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Worried About Trump's Tariffs? 2 Resilient TSX Stocks to Buy Now

Worried About Trump's Tariffs? 2 Resilient TSX Stocks to Buy Now

担心特朗普的关税?现在可以买入的两只抗压TSX股票
The Motley Fool ·  01/06 20:15

The possibility of 25% tariffs on Canadian imports under a potential Trump presidency has many investors nervous — and understandably so. With Canada sending 77% of its exports (a whopping $548 billion worth) to the U.S. in 2023, the concern is real. But before you consider moving your investments into cash, let's look at two TSX heavyweights that could weather the storm.

在潜在的特朗普总统任期内,对加拿大进口征收25%关税的可能性让许多投资者感到紧张——这显然是有理由的。2023年,加拿大向美国出口的77%(价值高达5480亿的巨额金额)引发了人们的真实担忧。但是,在考虑将投资转为现金之前,让我们看看两个能够抵御风暴的TSX重量级股票。

While energy stocks and auto parts manufacturers might face significant direct hits from tariffs, some sectors are better positioned to thrive. Here are two compelling and resilient stock investment options that could help protect your portfolio: Royal Bank of Canada (TSX:RY) and Restaurant Brands International (TSX:QSR) stock.

尽管能源股票和汽车零件制造商可能会受到关税的重大直接冲击,但某些行业板块在蓬勃发展方面更处于有利位置。以下是两个引人注目且具有韧性的股票投资选项,可以帮助保护您的投资组合:加拿大皇家银行(TSX:RY)和餐饮品牌国际(TSX:QSR)股票。

Resilient TSX stock: Royal Bank of Canada

韧性TSX股票:加拿大皇家银行

Royal Bank of Canada, popularly known as RBC, isn't just Canada's largest bank — it's a financial fortress with built-in tariff protection. Generally, financial services can be expectedly exempt from trade tariffs, and the chances that Donald Trump may impose barriers on services trade remain significantly low.

加拿大皇家银行,通常称为RBC,不仅是加拿大最大的银行——它还是一座拥有内置关税保护的金融堡垒。通常情况下,金融服务可以预期免于贸易关税,而特朗普可能对服务贸易施加障碍的机会仍然相对较低。

Even if tariffs were imposed on some banking products, the bank has strategically positioned itself in the U.S. market, making it its "second home." RBC Capital Markets ranks as the ninth-largest U.S. investment bank, while Royal Bank's wealth management arm stands as the sixth-largest public wealth advisor in America. A local presence in the U.S. market will make RY stock immune to any direct tariff threats on Canada.

即使一些银行产品受到关税影响,这家银行也在美国市场上战略性布局,使之成为其“第二故乡”。RBC资本市场在美国投资银行中排名第九,而皇家银行的财富管理部门在美国公共财富顾问中则排名第六。在美国市场上的本土存在将使RY股票免受对加拿大的任何直接关税威胁。

Trump's trade tariffs may shock the Canadian economy and weaken its currency. However, any potential weakening of the Canadian dollar due to tariffs could materially benefit RBC stock. With 26.2% of revenue and 17.7% of net income coming from U.S. operations in fiscal 2024, currency headwinds could turn into tailwinds for RBC's profitable operations.

特朗普的贸易关税可能会冲击加拿大经济并削弱其货币。然而,任何由于关税可能导致的加币贬值都可能对RBC股票产生实质性好处。在2024财年,RBC大约26.2%的营业收入和17.7%的净利润来自美国业务,货币逆风可能会转变为RBC盈利业务的顺风。

Whatever short-term economic shocks new trade restrictions may cause to Canada, Royal Bank stock has successfully weathered economic headwinds since its initial public offering (IPO) in 1918. It's most likely resilient enough to shrug off the impact of Trump's tariffs.

