Lanzhou Zhuangyuan Pasture Co., Ltd. (SZSE:002910) shareholders won't be pleased to see that the share price has had a very rough month, dropping 26% and undoing the prior period's positive performance. Instead of being rewarded, shareholders who have already held through the last twelve months are now sitting on a 38% share price drop.
Even after such a large drop in price, it's still not a stretch to say that Lanzhou Zhuangyuan Pasture's price-to-sales (or "P/S") ratio of 1.5x right now seems quite "middle-of-the-road" compared to the Food industry in China, where the median P/S ratio is around 1.7x. While this might not raise any eyebrows, if the P/S ratio is not justified investors could be missing out on a potential opportunity or ignoring looming disappointment.
What Does Lanzhou Zhuangyuan Pasture's P/S Mean For Shareholders?
As an illustration, revenue has deteriorated at Lanzhou Zhuangyuan Pasture over the last year, which is not ideal at all. Perhaps investors believe the recent revenue performance is enough to keep in line with the industry, which is keeping the P/S from dropping off. If you like the company, you'd at least be hoping this is the case so that you could potentially pick up some stock while it's not quite in favour.
Want the full picture on earnings, revenue and cash flow for the company? Then our free report on Lanzhou Zhuangyuan Pasture will help you shine a light on its historical performance.
How Is Lanzhou Zhuangyuan Pasture's Revenue Growth Trending?
In order to justify its P/S ratio, Lanzhou Zhuangyuan Pasture would need to produce growth that's similar to the industry.
Retrospectively, the last year delivered a frustrating 9.9% decrease to the company's top line. The last three years don't look nice either as the company has shrunk revenue by 6.2% in aggregate. Accordingly, shareholders would have felt downbeat about the medium-term rates of revenue growth.
Weighing that medium-term revenue trajectory against the broader industry's one-year forecast for expansion of 15% shows it's an unpleasant look.
With this in mind, we find it worrying that Lanzhou Zhuangyuan Pasture's P/S exceeds that of its industry peers. It seems most investors are ignoring the recent poor growth rate and are hoping for a turnaround in the company's business prospects. Only the boldest would assume these prices are sustainable as a continuation of recent revenue trends is likely to weigh on the share price eventually.
What We Can Learn From Lanzhou Zhuangyuan Pasture's P/S?
Lanzhou Zhuangyuan Pasture's plummeting stock price has brought its P/S back to a similar region as the rest of the industry. Typically, we'd caution against reading too much into price-to-sales ratios when settling on investment decisions, though it can reveal plenty about what other market participants think about the company.
Our look at Lanzhou Zhuangyuan Pasture revealed its shrinking revenues over the medium-term haven't impacted the P/S as much as we anticipated, given the industry is set to grow. Even though it matches the industry, we're uncomfortable with the current P/S ratio, as this dismal revenue performance is unlikely to support a more positive sentiment for long. Unless the recent medium-term conditions improve markedly, investors will have a hard time accepting the share price as fair value.
Don't forget that there may be other risks. For instance, we've identified 2 warning signs for Lanzhou Zhuangyuan Pasture that you should be aware of.
It's important to make sure you look for a great company, not just the first idea you come across. So if growing profitability aligns with your idea of a great company, take a peek at this free list of interesting companies with strong recent earnings growth (and a low P/E).
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