Investing in KKR (NYSE:KKR) Five Years Ago Would Have Delivered You a 431% Gain
Investing in KKR (NYSE:KKR) Five Years Ago Would Have Delivered You a 431% Gain
For many, the main point of investing in the stock market is to achieve spectacular returns. And highest quality companies can see their share prices grow by huge amounts. For example, the KKR & Co. Inc. (NYSE:KKR) share price is up a whopping 402% in the last half decade, a handsome return for long term holders. If that doesn't get you thinking about long term investing, we don't know what will. On top of that, the share price is up 15% in about a quarter.
对于许多人来说,投资股票市场的要点是获得可观的回报。最高质量的公司可以看到其股价大幅上涨。例如,KKR & Co.Inc.(纽约证券交易所代码:KKR)的股价在过去五年中上涨了402%,对于长期持有者来说,这是一个可观的回报。如果这不能让你考虑长期投资,我们不知道会怎样。最重要的是,股价在大约一个季度内上涨了15%。
Let's take a look at the underlying fundamentals over the longer term, and see if they've been consistent with shareholders returns.
让我们来看看长期的基本面,看看它们是否与股东回报一致。
There is no denying that markets are sometimes efficient, but prices do not always reflect underlying business performance. One flawed but reasonable way to assess how sentiment around a company has changed is to compare the earnings per share (EPS) with the share price.
不可否认的是,市场有时是有效的,但价格并不总是能反映基本的业务表现。评估公司情绪变化的一种有缺陷但合理的方法是将每股收益(EPS)与股价进行比较。
Over half a decade, KKR managed to grow its earnings per share at 11% a year. This EPS growth is slower than the share price growth of 38% per year, over the same period. So it's fair to assume the market has a higher opinion of the business than it did five years ago. That's not necessarily surprising considering the five-year track record of earnings growth.
在过去的五年中,KKR设法将其每股收益增长到每年11%。每股收益的增长低于同期每年38%的股价增长。因此,可以公平地假设市场对该业务的看法比五年前更高。考虑到五年的收益增长记录,这并不一定令人惊讶。
The company's earnings per share (over time) is depicted in the image below (click to see the exact numbers).
该公司的每股收益(一段时间内)如下图所示(点击查看确切数字)。
Dive deeper into KKR's key metrics by checking this interactive graph of KKR's earnings, revenue and cash flow.
查看这张KKR收益、收入和现金流的交互式图表,深入了解KKR的关键指标。
What About Dividends?
那股息呢?
As well as measuring the share price return, investors should also consider the total shareholder return (TSR). The TSR incorporates the value of any spin-offs or discounted capital raisings, along with any dividends, based on the assumption that the dividends are reinvested. So for companies that pay a generous dividend, the TSR is often a lot higher than the share price return. We note that for KKR the TSR over the last 5 years was 431%, which is better than the share price return mentioned above. And there's no prize for guessing that the dividend payments largely explain the divergence!
除了衡量股价回报率外,投资者还应考虑股东总回报率(TSR)。基于股息再投资的假设,股东总回报率纳入了任何分拆或贴现资本筹集的价值以及任何股息。因此,对于支付丰厚股息的公司来说,股东总回报率通常远高于股价回报率。我们注意到,KKR在过去5年的股东总回报率为431%,好于上述股价回报率。而且,猜测股息支付在很大程度上解释了这种分歧是没有好处的!
A Different Perspective
不同的视角
It's nice to see that KKR shareholders have received a total shareholder return of 85% over the last year. And that does include the dividend. Since the one-year TSR is better than the five-year TSR (the latter coming in at 40% per year), it would seem that the stock's performance has improved in recent times. Given the share price momentum remains strong, it might be worth taking a closer look at the stock, lest you miss an opportunity. It's always interesting to track share price performance over the longer term. But to understand KKR better, we need to consider many other factors. To that end, you should learn about the 2 warning signs we've spotted with KKR (including 1 which is significant) .
很高兴看到KKR股东在过去一年中获得了85%的股东总回报率。这确实包括股息。由于一年期股东总回报率好于五年期股东总回报率(后者为每年40%),因此该股的表现似乎在最近有所改善。鉴于股价势头仍然强劲,可能值得仔细研究该股,以免错过机会。长期跟踪股价表现总是很有意思的。但是,为了更好地了解KKR,我们需要考虑许多其他因素。为此,你应该了解我们在KKR中发现的两个警告信号(包括一个重要的警告信号)。
If you like to buy stocks alongside management, then you might just love this free list of companies. (Hint: many of them are unnoticed AND have attractive valuation).
如果你想和管理层一起购买股票,那么你可能会喜欢这份免费的公司清单。(提示:其中许多未被注意且估值诱人)。
Please note, the market returns quoted in this article reflect the market weighted average returns of stocks that currently trade on American exchanges.
请注意,本文引用的市场回报反映了目前在美国交易所交易的股票的市场加权平均回报率。
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
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Simply Wall St 的这篇文章本质上是笼统的。我们仅使用公正的方法提供基于历史数据和分析师预测的评论,我们的文章并非旨在提供财务建议。它不构成买入或卖出任何股票的建议,也没有考虑到您的目标或财务状况。我们的目标是为您提供由基本数据驱动的长期重点分析。请注意,我们的分析可能不会考虑最新的价格敏感型公司公告或定性材料。华尔街只是没有持有上述任何股票的头寸。