The Strait Innovation Internet Co., Ltd (SZSE:300300) share price has softened a substantial 26% over the previous 30 days, handing back much of the gains the stock has made lately. Instead of being rewarded, shareholders who have already held through the last twelve months are now sitting on a 38% share price drop.
Even after such a large drop in price, Strait Innovation Internet may still be sending strong sell signals at present with a price-to-sales (or "P/S") ratio of 12.4x, when you consider almost half of the companies in the IT industry in China have P/S ratios under 4x and even P/S lower than 2x aren't out of the ordinary. Nonetheless, we'd need to dig a little deeper to determine if there is a rational basis for the highly elevated P/S.
How Has Strait Innovation Internet Performed Recently?
Revenue has risen at a steady rate over the last year for Strait Innovation Internet, which is generally not a bad outcome. Perhaps the market believes the recent revenue performance is strong enough to outperform the industry, which has inflated the P/S ratio. You'd really hope so, otherwise you're paying a pretty hefty price for no particular reason.
We don't have analyst forecasts, but you can see how recent trends are setting up the company for the future by checking out our free report on Strait Innovation Internet's earnings, revenue and cash flow.
Is There Enough Revenue Growth Forecasted For Strait Innovation Internet?
There's an inherent assumption that a company should far outperform the industry for P/S ratios like Strait Innovation Internet's to be considered reasonable.
Taking a look back first, we see that the company managed to grow revenues by a handy 3.9% last year. Ultimately though, it couldn't turn around the poor performance of the prior period, with revenue shrinking 76% in total over the last three years. Therefore, it's fair to say the revenue growth recently has been undesirable for the company.
Comparing that to the industry, which is predicted to deliver 17% growth in the next 12 months, the company's downward momentum based on recent medium-term revenue results is a sobering picture.
With this in mind, we find it worrying that Strait Innovation Internet's P/S exceeds that of its industry peers. It seems most investors are ignoring the recent poor growth rate and are hoping for a turnaround in the company's business prospects. Only the boldest would assume these prices are sustainable as a continuation of recent revenue trends is likely to weigh heavily on the share price eventually.
What We Can Learn From Strait Innovation Internet's P/S?
Strait Innovation Internet's shares may have suffered, but its P/S remains high. We'd say the price-to-sales ratio's power isn't primarily as a valuation instrument but rather to gauge current investor sentiment and future expectations.
We've established that Strait Innovation Internet currently trades on a much higher than expected P/S since its recent revenues have been in decline over the medium-term. Right now we aren't comfortable with the high P/S as this revenue performance is highly unlikely to support such positive sentiment for long. Unless the recent medium-term conditions improve markedly, investors will have a hard time accepting the share price as fair value.
There are also other vital risk factors to consider before investing and we've discovered 1 warning sign for Strait Innovation Internet that you should be aware of.
It's important to make sure you look for a great company, not just the first idea you come across. So if growing profitability aligns with your idea of a great company, take a peek at this free list of interesting companies with strong recent earnings growth (and a low P/E).
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