These 4 Measures Indicate That Satellite ChemicalLtd (SZSE:002648) Is Using Debt Reasonably Well
These 4 Measures Indicate That Satellite ChemicalLtd (SZSE:002648) Is Using Debt Reasonably Well
Some say volatility, rather than debt, is the best way to think about risk as an investor, but Warren Buffett famously said that 'Volatility is far from synonymous with risk.' It's only natural to consider a company's balance sheet when you examine how risky it is, since debt is often involved when a business collapses. Importantly, Satellite Chemical Co.,Ltd. (SZSE:002648) does carry debt. But the more important question is: how much risk is that debt creating?
有人说,作为投资者,考虑风险时波动性比债务更重要,但沃伦·巴菲特曾 famously 表示 '波动性与风险远非同义词。' 当你考虑一家公司的风险时,自然会关注其资产负债表,因为债务往往与企业崩溃相关。重要的是,卫星化学有限公司 (SZSE:002648) 确实有债务。但更重要的问题是:这些债务带来了多少风险?
When Is Debt A Problem?
何时债务成为问题?
Debt and other liabilities become risky for a business when it cannot easily fulfill those obligations, either with free cash flow or by raising capital at an attractive price. If things get really bad, the lenders can take control of the business. However, a more common (but still painful) scenario is that it has to raise new equity capital at a low price, thus permanently diluting shareholders. Having said that, the most common situation is where a company manages its debt reasonably well - and to its own advantage. The first thing to do when considering how much debt a business uses is to look at its cash and debt together.
当企业无法轻松履行这些义务时,债务和其他负债就变得危险,无论是通过自由现金流还是以有吸引力的价格筹集资金。如果情况变得非常糟糕,贷方可以控制企业。然而,更常见(但仍然痛苦)的情况是企业不得不以低价筹集新的股本,从而永久性地稀释股东的权益。尽管如此,最常见的情况是公司合理管理其债务——并为自己谋得利益。在考虑企业使用多少债务时,第一步是同时查看其现金和债务。
How Much Debt Does Satellite ChemicalLtd Carry?
卫星化学股份有限公司负债多少?
You can click the graphic below for the historical numbers, but it shows that as of September 2024 Satellite ChemicalLtd had CN¥14.2b of debt, an increase on CN¥8.87b, over one year. However, it does have CN¥7.16b in cash offsetting this, leading to net debt of about CN¥7.02b.
你可以点击下面的图形查看历史数据,但它显示,截至2024年9月,卫星化学有限公司的债务为142亿人民币,相比一年前增加了88.7亿人民币。然而,它拥有71.6亿人民币现金来抵消这一点,导致净债务约为70.2亿人民币。
How Healthy Is Satellite ChemicalLtd's Balance Sheet?
卫星化学有限公司的资产负债表有多健康?
We can see from the most recent balance sheet that Satellite ChemicalLtd had liabilities of CN¥15.1b falling due within a year, and liabilities of CN¥24.7b due beyond that. Offsetting this, it had CN¥7.16b in cash and CN¥2.19b in receivables that were due within 12 months. So its liabilities total CN¥30.5b more than the combination of its cash and short-term receivables.
从最近的资产负债表中可以看出,卫星化学有限公司在一年内到期的负债为151亿人民币,超出一年到期的负债为247亿人民币。相抵之下,它有71.6亿人民币的现金和21.9亿人民币的应收账款在12个月内到期。因此,它的负债总额比其现金和短期应收账款的组合多出305亿人民币。
This deficit isn't so bad because Satellite ChemicalLtd is worth CN¥62.4b, and thus could probably raise enough capital to shore up its balance sheet, if the need arose. But we definitely want to keep our eyes open to indications that its debt is bringing too much risk.
这个赤字并不是太糟糕,因为卫星化学有限公司的市值为624亿人民币,因此在需要的时候,可能能够筹集足够的资金来改善其资产负债表。但我们无疑要密切关注其债务带来过多风险的迹象。
We use two main ratios to inform us about debt levels relative to earnings. The first is net debt divided by earnings before interest, tax, depreciation, and amortization (EBITDA), while the second is how many times its earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) covers its interest expense (or its interest cover, for short). The advantage of this approach is that we take into account both the absolute quantum of debt (with net debt to EBITDA) and the actual interest expenses associated with that debt (with its interest cover ratio).
