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We Think Thermo Fisher Scientific (NYSE:TMO) Can Stay On Top Of Its Debt

We Think Thermo Fisher Scientific (NYSE:TMO) Can Stay On Top Of Its Debt

我们认为赛默飞世尔(纽交所:TMO)能够保持其债务的领先地位
Simply Wall St ·  01/07 22:15

Howard Marks put it nicely when he said that, rather than worrying about share price volatility, 'The possibility of permanent loss is the risk I worry about... and every practical investor I know worries about.' It's only natural to consider a company's balance sheet when you examine how risky it is, since debt is often involved when a business collapses. Importantly, Thermo Fisher Scientific Inc. (NYSE:TMO) does carry debt. But is this debt a concern to shareholders?

霍华德·马克斯很好地表达了这一点,他说,与其担心股票价格的波动,不如关注'永久损失的可能性是我所担心的风险……而我认识的每一个务实投资者也都对此感到担忧。' 当你审视一家公司的风险时,自然要考虑其资产负债表,因为债务往往与企业的崩溃有关。重要的是,赛默飞世尔公司(纽交所:TMO)确实负有债务。但这笔债务对股东来说是否构成担忧?

Why Does Debt Bring Risk?

为什么债务带来风险?

Debt is a tool to help businesses grow, but if a business is incapable of paying off its lenders, then it exists at their mercy. In the worst case scenario, a company can go bankrupt if it cannot pay its creditors. However, a more frequent (but still costly) occurrence is where a company must issue shares at bargain-basement prices, permanently diluting shareholders, just to shore up its balance sheet. Of course, plenty of companies use debt to fund growth, without any negative consequences. The first step when considering a company's debt levels is to consider its cash and debt together.

债务是帮助企业成长的工具,但如果企业无法偿还其债权人,那么它就处于他们的控制之下。在最坏的情况下,如果一家公司无法偿还其债务,可能会破产。然而,更常见(但仍然代价高昂)的情况是,公司必须以廉价价格发行股票,以永久稀释股东权益,仅仅是为了加强其资产负债表。当然,许多公司在没有任何负面后果的情况下,利用债务来资助增长。考虑公司债务水平的第一步是一起考虑其现金和债务。

What Is Thermo Fisher Scientific's Net Debt?

赛默飞世尔的净债务是多少?

The chart below, which you can click on for greater detail, shows that Thermo Fisher Scientific had US$35.3b in debt in September 2024; about the same as the year before. However, it does have US$6.65b in cash offsetting this, leading to net debt of about US$28.7b.

下面的图表可以点击以获取更详细的信息,显示到2024年9月,赛默飞世尔的债务为353亿美金;与前一年大致相同。然而,它有66.5亿美金的现金抵消这部分债务,使得净债务约为287亿美金。

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NYSE:TMO Debt to Equity History January 7th 2025
纽交所:TMO 债务对股本历史 2025年1月7日

How Strong Is Thermo Fisher Scientific's Balance Sheet?

赛默飞世尔的资产负债表有多强?

We can see from the most recent balance sheet that Thermo Fisher Scientific had liabilities of US$14.6b falling due within a year, and liabilities of US$36.7b due beyond that. Offsetting this, it had US$6.65b in cash and US$9.80b in receivables that were due within 12 months. So it has liabilities totalling US$34.8b more than its cash and near-term receivables, combined.

我们可以从最新的资产负债表中看到,赛默飞世尔的负债为146亿美元,需在一年内到期,367亿美元的负债则在此之后到期。对此,赛默飞世尔有66.5亿美元的现金,以及98亿美元的应收账款将在12个月内到期。因此,它的负债总额比现金和近期应收账款的总和还多348亿美元。

Since publicly traded Thermo Fisher Scientific shares are worth a very impressive total of US$203.5b, it seems unlikely that this level of liabilities would be a major threat. However, we do think it is worth keeping an eye on its balance sheet strength, as it may change over time.

