share_log

BCE: Buy, Sell, or Hold in 2025?

BCE: Buy, Sell, or Hold in 2025?

BCE: 2025年是买入、卖出还是持有?
The Motley Fool ·  01/07 09:15

Should you buy, sell or hold BCE (TSX:BCE) stock? BCE is historically viewed as a stellar long-term investment with one of the best dividends on the market.

您应该买入、卖出还是持有BCE (TSX:BCE)股票?BCE被历史上视为一种恒星的长期投资,是市场上最佳分红派息股票之一。

Unfortunately, BCE's performance has lagged in recent years. Specifically, the stock has dropped significantly in recent years when compared to its telecom peers.

不幸的是,BCE在最近几年的表现落后于其他公司。具体而言,与其电信同行相比,该股票在近年来大幅下跌。

This begs the question as to whether investors should look to buy, sell, or hold BCE in 2025.

这引出了一个问题,投资者是否应该考虑在2025年买入、卖出或持有BCE。

Let's try to answer that by looking at the case for each.

让我们试着通过查看每种情况来回答这一问题。

The case to buy

买入的理由

Let's start with the obvious. BCE is a defensive gem that has paid out juicy dividends for over a century without fail. BCE's wireless segment alone is the envy of its peers, while its sprawling media segment provides an alternative revenue stream.

让我们从明显的开始。BCE是一只防御型的优秀股票,超过一个世纪以来一直稳定地支付丰厚的分红派息。BCE的无线部门单独就是其同行的羡慕,而其庞大的媒体部门则提供了另一种营业收入来源。

The bulk of BCE's current issues could be traced back to the interest rate hikes we saw in recent years. Would it not be reasonable to assume that BCE will right the ship now that rates are beginning to drop again?

BCE当前问题的主要原因可以追溯到我们近年来看到的利率上升。现在利率开始下降,假设BCE将会扭转局面不是很合理吗?

The icing on the cake for prospective investors considering BCE is the stock price. As of the time of writing, BCE trades at just over $34 per share, less than $3 off its 52-week low. Additionally, the stock has tanked well over 35% in the trailing 12 months.

对考虑投资BCE的潜在投资者来说,股票价格无疑是锦上添花。截至撰写时,BCE的股价在34美元以上,离其52周低点不足3美元。此外,该股票在过去12个月中已经暴跌超过35%。

This makes it a bargain buy for some longer-term investors, but that's not all.

这使得对一些长期投资者来说成为一个值得购买的机会,但这并不是全部。

While the stock has dropped, the yield on BCE's already juicy yield has swelled. As of the time of writing, the yield on that dividend has hit 11.6%. This makes it an insane investment where just a $12,000 investment will earn an income of nearly $1,400.

尽管股价下跌,但BCE的丰厚收益率却膨胀了。撰写时,那个分红的收益率已经达到了11.6%。这使得仅需投资12,000美元就能赚取近1,400美元的收入,实在是一个疯狂的投资。

As to the sustainability of that dividend, BCE has announced it would cease its annual increases while it continues its restructuring.

关于该分红的可持续性,BCE已宣布在继续重组期间将停止每年的增加。

So far, that includes shuddering some of the poorer performing media assets and selling off its stake in MLSE. Funds used from that whopping $4.7 billion sale were then used to acquire U.S.-based Ziply Fiber.

到目前为止,这包括关闭一些表现较差的媒体资产,并出售其在MLSE的股份。用于那笔巨额47亿的销售所得资金随后被用于收购美国的Ziply Fiber。

The U.S. is largely underserved when it comes to fibre penetration, and BCE's expertise could prove lucrative over the longer run.

在光纤渗透方面,美国在很大程度上仍然处于服务不足的状态,而BCE的专业知识在长远看来可能会非常有利可图。

The case to sell

卖出的理由

BCE's core subscription business of wireless, internet, wireline, and TV have shown weakness in recent years. That's especially true for both the wireline and TV segments, as subscribers continue to "cut the cord" and turn to streaming and wireless devices.

BCE的核心订阅业务,包括无线互联网、有线网络和电视,在近年来表现出疲软。尤其是有线网络和电视部门,订阅用户数持续减少,人们选择"剪断电线",转向流媒体和无线设备。

In other words, there are cracks in that core defensive moat. The company needs to address them, or evolve. To be fair, BCE has taken those hard steps to correct itself, including selling off parts of its media business as well as undergoing a massive restructuring.

换句话说,其核心防御性护城河存在裂缝。公司需要解决这些问题,或者进行转型。公平地说,BCE已经采取了这些艰难的措施来纠正自己,包括出售部分媒体业务,以及进行大规模重组。

Unfortunately, that means BCE is well in the midst of a multi-year transformation, which is something that not all investors will want to stay around for. In fact, things may need to get worse before they get better.

不幸的是,这意味着BCE正处于多年的转型之中,而并非所有投资者都愿意等候。在事实上,情况可能需要在好转之前变得更糟。

In short, rather than waiting for BCE to turn around, investors with shorter timelines may be better suited to look elsewhere for growth.

简而言之,对于短期内希望实现增长的投资者而言,与其等待BCE的转机,不如考虑其他地方的增长机会。

The case to hold

持有的理由

The hardest decision on whether to buy, hold, or sell BCE rests with existing investors of BCE. If BCE completes its planned turnaround, investors can expect solid growth to resume within a few years.

对于当前的BCE投资者来说,是否买入、持有或卖出BCE是最艰难的决策。如果BCE完成其计划的转型,投资者可以期待在几年内恢复稳定的增长。

On the other hand, if that growth takes longer than expected, or the market outperforms BCE (as it did last year), investors will be missing out on some serious growth.

另一方面,如果增长需要比预期更长的时间,或者市场表现优于BCE(如去年那样),投资者将会错失一些重要的增长机会。

This leaves existing investors on a middle ground where the decision to hold is ultimately based on risk and the timeline.

这使得现有投资者处于一个中间地带,持有的决定最终基于风险和时间线。

Will you buy, sell, or hold BCE stock?

你会买入、卖出还是持有BCE股票?

BCE was often referred to as a defensive investment with an impressive moat. But while that defensive appeal (and its corresponding opportunity) still exists, it is no longer the impenetrable fortress it once was.

BCE通常被称为一种具有市场护城河的防御性投资。但虽然这种防御性吸引力(及其相应的机会)仍然存在,但它已不再是曾经那种不可攻破的堡垒。

In other words, buying BCE stock right now isn't for everyone, but it could be ideal for those with longer timelines.

换句话说,立即购买BCE股票并不适合所有人,但对于那些有较长投资期限的人来说,这可能是理想的选择。

In my opinion, investors with an appetite for risk and longer timelines may want to consider a small position in BCE.

在我看来,具有风险偏好和较长投资期限的投资者可能想考虑在BCE中小额持仓。

声明:本内容仅用作提供资讯及教育之目的,不构成对任何特定投资或投资策略的推荐或认可。 更多信息
    抢沙发