我们使用两个主要指标来告知我们债务水平与盈利的关系。第一个是净债务与息税折旧摊销前利润(EBITDA)的比率,而第二个是其息税前利润(EBIT)覆盖其利息费用(或其利息覆盖,简称)。这种方法的优点在于我们考虑了债务的绝对数量(通过净债务与EBITDA比率)和与该债务相关的实际利息费用(通过其利息覆盖比率)。
Satellite ChemicalLtd has a low net debt to EBITDA ratio of only 0.69. And its EBIT easily covers its interest expense, being 27.1 times the size. So we're pretty relaxed about its super-conservative use of debt. In addition to that, we're happy to report that Satellite ChemicalLtd has boosted its EBIT by 62%, thus reducing the spectre of future debt repayments. The balance sheet is clearly the area to focus on when you are analysing debt. But it is future earnings, more than anything, that will determine Satellite ChemicalLtd's ability to maintain a healthy balance sheet going forward. So if you're focused on the future you can check out this free report showing analyst profit forecasts.
卫星化学有限公司的净负债与EBITDA的比率仅为0.69,属于较低水平。而且它的EBIT轻松覆盖了利息支出,是利息支出的27.1倍。因此,我们对其非常保守的债务使用感到比较轻松。此外,我们很高兴地报告,卫星化学有限公司的EBIT增长了62%,从而降低了未来债务偿还的可能性。在分析债务时,资产负债表显然是重点。但更重要的是未来的盈利能力将决定卫星化学有限公司维持健康资产负债表的能力。因此,如果您关注未来,可以查看此免费的报告,其中展示了分析师的利润预测。
Finally, a company can only pay off debt with cold hard cash, not accounting profits. So we always check how much of that EBIT is translated into free cash flow. During the last three years, Satellite ChemicalLtd produced sturdy free cash flow equating to 76% of its EBIT, about what we'd expect. This cold hard cash means it can reduce its debt when it wants to.
最后,企业只能用现金偿还债务,而不是会计利润。因此,我们总是检查这些EBIT中有多少转换为自由现金流。在过去三年中,卫星化学有限公司产生了强劲的自由现金流,占其EBIT的76%左右,这正是我们所期待的。这笔现金意味着它可以在需要时减少债务。
Our View
我们的观点
The good news is that Satellite ChemicalLtd's demonstrated ability to cover its interest expense with its EBIT delights us like a fluffy puppy does a toddler. But, on a more sombre note, we are a little concerned by its level of total liabilities. Zooming out, Satellite ChemicalLtd seems to use debt quite reasonably; and that gets the nod from us. After all, sensible leverage can boost returns on equity. The balance sheet is clearly the area to focus on when you are analysing debt. But ultimately, every company can contain risks that exist outside of the balance sheet. We've identified 1 warning sign with Satellite ChemicalLtd , and understanding them should be part of your investment process.
好消息是,卫星化学有限公司显示出以其息税前利润覆盖利息支出的能力,这让我们感到高兴,就像毛绒绒的小狗让小朋友开心一样。但另一方面,我们对其总负债水平有些担忧。整体看来,卫星化学有限公司似乎合理使用债务;这也得到了我们的认可。毕竟,合理的杠杆可以提高股本回报。在分析债务时,资产负债表显然是重点关注的领域。但最终,每家公司都可能存在资产负债表外的风险。我们已发现卫星化学有限公司有1个警告信号,了解这些信号应成为您投资过程的一部分。
Of course, if you're the type of investor who prefers buying stocks without the burden of debt, then don't hesitate to discover our exclusive list of net cash growth stocks, today.
当然,如果你是那种喜欢购买没有债务负担的股票的投资者,那么不要犹豫,今天就来发现我们独家的净现金成长股票列表。
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