With a price-to-earnings (or "P/E") ratio of 74.5x Sunny Loan Top Co.,Ltd. (SHSE:600830) may be sending very bearish signals at the moment, given that almost half of all companies in China have P/E ratios under 32x and even P/E's lower than 19x are not unusual. Although, it's not wise to just take the P/E at face value as there may be an explanation why it's so lofty.
Sunny Loan TopLtd certainly has been doing a great job lately as it's been growing earnings at a really rapid pace. The P/E is probably high because investors think this strong earnings growth will be enough to outperform the broader market in the near future. You'd really hope so, otherwise you're paying a pretty hefty price for no particular reason.
We don't have analyst forecasts, but you can see how recent trends are setting up the company for the future by checking out our free report on Sunny Loan TopLtd's earnings, revenue and cash flow.
Is There Enough Growth For Sunny Loan TopLtd?
In order to justify its P/E ratio, Sunny Loan TopLtd would need to produce outstanding growth well in excess of the market.
Taking a look back first, we see that the company grew earnings per share by an impressive 325% last year. The latest three year period has also seen an excellent 398% overall rise in EPS, aided by its short-term performance. So we can start by confirming that the company has done a great job of growing earnings over that time.
Comparing that to the market, which is only predicted to deliver 38% growth in the next 12 months, the company's momentum is stronger based on recent medium-term annualised earnings results.
With this information, we can see why Sunny Loan TopLtd is trading at such a high P/E compared to the market. Presumably shareholders aren't keen to offload something they believe will continue to outmanoeuvre the bourse.
The Key Takeaway
Using the price-to-earnings ratio alone to determine if you should sell your stock isn't sensible, however it can be a practical guide to the company's future prospects.
As we suspected, our examination of Sunny Loan TopLtd revealed its three-year earnings trends are contributing to its high P/E, given they look better than current market expectations. At this stage investors feel the potential for a deterioration in earnings isn't great enough to justify a lower P/E ratio. If recent medium-term earnings trends continue, it's hard to see the share price falling strongly in the near future under these circumstances.
You should always think about risks. Case in point, we've spotted 1 warning sign for Sunny Loan TopLtd you should be aware of.
If these risks are making you reconsider your opinion on Sunny Loan TopLtd, explore our interactive list of high quality stocks to get an idea of what else is out there.
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