Hla Group Corp., Ltd. (SHSE:600398) shares have had a really impressive month, gaining 28% after a shaky period beforehand. Notwithstanding the latest gain, the annual share price return of 6.3% isn't as impressive.
In spite of the firm bounce in price, Hla Group may still be sending very bullish signals at the moment with its price-to-earnings (or "P/E") ratio of 15.7x, since almost half of all companies in China have P/E ratios greater than 33x and even P/E's higher than 64x are not unusual. However, the P/E might be quite low for a reason and it requires further investigation to determine if it's justified.
With earnings that are retreating more than the market's of late, Hla Group has been very sluggish. The P/E is probably low because investors think this poor earnings performance isn't going to improve at all. You'd much rather the company wasn't bleeding earnings if you still believe in the business. Or at the very least, you'd be hoping the earnings slide doesn't get any worse if your plan is to pick up some stock while it's out of favour.
Keen to find out how analysts think Hla Group's future stacks up against the industry? In that case, our free report is a great place to start.
Is There Any Growth For Hla Group?
In order to justify its P/E ratio, Hla Group would need to produce anemic growth that's substantially trailing the market.
Taking a look back first, the company's earnings per share growth last year wasn't something to get excited about as it posted a disappointing decline of 21%. This means it has also seen a slide in earnings over the longer-term as EPS is down 16% in total over the last three years. Accordingly, shareholders would have felt downbeat about the medium-term rates of earnings growth.
Shifting to the future, estimates from the eight analysts covering the company suggest earnings should grow by 8.0% over the next year. Meanwhile, the rest of the market is forecast to expand by 38%, which is noticeably more attractive.
In light of this, it's understandable that Hla Group's P/E sits below the majority of other companies. It seems most investors are expecting to see limited future growth and are only willing to pay a reduced amount for the stock.
The Final Word
Shares in Hla Group are going to need a lot more upward momentum to get the company's P/E out of its slump. While the price-to-earnings ratio shouldn't be the defining factor in whether you buy a stock or not, it's quite a capable barometer of earnings expectations.
As we suspected, our examination of Hla Group's analyst forecasts revealed that its inferior earnings outlook is contributing to its low P/E. At this stage investors feel the potential for an improvement in earnings isn't great enough to justify a higher P/E ratio. Unless these conditions improve, they will continue to form a barrier for the share price around these levels.
Before you take the next step, you should know about the 2 warning signs for Hla Group (1 is potentially serious!) that we have uncovered.
If you're unsure about the strength of Hla Group's business, why not explore our interactive list of stocks with solid business fundamentals for some other companies you may have missed.
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