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Silicon Motion Technology Corporation's (NASDAQ:SIMO) Stock Has Shown Weakness Lately But Financial Prospects Look Decent: Is The Market Wrong?

Silicon Motion Technology Corporation's (NASDAQ:SIMO) Stock Has Shown Weakness Lately But Financial Prospects Look Decent: Is The Market Wrong?

慧荣科技公司(纳斯达克:SIMO)的股票最近表现出疲软,但财务前景看起来不错:市场是否看错了?
Simply Wall St ·  01/07 18:15

It is hard to get excited after looking at Silicon Motion Technology's (NASDAQ:SIMO) recent performance, when its stock has declined 6.5% over the past three months. However, the company's fundamentals look pretty decent, and long-term financials are usually aligned with future market price movements. In this article, we decided to focus on Silicon Motion Technology's ROE.

在看到慧荣科技(纳斯达克:SIMO)最近的表现后,很难感到兴奋,因为其股票在过去三个月中下降了6.5%。然而,该公司的基本面看起来相当不错,长期财务通常与未来市场价格走势相一致。在这篇文章中,我们决定专注于慧荣科技的ROE。

Return on equity or ROE is an important factor to be considered by a shareholder because it tells them how effectively their capital is being reinvested. In short, ROE shows the profit each dollar generates with respect to its shareholder investments.

股东权益回报率或ROE是股东需考虑的重要因素,因为它表明他们的资本再投资的有效性。简而言之,ROE显示每一美元在股东投资方面产生的利润。

How Is ROE Calculated?

净资产收益率怎么计算?

ROE can be calculated by using the formula:

ROE可以通过以下公式计算:

Return on Equity = Net Profit (from continuing operations) ÷ Shareholders' Equity

股东权益回报率 = 净利润(来自持续运营)÷ 股东权益

So, based on the above formula, the ROE for Silicon Motion Technology is:

因此,根据上述公式,慧荣科技的ROE为:

11% = US$89m ÷ US$810m (Based on the trailing twelve months to September 2024).

11% = 8900万美元 ÷ 81000万美元(基于截至2024年9月的过去12个月)。

The 'return' is the profit over the last twelve months. One way to conceptualize this is that for each $1 of shareholders' capital it has, the company made $0.11 in profit.

“回报”是指过去十二个月的利润。一种概念化的方式是,对于每1美元的股东资本,公司赚取了0.11美元的利润。

What Is The Relationship Between ROE And Earnings Growth?

What Is The Relationship Between ROE And Earnings Growth?

So far, we've learned that ROE is a measure of a company's profitability. Depending on how much of these profits the company reinvests or "retains", and how effectively it does so, we are then able to assess a company's earnings growth potential. Generally speaking, other things being equal, firms with a high return on equity and profit retention, have a higher growth rate than firms that don't share these attributes.

到目前为止,我们已经了解到ROE是衡量公司盈利能力的指标。根据公司将这些利润再投资或 "保留" 的程度,以及其有效性,我们能够评估公司的盈利增长潜力。一般来说,其他条件相同的情况下,具有高回报率和利润保留的公司,其增长率通常高于那些没有这些属性的公司。

Silicon Motion Technology's Earnings Growth And 11% ROE

慧荣科技的收益增长和11%的ROE

To begin with, Silicon Motion Technology seems to have a respectable ROE. Even when compared to the industry average of 11% the company's ROE looks quite decent. Despite this, Silicon Motion Technology's five year net income growth was quite flat over the past five years. Based on this, we feel that there might be other reasons which haven't been discussed so far in this article that could be hampering the company's growth. Such as, the company pays out a huge portion of its earnings as dividends, or is faced with competitive pressures.

首先,慧荣科技似乎拥有一个可观的ROE。即使与行业平均水平11%相比,该公司的ROE看起来也相当不错。尽管如此,慧荣科技过去五年的净利润增长相对平稳。基于这一点,我们认为可能还有其他原因尚未在本文中讨论,这可能会妨碍公司的增长。例如,公司支付了很大一部分收益作为分红派息,或面临竞争压力。

Next, on comparing with the industry net income growth, we found that Silicon Motion Technology's reported growth was lower than the industry growth of 20% over the last few years, which is not something we like to see.