由于公开交易的赛默飞世尔股票总值非常可观,达到2035亿美元,因此这一负债水平似乎不太可能构成重大威胁。然而,我们认为值得关注其资产负债表的强度,因为这可能会随时间变化。

In order to size up a company's debt relative to its earnings, we calculate its net debt divided by its earnings before interest, tax, depreciation, and amortization (EBITDA) and its earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) divided by its interest expense (its interest cover). Thus we consider debt relative to earnings both with and without depreciation and amortization expenses.

为了衡量一家公司相对于其收益的债务水平,我们计算其净负债与利息、税项、折旧和摊销前利润(EBITDA)的比率,以及其利息和税项前利润(EBIT)与其利息支出(利息支付比率)的比率。因此,我们考虑了包括和不包括折旧和摊销费用的收益相对于债务的情况。

Thermo Fisher Scientific's net debt is 2.7 times its EBITDA, which is a significant but still reasonable amount of leverage. But its EBIT was about 24.4 times its interest expense, implying the company isn't really paying a high cost to maintain that level of debt. Even were the low cost to prove unsustainable, that is a good sign. Notably Thermo Fisher Scientific's EBIT was pretty flat over the last year. Ideally it can diminish its debt load by kick-starting earnings growth. When analysing debt levels, the balance sheet is the obvious place to start. But ultimately the future profitability of the business will decide if Thermo Fisher Scientific can strengthen its balance sheet over time. So if you're focused on the future you can check out this free report showing analyst profit forecasts.

赛默飞世尔的净债务是其EBITDA的2.7倍,虽然这是一种显著的杠杆比例,但仍可接受。但是,其EBIT大约是其利息支出的24.4倍,这意味着公司并没有支付维持这一负债水平的高成本。即使低成本被证明不可持续,这也是个好兆头。值得注意的是,赛默飞世尔的EBIT在过去一年基本保持平稳。理想情况下,它可以通过启动收益增长来减少债务负担。在分析债务水平时,资产负债表显然是开始的地方。但最终,业务的未来盈利能力将决定赛默飞世尔能否在未来增强其资产负债表。因此,如果你关注未来,可以查看这份免费的报告,展示分析师的利润预测。

But our final consideration is also important, because a company cannot pay debt with paper profits; it needs cold hard cash. So it's worth checking how much of that EBIT is backed by free cash flow. During the last three years, Thermo Fisher Scientific generated free cash flow amounting to a very robust 82% of its EBIT, more than we'd expect. That positions it well to pay down debt if desirable to do so.

但我们的最终考虑也很重要,因为公司不能用纸面利润来偿还债务;它需要真实的现金。因此,值得检查EBIT有多少是由自由现金流支持的。在过去三年中,赛默飞世尔的自由现金流占其EBIT的82%,远超我们的预期。这使其在需要时有能力偿还债务。

Our View

我们的观点

Happily, Thermo Fisher Scientific's impressive interest cover implies it has the upper hand on its debt. But, on a more sombre note, we are a little concerned by its net debt to EBITDA. Taking all this data into account, it seems to us that Thermo Fisher Scientific takes a pretty sensible approach to debt. While that brings some risk, it can also enhance returns for shareholders. When analysing debt levels, the balance sheet is the obvious place to start. But ultimately, every company can contain risks that exist outside of the balance sheet. We've identified 1 warning sign with Thermo Fisher Scientific , and understanding them should be part of your investment process.

高兴的是,赛默飞世尔出色的利息覆盖率意味着它在债务方面占有优势。但是,从一个更严肃的角度来看,我们对其净债务与EBITDA的比例稍感担忧。考虑到这些数据,我们认为赛默飞世尔在债务方面采取了相当明智的做法。虽然这带来了一些风险,但也可以为股东提高回报。在分析债务水平时,资产负债表显然是起点。但最终,任何公司都可能存在资产负债表之外的风险。我们已经发现赛默飞世尔有1个警告信号,并且了解这些信号应成为您投资过程的一部分。

At the end of the day, it's often better to focus on companies that are free from net debt. You can access our special list of such companies (all with a track record of profit growth). It's free.

最终,通常更好的是关注没有净负债的公司。你可以访问我们特别列出这些公司的名单(所有公司都有盈利增长的记录)。这是免费的。

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

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