricing mechanism, share prices reflect investor sentiment, not just underlying business performance. One imperfect but simple way to consider how the market perception of a company has shifted is to compare the change in the earnings per share (EPS) with the share price movement.
虽然市场是一个强大的定价机制,但股价反映的却是投资者情绪,而不仅仅是基础业务表现。一种不完美但简单的考虑收入每股收益(EPS)变化与股价变动的市场认知变化的方法是比较它们之间的差异。
Although the share price is down over three years, Ningbo Zhoushan Port actually managed to grow EPS by 0.03% per year in that time. Given the share price reaction, one might suspect that EPS is not a good guide to the business performance during the period (perhaps due to a one-off loss or gain). Or else the company was over-hyped in the past, and so its growth has disappointed.
尽管股价在三年内下跌,但宁波港实际上在这段时间内每年实现了 0.03% 的每股收益增长。考虑到股价的反应,人们可能会怀疑每股收益是否是这一期间业务表现的良好指标(也许是由于一次性损失或收益)。或者,这家公司在过去被过度宣传,因此其增长让人失望。
With EPS gaining and a declining share price, one would suggest the market is cooling on its view of the company. Of course, this could spell opportunity because if the EPS growth continues long term, it seems very likely the share price will rise too.
在每股收益增长而股价下跌的情况下,可以推测市场对该公司的看法正在降温。当然,这可能意味着机会,因为如果每股收益的增长能够持续很长时间,那么股价也很可能会上涨。
The image below shows how EPS has tracked over time (if you click on the image you can see greater detail).
下面的图像显示了EPS随时间的变化(如果你点击图像,可以看到更详细的信息)。
It's probably worth noting that the CEO is paid less than the median at similar sized companies. But while CEO remuneration is always worth checking, the really important question is whether the company can grow earnings going forward. It might be well worthwhile taking a look at our free report on Ningbo Zhoushan Port's earnings, revenue and cash flow.
值得注意的是,首席执行官的薪酬低于同类公司中的中位数。但虽然首席执行官的薪酬值得关注,真正重要的问题是公司能否在未来实现盈利增长。查看我们关于宁波港的盈利、营业收入和现金流的免费报告可能会非常值得。
What About Dividends?
关于分红派息的问题
When looking at investment returns, it is important to consider the difference between total shareholder return (TSR) and share price return. Whereas the share price return only reflects the change in the share price, the TSR includes the value of dividends (assuming they were reinvested) and the benefit of any discounted capital raising or spin-off. Arguably, the TSR gives a more comprehensive picture of the return generated by a stock. In the case of Ningbo Zhoushan Port, it has a TSR of -5.7% for the last 3 years. That exceeds its share price return that we previously mentioned. The dividends paid by the company have thusly boosted the total shareholder return.
在考虑投资回报时,重要的是要考虑总股东回报(TSR)与股价回报之间的区别。股价回报仅反映股价的变化,而TSR则包括分红的价值(假设它们被再投资)以及任何折价融资或分拆的好处。可以说,TSR提供了股票所产生回报的更全面的视图。以宁波港为例,过去三年它的TSR为-5.7%。这超出了我们之前提到的股价回报。公司支付的分红因此提升了总股东回报。
A Different Perspective
不同的视角
Ningbo Zhoushan Port shareholders gained a total return of 5.1% during the year. But that return falls short of the market. The silver lining is that the gain was actually better than the average annual return of 1.4% per year over five year. It is possible that returns will improve along with the business fundamentals. While it is well worth considering the different impacts that market conditions can have on the share price, there are other factors that are even more important. For instance, we've identified 1 warning sign for Ningbo Zhoushan Port that you should be aware of.
宁波港的股东在这一年中获得了总回报率为5.1%。但是这个回报低于市场水平。好的一面是,这一增益实际上比过去五年平均每年1.4%的年回报要好。未来的回报有可能随着业务基本面的改善而提升。 虽然考虑市场条件对股价的不同影响是非常重要的,但还有其他因素更具重要性。例如,我们已经识别出宁波港的1个警示信号,你应该予以关注。
For those who like to find winning investments this free list of undervalued companies with recent insider purchasing, could be just the ticket.
对于喜欢寻找赢家投资的人来说,这份关于最近有内部人士购买的被低估公司的免费名单,可能正是你所需要的。
Please note, the market returns quoted in this article reflect the market weighted average returns of stocks that currently trade on Chinese exchanges.
请注意,本文中引用的市场回报反映了目前在中国交易所交易的股票的市场加权平均回报。
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