接下来,在与行业净利润增长进行比较时,我们发现慧荣科技报告的增长低于行业在过去几年内20%的增长,这并不是我们希望看到的。

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NasdaqGS:SIMO Past Earnings Growth January 7th 2025
纳斯达克GS:SIMO过往收益增长2025年1月7日

Earnings growth is a huge factor in stock valuation. What investors need to determine next is if the expected earnings growth, or the lack of it, is already built into the share price. This then helps them determine if the stock is placed for a bright or bleak future. One good indicator of expected earnings growth is the P/E ratio which determines the price the market is willing to pay for a stock based on its earnings prospects. So, you may want to check if Silicon Motion Technology is trading on a high P/E or a low P/E, relative to its industry.

盈利增长是股票估值的重要因素。投资者接下来需要判断的是,预期的盈利增长或不存在的盈利增长是否已经融入股价中。这有助于他们判断股票的未来是光明还是黯淡。预期盈利增长的一个良好指标是市盈率,它判断市场愿意为股票支付多少价格,基于其盈利前景。因此,您可能想检查一下慧荣科技相对于其行业是高市盈率还是低市盈率。

Is Silicon Motion Technology Using Its Retained Earnings Effectively?

慧荣科技有效利用其留存盈利吗?

Despite having a normal three-year median payout ratio of 28% (implying that the company keeps 72% of its income) over the last three years, Silicon Motion Technology has seen a negligible amount of growth in earnings as we saw above. Therefore, there might be some other reasons to explain the lack in that respect. For example, the business could be in decline.

尽管在过去三年中,公司的三年中位数派息比率为28%(这意味着公司保留72%的收入),但正如我们上面所看到的,慧荣科技的盈利增长微乎其微。因此,可能还有其他原因来解释这方面的不足。例如,业务可能处于下滑状态。

In addition, Silicon Motion Technology has been paying dividends over a period of at least ten years suggesting that keeping up dividend payments is way more important to the management even if it comes at the cost of business growth. Our latest analyst data shows that the future payout ratio of the company is expected to rise to 35% over the next three years. However, Silicon Motion Technology's future ROE is expected to rise to 18% despite the expected increase in the company's payout ratio. We infer that there could be other factors that could be driving the anticipated growth in the company's ROE.

此外,慧荣科技至少在过去十年中一直在支付分红,这表明保持分红支付对管理层来说远比业务增长更重要。我们最新的分析师数据显示,预计公司未来的派息比率将在未来三年内上升至35%。然而,尽管预计公司的派息比率将增加,慧荣科技未来的ROE预计将上升至18%。我们推断,可能还有其他因素在推动公司ROE预期增长。

Summary

总结

In total, it does look like Silicon Motion Technology has some positive aspects to its business. Yet, the low earnings growth is a bit concerning, especially given that the company has a high rate of return and is reinvesting ma huge portion of its profits. By the looks of it, there could be some other factors, not necessarily in control of the business, that's preventing growth. Having said that, looking at the current analyst estimates, we found that the company's earnings are expected to gain momentum. To know more about the company's future earnings growth forecasts take a look at this free report on analyst forecasts for the company to find out more.

总的来说,慧荣科技的业务确实有一些积极的方面。 然而,低收入增长让人有些担忧,尤其是考虑到公司有高回报率并且正在将大部分利润再投资。 从表面上看,可能还有一些其他因素,并不完全在业务的控制之中,这阻碍了增长。 话虽如此,看看当前的分析师预估,我们发现公司的收益有望获得动力。 要了解更多关于公司未来收益增长预测的信息,请查看这份免费的公司分析师预测报告。

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

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这篇来自Simply Wall St的文章是一般性的。我们根据历史数据和分析师预测提供评论,采用无偏见的方法,我们的文章并不旨在提供财务建议。它不构成对任何股票的买入或卖出建议,也未考虑到您的目标或财务状况。我们旨在为您提供以基本数据驱动的长期分析。请注意,我们的分析可能未考虑最新的价格敏感公司公告或定性材料。Simply Wall St在提到的任何股票中均没有持仓。

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