无论新的贸易限制对加拿大造成什么短期经济冲击,自1918年首次公开募股(IPO)以来,加拿大皇家银行股票成功地抵御了经济逆风。它很可能足够强韧,可以抵消特朗普关税的影响。

For income-focused investors, RBC's 3.4% dividend yield looks particularly attractive. The bank has grown its dividend at an impressive 9% annual rate over the past three years, demonstrating its commitment to shareholder returns, an attribute that has remained present even in challenging times.

对于以收入为导向的投资者来说,加拿大皇家银行3.4%的股息收益率显得格外吸引人。过去三年,银行的股息年增长率高达9%,展示了其对股东收益的承诺,这一特质即使在艰难时期也依然存在。

Restaurant Brands International

餐饮品牌国际

Think Tim Hortons, Burger King, and Popeyes. Restaurant Brands International's $40 billion annual revenue franchise system operates in 120 countries, making it widely diversified. What's particularly clever about the food industry franchisor's setup is how it structured its supply chain. Most of Restaurant Brands's U.S. operations source ingredients locally through American suppliers and cooperatives, effectively sidestepping potential tariff impacts.

想想TIM、汉堡王和教父鸡。餐饮品牌国际400亿加币的年度营业收入特许经营系统在120个国家运营,广泛多元化。该食品行业特许经营商的聪明之处在于其供应链结构。餐饮品牌在美国的大多数运营通过美国供应商和合作社本地采购原材料,有效地规避了潜在的关税影响。

While Tim Hortons (representing 49.3% of sales in the first three quarters of 2024) does have some Canadian manufacturing facilities, the company maintains strategic redundancy with facilities on both sides of the border. For instance, the business operates coffee roasting facilities in both Ontario and New York, ensuring supply chain flexibility.

虽然TIM(在2024年前三季度占销售额的49.3%)确实有一些加拿大制造设施,但该公司在边境两侧维持了战略冗余。例如,业务在安大略和纽约都有咖啡烘焙设施,确保供应链的灵活性。

Restaurant Brands International's numbers tell a resilient and compelling growth story that was sustained through a high-inflation period post-pandemic: revenue is up 38.2% compared to three years ago, while net income has grown an impressive 44.8%. Trading at a forward price-to-earnings ratio of 17.9 (well below the industry average of 26), QSR stock remains reasonably valued and offers a generous 3.6% dividend yield. The dividend has been growing for nine consecutive years.

餐饮品牌国际的数据显示,经历高通胀后持续的复苏和引人注目的增长故事:与三年前相比,营业收入增长了38.2%,而净利润以44.8%的令人印象深刻的速度增长。以17.9的前瞻市盈率交易(远低于26的行业平均水平),快餐股票仍然有合理的估值,并提供慷慨的3.6%股息收益率。该股息已经连续九年增长。

Investor takeaway

投资者总结

While tariffs would undoubtedly create challenges for the Canadian economy, both RBC stock and Restaurant Brands stock have built-in resilience through their U.S. presence, diversified operations, and strong market positions. Their healthy dividend yields can provide steady income while you wait out any market turbulence.

虽然关税无疑会给加拿大经济带来挑战,但加拿皇家银行股票和餐饮品牌股票通过其美国业务、多元化的运营和强大的市场地位,内置了抗压性。它们健康的股息收益率可以在您等待市场动荡时提供稳定的收入。

Remember, successful long-term investing often means thinking beyond the latest headlines. The two resilient TSX stocks have weathered economic storms before and have positioned themselves to potentially thrive even in challenging conditions. As always, consider diversifying your personal investments to build more capital resilience.

请记住,成功的长期投资往往意味着超越最新头条新闻。两个具有抗压性的TSX股票之前已成功应对经济风暴,并已为在艰难情况下可能蓬勃发展做好了准备。像往常一样,考虑分散个人投资,以建立更强的资本抗压能力。

声明:本内容仅用作提供资讯及教育之目的,不构成对任何特定投资或投资策略的推荐或认可。 更多信息
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